土地利用时空变化的关键驱动因子及其影响趋势——以武威市为例

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Abstract Based on the Landsat TM/OLI remote sensing image data of Wuwei City in 1990, 2000, 2010 and 2021, this paper used the methods of land use dynamic change index, land use transfer matrix, center of gravity migration model and principal component comprehensive score model, combined with meteorological data and socio- economic statistical data, the spatio-temporal driving factors of land use change in Wuwei City were quantitatively analysed. The results show that: In the past 32 years, the area of Grassland, Cropland, Impervious and Water in Wuwei City showed an increasing trend, while the area of Barren and Forest showed a decreasing trend, and the dynamic rate ranged from 2.56% to -0.13%. Forest and Barren were mainly converted to Grassland and Cropland; The spatial difference of land use change in the study area was obvious. The center of gravity migration distance of Water was the largest, followed by Cropland and Barren was the least; Human activities and climate change were the key factors affecting land use change in Wuwei City. The contribution rate of human activities was 56.35%, which was much higher than that of climate change in 43.65%, and the impacts of both showed an upward trend, and the influence trend of human activities was greater than that of climate change. In the future, we should give full play to the positive role of human beings, so as to promote the coordinated development of human and land.

Key words： land use change center of gravity migration model principal component analysis (PCA) contribution rate of driving factors Wuwei City

Received: 27 April 2023

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X32

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	WANG Xing-dan
	LIU Pu-xing
	GENG Meng-die
	WANG Miao
	LU Juan

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WANG Xing-dan,LIU Pu-xing,GENG Meng-die等. The key driving factors of land use patio-temporal change and its influence trend——A case study of Wuwei[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2023, 43(12): 6583-6591.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2023/V43/I12/6583

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