中国农业农村碳排放结构与碳达峰分析

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Abstract This paper presents the carbon emissions and carbon intensity of farming, animal husbandry and rural households, and analyses their differences and convergence. The results indicate that the carbon emissions from the farming industry and the livestock industry in China peaked at 688.2102 million tons and 399.094 million tons of carbon dioxide in 2015, while the carbon emissions from the agricultural and rural areas as a whole peaked at 1500.39 million tons of carbon dioxide in 2017; in terms of the emission structure, about 50% of the carbon emissions attributed to the farming industry, while the proportion of carbon emissions from residential life rose sharply, accounting for about 30% in 2019, which mainly originated from residential energy consumption; with regard to the overall carbon emission intensity of agriculture and rural areas, the changes in the Thiel index indicate an overall increase in variance, and the σ convergence and β convergence results indicate a convergence of carbon emission intensity to the overall average level. Agriculture is crucial to food security, and after the carbon peak, food production should be ensured while meeting the carbon neutrality target. In the future, it has to improve the quality of arable land, promote high-yielding low-carbon varieties, enhance the utilization rate of agricultural production factors, and develop agricultural technology, lifting technology efficiency and achieving sustainable carbon emission reduction.

Key words： agriculture rural carbon emission intensity structure carbon peak

Received: 19 September 2022

PACS:	X322
	F326.3

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	ZENG Xian-gang
	YU Chang
	SUN Ya-qi

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ZENG Xian-gang,YU Chang,SUN Ya-qi. Carbon emission structure and carbon peak of agriculture and rural areas in China[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2023, 43(4): 1906-1918.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2023/V43/I4/1906

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