面向碳达峰目标的重庆市碳减排路径

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Abstract Taking Chongqing as a case, the localization LEAP model was built. Based on this model and further by means of LMDI decomposition, Tapio decoupling elasticity, comparison of emission reduction effect of single measures and cross-elasticity of pollution reduction and carbon reduction, the pathway to peak carbon emission and the corresponding factors were explored in the context of Chongqing City. It is difficult for Chongqing to peak carbon emissions by 2030 under its current measures. If the carbon emission reduction measures are strengthened, Chongqing can achieve a peak of 162 million tons carbon emissions by 2025. It reveals that the intensity of industrial terminal energy, the energy consumption structure, as well as the industrial structure and the power production structure are four key factors affecting Chongqing's carbon peak goal. By comparison, controlling industrial energy consumption and adjusting industrial structure can obtain more significant effects on carbon emission reduction. Furthermore, these two measures prove synergistic effects of pollution reduction and carbon reduction, and should be the priority of Chongqing on its pathway to peak carbon emissions.

Key words： carbon emission peak emission reduction path LEAP model Chongqing

Received: 20 July 2021

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	Articles by authors
	SONG Peng
	ZHANG Hui-min
	MAO Xian-qiang

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SONG Peng,ZHANG Hui-min,MAO Xian-qiang. Research on Chongqing’s carbon emission reduction path towards the goal of carbon peak[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2022, 42(3): 1446-1455.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2022/V42/I3/1446

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