中国省际粮食贸易隐含虚拟耕地流动及其生态产品补偿研究

王永瑜; 张乐; 蒋琼琼

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中国环境科学 ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (11) : 6501-6512.

环境影响评价与管理

中国省际粮食贸易隐含虚拟耕地流动及其生态产品补偿研究

王永瑜¹, 张乐¹, 蒋琼琼^1,2

作者信息 +

Research on the hidden virtual cropland flow and ecological products compensation in China’s inter-provincial grain trade

WANG Yong-yu¹, ZHANG Le¹, JIANG Qiong-qiong^1,2

Author information +

文章历史 +

摘要

基于2017年中国多区域投入产出表,构建环境扩展多区域投入产出模型(EE-MRIO)追踪虚拟耕地流动路径,结合当量因子法核算耕地生态产品价值,设计“受益者付费”补偿标准.研究发现:黄淮海平原(河南、山东)与东北平原(黑龙江)依托资源禀赋优势与政策倾斜效应,形成虚拟耕地供给核心区;同时黄淮海平原(河南、山东)与长三角(江苏)因人口集聚与产业转型需求,成为耕地资源的使用中心;全国虚拟耕地净流动呈现由北向南、由西向东的“梯度转移”特征,基本遵循“邻近效应”,黑龙江、吉林、内蒙古等粮食主产区成为虚拟耕地的主要净流出源,广东、浙江、北京等经济发达地区为核心净流入地;关键路径分析揭示了如黑龙江-吉林、内蒙古-山西、黑龙江-浙江等跨省流动链上的显著耕地生态产品转移,凸显了发达地区对粮食主产区耕地生态产品的依赖;通过构建包含各区域耕地生态产品补偿的修正矩阵,不仅明确了耕地生态保护的责任归属,还提供了科学合理的补偿依据,为耕地资源的可持续利用与经济发展的和谐共生开辟了新路径.

Abstract

This study, based on the 2017 multi-regional input-output table of China, constructed an Environmentally Extended Multi-Regional Input-Output (EE-MRIO) model to track the virtual cropland flow paths. It then quantified the value of land ecological products using the equivalent factor method and designed a “Beneficiary Pays” compensation standard. The research findings include: The Huang-Huai-Hai Plain (Henan, Shandong) and the Northeast Plain (Heilongjiang), leveraging their resource endowment advantages and policy support effects, have formed core virtual cropland supply regions; meanwhile, the Huang- Huai-Hai Plain (Henan, Shandong) and the Yangtze River Delta (Jiangsu) have emerged as centers of land resource use due to population concentration and industrial transformation needs. The national net virtual cropland flow shows a “gradient transfer” characteristic, moving from north to south and from west to east, basically adhering to the “proximity effect”. Major grain-producing regions such as Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Inner Mongolia are the main net outflow sources of virtual cropland, while economically developed regions like Guangdong and Zhejiang are the core net inflow destinations. Key path analysis reveals significant transfers of land ecological products along cross-provincial flow chains such as Heilongjiang-Jilin, Inner Mongolia-Shanxi, and Heilongjiang-Zhejiang, highlighting the dependence of developed regions on the land ecological products of major grain-producing areas. By constructing a modified matrix incorporating compensation for land ecological products in each region, the study not only clarifies the accountability for land ecological protection, but also provides a scientifically sound basis for compensation. This opens up a new path for the sustainable utilization of land resources and the harmonious coexistence of economic development.

导出引用

王永瑜, 张乐, 蒋琼琼. 中国省际粮食贸易隐含虚拟耕地流动及其生态产品补偿研究[J]. 中国环境科学. 2025, 45(11): 6501-6512

WANG Yong-yu, ZHANG Le, JIANG Qiong-qiong. Research on the hidden virtual cropland flow and ecological products compensation in China’s inter-provincial grain trade[J]. China Environmental Science. 2025, 45(11): 6501-6512

中图分类号： X24 F321.1 327

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