基于31省MRIO模型的中国省际碳转移及碳公平研究

陈晖; 温婧; 庞军; 陈政; 韦雨杉

PDF(732 KB)

中国环境科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (12) : 5540-5550.

环境影响评价与管理

基于31省MRIO模型的中国省际碳转移及碳公平研究

陈晖¹, 温婧², 庞军², 陈政¹, 韦雨杉²

作者信息 +

Research on the carbon transfer and carbon equity at provincial level of China based on MRIO model of 31 provinces

CHEN hui¹, WEN Jing², PANG Jun², CHEN Zheng¹, WEI Yu-shan²

Author information +

文章历史 +

摘要

基于MRIO模型方法自主编制了2012年中国区域间投入产出表，测算了中国31省在生产者责任和消费者责任视角下的碳排放量，以及省际贸易隐含碳转移量.在此基础上，分别从各省在省际贸易隐含碳净转移与隐含GDP净转移之间的关系、污染贸易条件值以及碳基尼系数三个方面分析了我国省际碳公平性问题.由于经济发展水平、资源禀赋、产业结构和能源结构的差异，各省在生产者和消费者视角下的碳排放量存在明显差异；隐含碳净转入省份多位于西部或属于欠发达省份，隐含碳净转出省份多为经济发达省份.中国31省在省际贸易中存在着明显的碳不公平现象，部分发达省份不仅让外省承担了自身的部分碳排放，而且获得了来自外省的GDP净输入，污染贸易条件值也小于1，在碳排放空间分配及经济效益上均处于绝对优势地位；而部分西部省份不仅为外省承接了部分碳排放还对外省净输出了GDP，污染贸易条件值也大于1，在碳排放空间分配和经济效益上均处于绝对劣势地位.2012年我国31省碳基尼系数在消费者责任视角下为0.24，在生产者责任视角下则达到了0.31，表明生产者责任视角下我国省际碳排放空间分配不公平性有所增强.

Abstract

The 2012 multi-regional input-output table with 31 provincial regions and 16 industries of China in the paper has been developed based on the MRIO model. Meanwhile, the carbon emissions of 31 provinces in China from the perspective of producer and consumer responsibility and the carbon transfer embodied in inter-provincial trade have been calculated in this paper. On this basis, the inter-provincial carbon equity was analyzed by the relationship between the embodied net transfer of carbon emissions and GDP, the pollution terms of trade and the carbon Gini coefficient respectively. The results showed that the provincial carbon emissions from the perspective of producer and consumer responsibility vary significantly because of the differences of economic development level, resource endowment, industrial structure, energy structure, etc. In addition to this, a tendency of carbon emissions' net transfer has been showed from the western or less developed provinces to those with high economic development level. Carbon inequality between China's 31 provinces in inter-provincial trade was obvious. Some developed provinces not only let other provinces bear part of their own carbon emissions, but also obtain net GDP input from other provinces and their terms of trade of pollution is less than 1, which means they are in a more dominant position in the carbon emission space allocation and economic benefits than those western provinces which not only undertake part of carbon emissions for other provinces, but also lose their GDP and their terms of trade of pollution are more than 1. From the perspective of consumer responsibility, the 31 provinces of China's carbon Gini was 0.24 in 2012, and reaches 0.31 from the perspective of producer responsibility. It was indicated that the inequality of spatial distribution of carbon emissions among provinces in China has been enhanced under the perspective of producer responsibility.

导出引用

陈晖, 温婧, 庞军, 陈政, 韦雨杉. 基于31省MRIO模型的中国省际碳转移及碳公平研究[J]. 中国环境科学. 2020, 40(12): 5540-5550

CHEN hui, WEN Jing, PANG Jun, CHEN Zheng, WEI Yu-shan. Research on the carbon transfer and carbon equity at provincial level of China based on MRIO model of 31 provinces[J]. China Environmental Science. 2020, 40(12): 5540-5550

