基于贝叶斯决策树的小麦镉风险识别规则提取

Abstract
Figure/Table
References
Related Citation (15)

Download: PDF (1268 KB) HTML (1 KB)
Export: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

Abstract In order to reveal the relationship between the environmental factors and the risk of wheat excessive Cd, seven factors (concentration of Cd in soil, polluting enterprises, the town and industrial land, transportation land, soil type, SOM and soil pH) are considered, and five Bayesian decision trees were established based on ID3algorithm and Naive Bayesian algorithm. 15 identification rules of wheat Cd pollution risk were extracted, and the risk was divided into five levels. Polluting enterprises, soil pH and concentration of Cd in soil were the three dominant factors of wheat Cd enrichment. According to the validation, the average prediction accuracy was 81.14%, and the overall recognition accuracy was improved to 89.32% after using the Bayesian algorithm and risk identification rules. The model integrated the Bayesian algorithm into the decision tree model, which could assess the Cd pollution risk in samples with complete or missing data, determine the dominant factors of wheat Cd enrichment, and identify the degree and region of wheat Cd pollution based on the risk identification rules. This approach could provide a scientific tool for soil safety use and the delimitation of wheat safety production area.

Key words： Bayesian decision tree heavy metals risk crop

Received: 23 August 2018

PACS:

X826

	Service

	E-mail this article
	Add to my bookshelf
	Add to citation manager
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	Articles by authors
	TONG Gui-jie
	WU Shao-hua
	YUAN Yu-jie
	YAN Dao-hao
	ZHOU Sheng-lu
	LI Fu-fu

Cite this article:

TONG Gui-jie,WU Shao-hua,YUAN Yu-jie等. Identification rules of wheat Cd risk based on Bayesian decision tree[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2019, 39(3): 1336-1344.

URL:

