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The spatiotemporal variation of surface ozone and the main driving factors in North China |
KE Bi-qin1, HE Chao1, YANG Lu1, YE Zhi-xiang1, YI Jia-hui1, TIAN Ya1, MU Hang1, TU Pei-yue2, HAN Chao-ran1, HONG Song1 |
1. School of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China; 2. School of Resources and Environment, Hubei University, Wuhan 430062, China |
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Abstract We used trend analysis (TA), geographically temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model and multi-factor generalized additive model (MGAM) to investigate the spatiotemporal variation and complex nonlinear relationships between O3 concentration and the factors influencing O3 concentration in North China from 2015 to 2020. The six annual average O3 concentration in North China was greater than 70μg/m3, with an overall trend of continuous growth and an increased rate of 2.3μg/(m3·a) on average (P<0.01); the annual O3 concentration of North China was the highest in summer (136.6μg/m3), followed by spring (112.4μg/m3), autumn (78.8μg/m3) and winter (56.5μg/m3); the spatial variation was high in the southwest and low in the northeast. Air temperature was the primary meteorological driver of O3 concentration in North China, followed by wind speed and precipitation; O3 concentration had a significant positive correlation with air temperature and wind speed, and a significant negative correlation with air pressure, relative humidity, precipitation, and visibility; the interaction of temperature and relative humidity, temperature and visibility, and temperature and barometric pressure was significant. The share of secondary industry in GDP was the primarily socio-economic driver factor of O3 concentration increase in North China, and the influence of industrial production electricity consumption and industrial SO2 emissions on the change of O3 concentration played an roles, too.
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Received: 23 September 2021
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