|
|
Safe distance between cities based on the BP neural network water quality model: a study on Wuhu and Ma'anshan |
JIA Ning, DONG Xin, NING Xiong, LIU Yi |
School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 10084, China |
|
|
Abstract As a result of decreasing distance between cities during the rapid urbanization, the water quality of cities located in upper and lower reaches has closer interations. This paper proposes the concept of safe distance between cities to ensure the water quality in downstream cities, which is quantified based on the BP neural network model for water quality. Two adjacent cities along the Yangtze River, Wuhu and Ma'anshan, are chosen as the representative case to evaluate the safety of water quality and quantify the minimum safe distance after city expansion. The results reveal a safe distance of 4.6km between the two cities in 2020, which could ensure the water quality of the control section in upper reaches of Ma'anshan (the downstream city) to meet the class II standard of surface water. However, compared with the year 2010, the water quality of the control section will decline, where the COD concentration is projected to increase by 29.2% and NH3-N by 23.2%. In order to ensure the water function of the control section, the minimum safe distance between the two cities needs to be 3.2km.
|
Received: 10 December 2015
|
|
|
|
|
[1] |
Gregory B. Aspects of Urbanization in China: Shanghai, Hong Kong, Guangzhou [M]. Amsterdam: Amsterdam University Press, 2012:13-24.
|
[2] |
Tang Z, Engel B A, Pijanowski B C, et al. Forecasting land use change and its environmental impact at a watershed scale [J]. Journal of environmental management, 2005,76(1):35-45.
|
[3] |
Duh J D, Shandas V, Chang H, et al. Rates of urbanisation and the resiliency of air and water quality [J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2008,400(1):238-256.
|
[4] |
Liu G, Yang Z, Chen B, et al. Emergy-based dynamic mechanisms of urban development, resource consumption and environmental impacts [J]. Ecological Modelling, 2014,271:90-102.
|
[5] |
Fletcher T, Burns M. Urban stormwater runoff: a new class of environmental flow problem [J]. PLoS ONE [P]. 2012,7(9):1-10.
|
[6] |
Dong Y, Liu Y, Chen J. Will urban expansion lead to an increase in future water pollution loads?—a preliminary investigation of the Haihe River Basin in northeastern China [J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2014,21(11):7024-7034.
|
[7] |
孙金华,曹晓峰,黄 艺.滇池流域土地利用对入湖河流水质的影响 [J]. 中国环境科学, 2011,31(12):2052-2057.
|
[8] |
Benfield F K, Terris J, Vorsanger N. Solving sprawl: Models of smart growth in communities across America [M]. Washington, DC: Island Press, 2003:137-138.
|
[9] |
徐 康,吴绍华,陈东湘,等.基于水文效应的城市增长边界的确定——以镇江新民洲为例 [J]. 地理科学, 2013,8:979-985.
|
[10] |
Tayyebi A, Pijanowski B C, Tayyebi A H. An urban growth boundary model using neural networks, GIS and radial parameterization: An application to Tehran, Iran [J]. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2011,100(1):35-44.
|
[11] |
Bhatta B. Modelling of urban growth boundary using geoinformatics [J]. International Journal of Digital Earth, 2009, 2(4):359-381.
|
[12] |
李咏华.生态视角下的城市增长边界划定方法——以杭州市为例 [J]. 城市规划, 2011,12:83-90.
|
[13] |
周 锐,王新军,苏海龙,等.基于生态安全格局的城市增长边界划定——以平顶山新区为例 [J]. 城市规划学刊, 2014,4:57-63.
|
[14] |
张晓瑞,贺岩丹,方创琳,等.城市生态环境脆弱性的测度分区与调控 [J]. 中国环境科学, 2015,35(7):2200-2208.
|
[15] |
王振波,张 蔷,张晓瑞,等.基于资源环境承载力的合肥市增长边界划定 [J]. 地理研究, 2013,12:2302-2311.
|
[16] |
贾滨洋,曾九利,李 玫,等.“多规融合”下的城市开发边界与最小生态安全距离 [J]. 环境保护, 2015,Z1:23-26.
|
[17] |
宋国浩.人工神经网络在水质模拟与水质评价中的应用研究 [D]. 重庆:重庆大学, 2009.
|
[18] |
Zhao Y, Nan J, Cui F, et al. Water quality forecast through application of BP neural network at Yuqiao reservoir [J]. Journal of Zhejiang University SCIENCE A, 2007,8(9):1482-1487.
|
[19] |
王 祎,李静文,邵 雪,等.基于计算智能的流域污染排放优化模式研究 [J]. 中国环境科学, 2012,32(1):173-180.
|
[20] |
李 娜,张 震,冷 飞.油田生产设施环境安全距离理论与案例分析 [J]. 油气田环境保护, 2012,22(6):76-80.
|
[21] |
刘艳菊,张 震,李 巍,等.油田生产设施环境安全距离理论与估算——以胜利油田东辛采油厂为例 [J]. 安全与环境工作, 2006,13(1):77-84.
|
[22] |
国家发展改革委.关于印发皖江城市带承接产业转移示范区规划的通知[EB/OL]. http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2010-03/24/ content_1563507.htm, 2010-3-24/2015-12-1.
|
[23] |
GB18918-2002 城镇污水处理厂污染物排放标准 [S].
|
|
|
|