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| Estimating the construction waste generation in Jinan using the grey system theory |
| YUAN Jian1,3, ZENG Xian-lai1, CHEN ming2 |
1. Division of Solid Waste Management, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
2. Shandong TV University, Jinan 250014, China;
3. Jinan Dongtuo Real Estate Co., Ltd, Jinan 250101, China |
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Abstract The construction waste residue generation in Jinan City, China from 2000 to 2017 was firstly assessed based on the method of building area estimation, GM (1,1) model was then created with the estimated value as the original data. Finally, we applied our model to predict the output of construction waste generation in Jinan in the next five years. Validation results showed the accuracy of the model was excellent. The results indicated that the GM (1,1) model could accurately forecast the annual output of the construction waste residue in Jinan, the projected waste would increase to 10 million tons per year in 2022 from 8.6 million tons per year in 2018.
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Received: 19 January 2020
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