闽三角地区碳排放时空差异及影响因素研究

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Abstract In the present study, the carbon emissions inventory at city level is first constructed for Fujian Southeast Triangle Region during the period 2005~2017. The temporal and spatial differences of CO₂ emissions changes and main driving factors of emissions are explored by using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index Method. Empirical results show that:During the period 2005~2017, the CO₂ emissions has increased rapidly, from 74.08 Mt in 2005 to 169.48 Mt in 2017, an increase of 128.75%. Among them, Quanzhou City is the top carbon emitter, representing high to 67.93%. In terms of the emissions change trend, the industrial structure and economic growth are the main factors leading to the increase in carbon emissions in Fujian Southeast Triangle Region, contributing to 30.38% and 12.21%, respectively. While the energy structure is an important factor in controlling carbon emissions, contributing to -45.76%. In terms of temporal and spatial differences, the energy structure effect exhibits an inhibitory effect, with a maximum contribution rate of 52.95%. While the industrial structure effect exhibits a promotion effect, with a maximum contribution rate of 33.85%. During the study period, there exists the largest reduction amount of carbon emissions in Zhangzhou City, with a maximum net emission reduction of 148.27 Mt. The contribution rates of economic growth and industrial structure effects in Quanzhou City are relatively high, indicating that there is still a great potential for emissions reduction in the future. The contribution rates of economic growth and industrial structure effects in Xiamen City are both lower than the reference value, and their fluctuations are relatively small, showing that the pressure of carbon emissions reduction is rather low. These results have deepened the scientific understanding of the spatial and temporal pattern and driving factors of carbon emissions in Fujian Southeast Triangle Region, and also provided some valuable recommendations for the government to abate emissions in this region or similar urban agglomerations.

Key words： carbon emissions spatial-temporal decomposition driving factors Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index Multi-Region Model Fujian Southeast Triangle Region

Received: 21 October 2019

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	HUANG Lin-lin
	WANG Yuan
	ZHANG Chen
	HUANG Yi-min

Cite this article:

HUANG Lin-lin,WANG Yuan,ZHANG Chen等. A spatial-temporal decomposition analysis of CO₂ emissions in Fujian Southeast Triangle Region[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2020, 40(5): 2312-2320.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2020/V40/I5/2312

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