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| A CGE-based analysis on PM2.5-induced health-related economic effect in Beijing |
| WANG Gui-zhi, WU Ling-yan, CHEN Ji-bo, SONG Ying-xi, CHEN Rong-rong |
| School of Mathematics and Statistics, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China |
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Abstract In order to assess the effects of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) on public health and the economy,Beijing city was taken into account,where negative health effects of local residents were firstly quantified via an exposure-response relationship,so as to obtain corresponding labor force losses and additional health care costs.A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model could then be built in a closed economy to simulate exogenous shocks on the entire economic system of labor force losses and additional health care costs by the PM2.5 pollution.According to the results,22247(95% confidence interval[CI]:6286-34705) premature deaths have been caused by the PM2.5 pollution with more than 1million related medical cases in Beijing in 2013.The additional medical cost on that was estimated to rise to about 1.113(95% CI:0.291-1.882) billion RMB.In addition,23.969(95% CI:8.593-37.205) billion RMB have been costed on the total output of the industrial sector,as well as 901(95% CI:353-1357) million RMB loss to regional Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Beijing.
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Received: 21 November 2016
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