中国废纸回收系统物质流分析与评价

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Abstract

This paper constructed a benchmark model of China's waste paper recycling decision system in 2017, focusing on the impact of nonstandard waste paper recycling on the economic and environmental benefits of China's domestic waste paper recycling system. This model construction was followed by sensitivity analysis of the relevant parameters affecting the efficiency of the waste paper recycling system. Finally,the system's economic benefits and GHG emissions were forecast in the context of integrating nonstandard recycling vendors. The results showed that the economic benefit of China's waste paper recycling in 2017 was approximately 458.3 yuan/t and that the GHG emissions were 901.1kgCO₂eq. The standard recovery rate and nonstandard recovery acceptance rate would both have a significant impact on the system's economic benefits and improved the GHG emissions structure. In the context of integrating nonstandard recycling enterprises and individual recycling vendors, the economic benefits would rise to 3312.5 yuan/t in 2030, while GHG emissions would rise to 942.9kg CO₂eq. And through scenario prediction, it was found that the integration of nonstandard recycling could improve the standard recovery rate, which could effectively regulate China's waste paper recycling market.

Key words： waste paper recycling material flow analysis sensitivity analysis scenario prediction

Received: 22 April 2019

PACS:	X705
	X32

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	LIU Man-zhi
	TAN Shuai
	LUAN Chang-jin
	FU Zhi-wei

Cite this article:

LIU Man-zhi,TAN Shuai,LUAN Chang-jin等. Material flow analysis and evaluation of waste paper recycling system in China[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2020, 40(1): 439-452.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2020/V40/I1/439

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