中图分类号： X32

参考文献

[1] 罗芳,郭艺,魏文栋.长江经济带碳排放与经济增长的脱钩关系——基于生产者和消费者视角[J]. 中国环境科学, 2020,40(3):1364-1373. Luo F, Guo Y, Wei W D. Decoupling analysis between economic growth and carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Economic Belt-production and consumption perspectives[J]. China Environmental Science, 2020,40(3):1364-1373.
[2] 宋德勇,刘习平.中国省际碳排放空间分配研究[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2013,23(5):7-13. Song D Y, Liu X P. Spatial distribution of provincial carbon emissions[J]. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2013, 23(5):7-13.
[3] Machado G, Schaeffer R, Worrell E. Energy and carbon embodied in the international trade of Brazil:an input-output approach[J]. Ecological economics, 2001,39(3):409-424.
[4] Gavrilova O, Jonas M, Erb K, et al. International trade and Austria's livestock system:Direct and hidden carbon emission flows associated with production and consumption of products[J]. Ecological Economics, 2010,69(4):920-929.
[5] Lin B Q, Sun C W. Evaluating carbon dioxide emissions in international trade of China[J]. Energy Policy, 2010,38(1):613-621.
[6] Liu X, Ishikawa M, Wang C, Dong Y, et al. Analyses of CO₂ emissions embodied in Japan-China trade[J]. Energy Policy, 2010,38(3):1510-1518.
[7] Shui B, Harriss R C. The role of CO₂embodiment in US-China trade[J]. Energy Policy, 2006,34(18):4063-4068.
[8] 姚亮,刘晶茹.中国八大区域间碳排放转移研究[J]. 中国人口•资源与环境, 2010,20(12):16-19. Yao L, Liu J R. Transfer of carbon emissions between China's eight major regions[J]. China Population, Resouces and Environment, 2010, 20(12):16-19.
[9] 石敏俊,王研,张卓颖,等.中国各省区碳足迹与碳排放空间转移[J]. 地理学报, 2012,67(10):1327-1338. Shi M J, Wang Y, Zhang Z Y, et al. Regional carbon footprint and interregional transfer of carbon emissions in China[J]. Acta Geographics Sinica, 2012,67(10):1327-1338.
[10] Guo J, Zhang Z, Meng L. China's provincial CO₂ emissions embodied in international and interprovincial trade[J]. Energy Policy, 2012,42:486-497.
[11] Jiang Y K, Cai W J, Wan L Y, et al. An index decomposition analysis of China`s interregional embodied carbon flows[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2015,88:289-296.
[12] Sánchez-Chóliz J, Duarte R. CO₂ emissions embodied in international trade:Evidence of Spain[J]. Energy Policy, 2004, 32(18):1999-2005
[13] Mukhopadhyay K, Chakraborty D. Environmental impacts of trade in India[J]. International Trade Journal, 2005,19(2):135-163.
[14] Bin Su, B.W. Ang. Input-output analysis of CO2emissions embodied in trade:A multi-region model for China. Applied Energy, 2014,114:377-384.
[15] 周新.国际贸易中的隐含碳排放核算及贸易调整后的国家温室气体排放[J]. 管理评论, 2010,22(6):17-24. Zhou X. Emissions embodied in international trade and trade adjustment to national GHG inventory[J]. Management Review, 2010,22(6):17-24.
[16] 刘红光,范晓梅.中国区域间隐含碳排放转移[J]. 生态学报, 2014, 34(11):3016-3024. Liu H G, Fan X M. CO₂emissions transfer embedded in inter-regional trade in China[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2014,34(11):3016-3024.
[17] Polenske K R. An empirical test of interregional input-output models:estimation of 1963 Japanese production[J]. American Economic Review, 1970,60(2):76-82.
[18] 张阿玲,李继峰.地区间投入产出模型分析[J]. 系统工程学报, 2004, 19(6):615-619. Zhang A L, Li J F. Analysis on interregional input-output models[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering, 2004,19(6):615-619.
[19] 滕飞,何建坤,潘勋章,等.碳公平的测度:基于人均历史累计排放的碳基尼系数[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2010,6(6):449-455. Teng F, He J K, Pan X Z, et al. How to measure carbon equity:Carbon gini index based on historical cumulative emission per capita[J]. Advances in Climate Change Research, 2010,6(6):449-455.
[20] Hedenus F, Azar C. Estimates of trends in global income and resource inequalities[J]. Ecological Economics, 2005,55(3):351-364.
[21] Duro J A, Padilla E. International inequalities in per capita CO₂ emissions:a decomposition methodology by Kaya factors[J]. Energy Economics, 2006,28(2):170-187.
[22] Heil M T, Wodon Q T. Inequality in CO₂ emissions between poor and rich countries[J]. Journal of Environment and Development, 1997,6:426-452.
[23] Heil M T, Wodon Q T. Future inequality in CO₂ emissions and the impact of abatement proposals[J]. Environmental and Resource Economics, 2000,17(2):163-181.
[24] Groot L. Carbon Lorenz Curves[J]. Resource and Energy Economics, 2010,32(1):45-64.
[25] Leontief W, Strout A. Multiregional input-output analysis//Barna T. Structural interdependence and economic development. London:St. Martin's Press, 1963.
[26] 井原健雄.地域的经济分析[M]. 东京:中央经济社, 1996. Takeo L. Economic Analysis of Regions[M]. Tokyo:Central Economic Press, 1996.
[27] Zhang W, Liu Y, Feng K, et al. Revealing environmental inequality hidden in China's inter-regional trade[J]. Environmental Science and Technology, 2018,52(13):7171-7181.
[28] Antweiler W. Pollution terms of trade[J]. Economics Systems Research, 1996,8(4):361-365.
[29] 国家统计局国民经济核算司.中国2012年投入产出表[M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2015. Department of National Accounts of the National Bureau of Statistics of China. Input-output tables of China in 2012[M]. Beijing:China Statistics Press, 2015.
[30] 中国交通年鉴编辑委员会. 中国交通年鉴[M]. 北京:中国交通年鉴社, 2013. Editorial board of yearbook of China transportation and communications. Yearbook of China transportation and communications[M]. Beijing:Yearbook of China Integrated Transport Press, 2013.
[31] 中国铁路总公司档案史志中心.中国铁道年鉴2013[M]. 北京:中国铁路总公司, 2013. Archives and Historical Records Center of China Railway Corporation. China railway yearbook 2013[M]. Beijing:China Railway Corporation, 2013.
[32] 国家统计局.中国能源统计年鉴[M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2013. National Bureau of Statistics of China. China energy statistical yearbook[M]. Beijing:China Statistics Press, 2013.
[33] 高广生.中国温室气体清单研究[M]. 北京:中国环境科学出版社, 2007. Gao G S. The people's republic of China national greenhouse gas inventory[M]. Beijing:China Environmental Science Press, 2007.
[34] 国家统计局.中国统计年鉴[M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2013. National Bureau of Statistics of China. China statistical yearbook[M]. Beijing:China Statistics Press, 2013.