http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2019/V39/I3/1336

[1]	Hong Y, Bonhomme C, Van den Bout B, et al. Integrating atmospheric deposition, soil erosion and sewer transport models to assess the transfer of traffic-related pollutants in urban areas[J]. Environmental Modelling & Software, 2017,96:158-171.
[2]	Wei B G, Yang L S. A review of heavy metal contaminations in urban soils, urban road dusts and agricultural soils from China[J]. Microchemical Journal, 2010,94(2):99-107.
[3]	Duruibe J O, Ogwuegbu M O C. Heavy metal pollution and human biotoxic effects[J]. International Journal of Physical Sciences, 2007,2(5):112-118.
[4]	Chen L, Zhou S, Shi Y, et al. Heavy metals in food crops, soil, and water in the Lihe River Watershed of the Taihu Region and their potential health risks when ingested[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2018,615:141-149.
[5]	武媛媛,李如梅,彭林,等.运城市道路扬尘化学组成特征及来源分析[J]. 环境科学, 2017,38(5):1799-1806. Wu Yuanyuan, Li Rumei, Peng Lin, et al. Chemical Compositions and Source Apportionment of Road Dust in Yuncheng[J]. Environmental Science, 2017,38(5):1799-1806.
[6]	Liu G, Li J H, Wu D, et al. Chemical composition and source apportionment of the ambient PM2.5 in Hangzhou, China[J]. Particuology, 2015,18:135-143.
[7]	Grigoratos T, Martini G. Brake wear particle emissions:a review[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2015,22(4):2491-2504.
[8]	樊霆,叶文玲,陈海燕,等.农田土壤重金属污染状况及修复技术研究[J]. 生态环境学报, 2013,(10):1727-1736. Fan Ting, Ye Wenling, Chen Haiyan, et al. Review on contamination and remediation technology of heavy metal in agricultural soil[J]. Ecology and Environment Sciences, 2013,(10):1727-1736.
[9]	许悦,王可,刘雪梅,等.室内外PM2.5中金属元素的污染特征及来源[J]. 中国环境科学, 2018,38(4):1257-1264. Xu Yue, Wang Ke, Liu Xuemei, et al. Pollution characteristics and sources of metal elements in indoor and outdoor PM2.5[J]. China Environmental Science, 2018,38(4):1257-1264.
[10]	杨贺,刘杰.矿业生产影响区水稻田系统砷、铅、镉的污染特征及风险评价——以西江流域大环江下游为例[J]. 江苏农业科学, 2018,46(15):205-209. Yang He, Liu Jie. Pollution characteristics and risk assessment of arsenic, lead and cadmium in paddy field systems in mining production affected areas:A case study of the lower reaches of the greater Huanjiang River in Xijiang River Basin[J]. Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences, 2018,46(15):205-209.
[11]	王世玉,吴文勇,刘菲,等.典型污灌区土壤与作物中重金属健康风险评估[J]. 中国环境科学, 2018,38(4):1550-1560. Wang Shiyu, Wu Wenyong, Liu Fei, et al. Assessment of human health risks of heavy metals in the typical sewage irrigation areas[J]. China Environmental Science, 2018,38(4):1550-1560.
[12]	Zhang Y C, Yin S, Cao L, et al. Heavy metal accumulation and health risk assessment in soil-wheat system under different nitrogen levels[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2018,622-623:1499.
[13]	Wang S, Wu W, Liu F, et al. Accumulation of heavy metals in soil-crop systems:a review for wheat and corn[J]. Environmental Science & Pollution Research International, 2017,24(2):1-17.
[14]	Ali A M, Ibrahim S M, El-Hady Y A A, et al. Assessment of bioavailability of some heavy metals to wheat and faba bean in Sahl El-Tina, Egypt[J]. Agricultural Research, 2018,7(1):72-82.
[15]	Xie L, Hao P, Cheng Y, et al. Effect of combined application of lead, cadmium, chromium and copper on grain, leaf and stem heavy metal contents at different growth stages in rice[J]. Ecotoxicology & Environmental Safety, 2018,162:71-76.
[16]	Ogunkunle C O, Varun M, Jimoh M A, et al. Evaluating the trace metal pollution of an urban paddy soil and bioaccumulation in rice (Oryza sativ a L.) with the associated dietary risks to local population:a case study of Ilorin, north-central Nigeria[J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2016,75(20):1383-1394.
[17]	罗锡文. 对加速我国农业机械化发展的思考[J]. 农业工程, 2011,1(4):1-8,56. Luo Xiwen. Thoughts on accelerating the development of agricultural mechanization in China[J]. Agricultural Engineering, 2011,1(4):1-8, 56.
[18]	Gall J E, Boyd R S, Rajakaruna N. Transfer of heavy metals through terrestrial food webs:a review[J]. Environmental Monitoring & Assessment, 2015,187(4):201.
[19]	赵瑞瑞,石福臣,周美利,等.雪松和圆柏对城乡大气环境中重金属的积累特征[J]. 生态学杂志, 2015,34(12):3368-3373. Zhao Ruirui, Shi Fuchen, Zhou Meili, et al. Effects of urban-rural atmospheric environment on heavy metal accumulation of Cedrus deodara and Sabina chinensis[J]. Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2015, 34(12):3368-3373.
[20]	Colpaert J V, Wevers J H L, Krznaric E, et al. How metal-tolerant ecotypes of ectomycorrhizal fungi protect plants from heavy metal pollution[J]. Annals of Forest Science, 2011,68(1):17-24.
[21]	Sardans J, Peñuelas J, Estiarte M. Warming and drought change trace element bioaccumulation patterns in a Mediterranean shrubland[J]. Chemosphere, 2008,70(5):874-885.
