未来气候变暖对北运河通州段自净过程的影响

Abstract
Figure/Table
References
Related Citation (14)

Download: PDF (761 KB) HTML (1 KB)
Export: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

Abstract In order to quantify the effect of temperature changes occurred by climate change on self-purification capacity of urban river in the future, both RCP4.5and RCP8.5-the two scenarios of climate change which were mentioned in CMIP5, and the WASP module were applied to simulate and predict DO, CBOD, nitrate nitrogen and ammonia nitrogen in Tongzhou section of Beiyun river. With the simulation result, the internal transformation processes of the above factors by responsiveness of each sub-modules were analyzed. It showed that:firstly, up to 2050, the concentration of nitrate nitrogen in the all year round and the concentration of ammonia nitrogen in April-December would increase gradually, but the concentration of ammonia nitrogen would decease in January-March of Tongzhou section of Beiyun river, which was caused by climate change; secondly, the effect on water quality caused by climate change was a comprehensive result of multiple processes, in other words, even if the water quality had no obvious change, the process of its formation mechanism might be large; and thirdly, up to 2050, the process of phytoplankton growth, denitrification process and mineralization of ammonia nitrogen of water self-purification would be affected heavily by climate change.

Key words： Global warming water body purification Beiyun river climate models water quality models

Received: 04 June 2016

PACS:

X522

	Service

	E-mail this article
	Add to my bookshelf
	Add to citation manager
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	Articles by authors
	ZHANG Zhi-ming
	WANG Xiao-yan
	MA Wen-lin
	ZHANG Jun-zhi
	PAN Run-ze
	YANG Ruo-zi

Cite this article:

ZHANG Zhi-ming,WANG Xiao-yan,MA Wen-lin等. The effects of global warming on purification processes of Tongzhou section of Beiyun river[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2017, 37(2): 730-739.

URL:

http://manu36.magtech.com.cn/Jweb_zghjkx/EN/ OR http://manu36.magtech.com.cn/Jweb_zghjkx/EN/Y2017/V37/I2/730

[1]	谭夔,陈求稳,毛劲桥,等.大清河河口水体自净能力实验[J]. 生态学报, 2007,27(11):4736-4742.
[2]	Ostroumov S A. On some issues of maintaining water quality and self-purification[J]. Water Resources, 2005,32(3):337-346.
[3]	杨丽蓉,陈利顶,孙然好.河道生态系统特征及其自净化能力研究现状与发展[J]. 生态学报, 2009,29(9):5066-5075.
[4]	张建云,王国庆,贺瑞敏,等.黄河中游水文变化趋势及其对气候变化的响应[J]. 水科学进展, 2009,20(2):153-158.
[5]	Dallavm, Marcomini A, Codatoe. 2007. Climate change influence on POPs distribution and fate. A case study[J]. Chemosphere, 67(7):1287-1295.
[6]	Delpla I, Jungav, Baures E, et al. Impact of climate change on surface water quality in relation to drinking water production[J]. Environment International, 2009,35(8):1225-1233.
[7]	Wilby R L, Whitehead P G, Wade A J,et al. Integrated modeling of climate change impacts on water resources and quality in a lowland catchment. River Kennet, UK[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2006,330(1/2):204-220.
[8]	Lamon L Vallemd. Introducing an integrated climate change perspective in POPs modeling, monitoring and regulation[J]. Environmental Pollution, 2009,157(7):1971-1980.
[9]	Long Tianyu, Wu Lei, Meng Guohu, et al. Numerical simulation for impacts of hydrodynamic conditions on algae growth in Chongqing Section of Jialing River, China[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2011,222(1):112-119.
[10]	Whitehead P G, Wilby R L, Battarbee R W, et al. A review of the potential impacts of climate change on surface water quality[J]. Hydrological Sciences, 2009,(54):101-123.
[11]	Deguo Kong, Matthew MacLeod, Zhe Li, et al. Effects of input uncertainty and variability on the modelled environmental fate of organic pollutants under global climate change scenarios[J]. Chemosphere, 2013,(93):2086-2093.
[12]	Hosomi M, Okada M, Sudo R. Development of the phosphorus dynamics model in sediment-water system and assessment of eutrophication control program[J]. Water Science and Technology, 1996,24(6):339-348.
[13]	Matthijs B, Zwolsman J J G. Climate change induced salinisation of artificial lakes in the Netherlands and consequences for drinking water production[J]. Water Research, 2010,44:4411-4424.
[14]	Hassen H, Hanaki K, Matsuo T. A modeling approach to simulate impact of climate change lake water quality. phytoplankton growth rate assessment[J]. Water Science and Technology, 1998, 37(2):177-185.
[15]	Arheimer B, Andreasson J, Fogelberg S, et al. Climate change impact on water quality:Model results from Southern Sweden[J]. Ambio Towards More Integrated Water Resource Management, 2005,34(7):559-566.
[16]	刘梅,吕军.我国东部河流水文水质对气候变化响应的研究[J]. 环境科学学报, 2015,35(1):108-117.
[17]	Liu M, Lu J. Response of river hydrology and water quality to climate change in Changle River Watershed, Eastern China[J]. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2015,35(1):108-117.
[18]	黄金龙,苏布达,朱娴韵,等.CMIP5多模式集合对南亚印度河流域气候变化的模拟与预估[J]. 冰川冻土, 2015,37(2):297-307.
[19]	程志刚,张渊萌,徐影.基于CMIP5模式集合预估21世纪中国气候带变迁趋势[J]. 气候变化研究进展, 2015,11(2):93-101.
[20]	王冀,江志红,丁裕国,等.21世纪中国极端气温指数变化情况预估[J]. 资源科学, 2008,30(7):1084-1092.
[21]	董海萍,张秀丽,郭卫东,等.2010年8月环流形势的多模式超级集合预报[J]. 应用气象学报, 2013,24(5):606-616.
[22]	李克锋,郝红升,庄春义.利用气象因子估算天然河道水温的新公式[J]. 四川大学学报(工程科学版), 2006,38(1):4-7.
[23]	Daniel Caissie, Nassir El-Jabi, Mysore G Satish.Modelling of maximum daily water temperatures in a small stream using air temperatures[J]. Journal of hydrology, 2001,251:14-28.
[24]	孙大明,田慧丰,张欢,等.长江上游水文监测及水温和气温关系研究[J]. 建筑节能, 2010,38(238):74-77
[25]	徐祖信,廖振良.水质数学模型研究的发展阶段与空间层次[J]. 上海环境科学, 2003,22(2):72-85.
[26]	杨家宽,肖波,刘年丰,等.WASP6预测南水北调后襄樊段的水质[J]. 中国给水排水, 2005,21(9):103-104.
[27]	Lin C E, Chen C T, Kao C M, et al. Development of the sediment and water quality management strategies for the Salt-water River, Taiwan[J]. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 2011,63(1/2):528-534.
[28]	Chao X B, Jia Y F, Shields F D Jr, et al. Three-dimensional numerical simulation of water quality and sediment-associated processes with application to a Mississippi Delta lake[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2010,91(7):1456-1466.
[29]	史铁锤,王飞儿,方晓波.基于WASP的湖州市环太湖河网区水质管理模式[J]. 环境科学学报, 2010,30(3):631-640.
[30]	Arioli Y, Bendoricchio G, Palmeri L, et al. Defining and modelling the coastal zone affected by the Po river (Italy)[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2005,184(1):55-68.
[31]	张质明,王晓燕,李明涛.基于全局敏感性分析方法的WASP模型不确定性分析[J]. 中国环境科学, 2014,34(5):1336-1346.