环保自主验收行政处罚案件量化分析——基于自主验收监管执法和环境质量相关性的视角

刘牧远; 杨雾晨; 张健; 隆重; 田蕴; 钟黄蓉

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中国环境科学 ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (5) : 2952-2960.

环境影响评价与管理

环保自主验收行政处罚案件量化分析——基于自主验收监管执法和环境质量相关性的视角

刘牧远, 杨雾晨, 张健, 隆重, 田蕴, 钟黄蓉

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Quantitative analysis of the enforcement on the autonomous acceptance: From a perspective of the correlation between administrative penalty and environmental quality

LIU Mu-yuan, YANG Wu-chen, ZHANG Jian, LONG Zhong, TIAN Yun, ZHONG Huang-rong

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摘要

为研究自主验收制度对于监管执法的支撑作用,量化分析自主验收监管执法对于区域环境质量的影响,本研究不完全统计了自主验收制度实施后2018~2023年间全国47870件自主验收行政处罚案件,结合同期全国大气、水环境质量,模拟自主验收监管执法对13个被多次通报地市环境质量较差的省份的环境质量影响.研究发现,将自主验收案件占比纳入模拟的预测值和环境质量通报频次显著相关,拟合优度达到0.8051,而不考虑自主验收行政处罚占比的预测值与环境质量通报频次不具有相关性,针对自主验收事项的行政处罚对于提升整体生态环境质量的效果可能高于宏观、一般行政处罚.案情分析发现,对自主验收“弄虚作假”案件的处罚额与其他自主验收案件处罚额没有明显差别.法理分析发现,自主验收和排污许可制存在一定功能重叠,但在监管对象和监管内容上两者仍有明显差异.

Abstract

In order to quantitatively analyze the impact of inspection and enforcement on the autonomous acceptance system towards regional environmental qualities, 47870public administrative penalty cases of illegal autonomous acceptance from 2018 to 2023 have been collected. Correlation analysis has been conducted on simulated environmental qualities based on penalty cases with real regional environmental qualities on 13 provinces that had been national warned for bad environmental qualities. Research found a significant correlation between combined autonomous acceptance and general enforcement with environmental qualities. A goodness of fit at R²=0.8051was found when bringing the percentage of autonomous acceptance cases over all administrative penalty cases as the second variable besides average penalty frequency. Yet found no significant correlation between general environmental enforcement and environmental qualities. Therefore, it was suggested that the inspection and enforcement on autonomous acceptance system leveraged more impact on environmental qualities than general environmental inspection and enforcement. The case analysis found that there was no significant difference in the fine amount for cases of "fraud" in autonomous acceptance compared to other cases. Legal analysis has found that there was a certain degree of functional overlap between autonomous acceptance and Pollutant discharge permit system, but there were still significant differences between the two in terms of regulatory objects and regulatory content.

导出引用

刘牧远, 杨雾晨, 张健, 隆重, 田蕴, 钟黄蓉. 环保自主验收行政处罚案件量化分析——基于自主验收监管执法和环境质量相关性的视角[J]. 中国环境科学. 2025, 45(5): 2952-2960

LIU Mu-yuan, YANG Wu-chen, ZHANG Jian, LONG Zhong, TIAN Yun, ZHONG Huang-rong. Quantitative analysis of the enforcement on the autonomous acceptance: From a perspective of the correlation between administrative penalty and environmental quality[J]. China Environmental Science. 2025, 45(5): 2952-2960

中图分类号： X32

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