[22]	彭驰.城市土壤重金属与多环芳烃累积过程模拟[D]. 北京:中国科学院生态环境研究中心, 2013. Peng Chi. Modeling heavy metals and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons accumulation in urban soil[D]. Beijing:Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2013.
[23]	施亚星,吴绍华,周生路,等.土壤-作物系统中重金属元素吸收、迁移和积累过程模拟[J]. 环境科学, 2016,37(10):3996-4003. Shi Yaxing, Wu Shaohua, Zhou Shenglu, et al. Simulation of the absorption, migration and accumulation process of heavy metal elements in soil-crop system[J]. Environmental Science, 2016, 37(10):3996-4003.
[24]	丁琼.土壤性质及钝化剂对镉在土壤-植物系统转移的影响[D]. 北京:首都师范大学, 2012. Ding Qiong. The effects of soil properties and soil amendments on the transfer of Cadmium in soil-plant system[D]. Beijing:Capital Normal University, 2012
[25]	赵科理.土壤-水稻系统重金属空间对应关系和定量模型研究[D]. 杭州:浙江大学, 2010. Zhao Keli. Spatial relationships of heacy metals in soil-rice system and the quantitative model[D]. Hangzhou:Zhejiang University, 2010.
[26]	JR Q. Introduction of decision trees[J]. Machine Learning, 1986, (1):81-107.
[27]	成伟.数据挖掘技术支持下的土壤重金属污染评价系统的研究[D]. 杭州:浙江大学, 2009. Cheng Wei. A study of soil heavy metal pollution assessment system supported by data mining technology[D]. Hangzhou:Zhejiang University, 2009.
[28]	王冠星,闫学东,张凡,等.青藏高原路侧土壤重金属含量分布规律及影响因素研究[J]. 环境科学学报, 2014,34(2):431-438. Wang Guanxing, Yan Xuedong, Zhang Fan, et al. Influencing factors of heavy metal concentration in roadside-soil of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J]. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2014,34(2):431-438.
[29]	邱乐丰.富阳市土地生产力时空变化研究[D]. 杭州:浙江大学, 2012. Qiu Lefeng. Spatial and temporal variation of land productivity in Fuyang County[D]. Hangzhou:Zhejiang University, 2012.
[30]	朱军,胡文波.贝叶斯机器学习前沿进展综述[J]. 计算机研究与发展, 2015,52(1):16-26. Zhu Jun, Hu Wenbo. Recent sdvances in bayesian machine learning[J]. Journal of Computer Research and Development, 2015,52(1):16-26.
[31]	张静,张衍杰,方小珍,等.道路扬尘PM2.5中金属元素污染特征及健康风险评价[J]. 环境科学, 2017,38(10):4071-4076. Zhang Jing, Zhan Yanjie, Fang Xiaozhen, et al. Characteristics and health risk assessment of metallic elements in PM2.5 fraction of road dust[J]. Environmental Science, 2017,38(10):4071-4076.
[32]	陈珊,刘妍,陈齐,等.添加造纸污泥对土壤-白萝卜系统中镉迁移的影响[J]. 环境工程学报, 2017,11(3):1906-1912. Chen Shan, Liu Yan, Chen Qi, et al. Effect of applied paper mill sludge on migration of Cd in soil-white radish system[J]. Chinese Journal of Environmental Engineering, 2017,11(3):1906-1912.
[33]	胡鑫,罗真华,谢会雅,等.土壤性质对烟叶中铅、镉含量的影响及预测模型研究[J]. 农业环境科学学报, 2016,35(3):449-454. Hu Xin, Luo Zhenhua, Xie Huiya, et al. Soil property effects on and prediction models of lead and cadmium concentrations in tobacco leaves[J]. Journal of Agro-Environmental Science, 2016,35(3):449-454.
[34]	何俊,王学东,陈世宝,等.典型污灌区土壤中Cd的形态、有效性及其影响因子[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016,36(10):3056-3063. He Jun, Wang Xuedong, Chen Shibao, et al. The forms, bioavailability of Cd in soils of typical sewage irrigation fields in northern China and its control factors[J]. China Environmental Science, 2016,36(10):3056-3063.
[35]	GB2762-2017食品安全国家标准食品中污染物限量标准[S]. GB 2762-2017 National food safety standard Contaminant limit standard in food[S].
[36]	生态环境部,国家市场监督管理总局.GB 15618-2018土壤环境质量农用地土壤污染风险管控标准(试行)[S]. 北京:中国环境出版社, 2018. Ministry of Ecological Environment of the People's Republic of China, State Administration for Market regulation. GB 15618-2018Soil environment quality Risk control standard for soil contamination of agricultural land[S]. Beijing:China Environmental Science Press, 2018.
[37]	史琦,陈建新,赵慧辉,等.冠心病患者痰热互结证CHAID决策树识别模式的研究[J]. 世界中医药, 2018,13(9):2095-2101. Shi Qi, Chen Jianxin, Zhao Huihui, et al. The forms, bioavailability of Cd in soils of typical sewage irrigation fields in northern China and its control factors[J]. China Environmental Science, 2018,13(9):2095-2101.
[38]	焦梦姝,张麒,彭佳红.基于决策树技术的土壤重金属污染预警分析研究[J]. 电脑知识与技术, 2014,10(26):6210-6213. Jiao Mengshu, Zhang Qi, Peng Jiahong. Early warning analysis of heavy metal pollution in soil based on decision tree technology[J]. Computer Knowledge and Technology, 2014,10(26):6210-6213.
[39]	高智群,张美剑,赵科理,等.土壤-水稻系统重金属空间异质性研究——以浙江省嵊州市为例[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016,36(1):215-224. Gao Zhiqun, Zhang Meijian, Zhao Keli, et al. Heavy metal contamination in soil-rice system and its spatial variation in Shengzhou City[J]. China Environmental Science, 2016,36(1):215-224.
[40]	姜凤成,李义连,杨森,等.秦王川盆地土壤重金属来源、分布及污染评价[J]. 中国环境科学, 2018,38(6):2243-2252. Jiang Fengchen, Li Yilian, Yang Sen, et al. Source analysis, distribution and pollution assessment of the soil heavy metals in the Qinwangchuan Basin[J]. China Environmental Science, 2018,38(6):2243-2252.