基于生态系统服务权衡的生态安全多情景决策

Abstract
Figure/Table
References
Related Citation (15)

Download: PDF (2148 KB) HTML (1 KB)
Export: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

Abstract Focusing on the theme of identifying the ecological security pattern of the Chengdu-Chongqing Urban Agglomeration and coupling multi-source data, this study uses corresponding models and algorithms to estimate the value of regional food production, carbon sequestration, water production, soil conservation, and habitat quality. On this basis, spatial statistics and analysis are used to clarify the trade-off/synergy relationship between ecosystem service functions, and different risk scenarios are established to clarify the ecological security pattern which is suitable for regional development. It showed that from 2000 to 2015, the three ecosystem service functions of food production, carbon sequestration and water production in Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration displayed a downward trend, while the other two functions of soil conservation and habitat quality had an upward trend, and the spatial distribution of various services was obviously heterogeneous. There was a synergistic relationship among the four ecosystem services of carbon sequestration, water production, soil conservation and habitat quality. Food production and these four ecosystem services all showed a trade-off relationship, but this conflict was gradually weakening in the process of regional development. In terms of spatial distribution, the trade-off/synergy relationship between these ecosystem services of the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration showed certain agglomeration characteristics. The trade-off between ecosystem services under different decision- making risks was also different. With the increase of the decision-making risk coefficient, the trade-off value showed a trend of rising first and then decreasing. Finally, the optimal scenario was determined as the risk coefficient α=1.6, the trade-off value was the highest and the risk was moderate under this scenario. Incorporating the attitude of decision-makers into the process of identifying the ecological security pattern to make the results more comprehensive and provide scientific support for the evaluation and management of the ecological security pattern of urban agglomerations.

Key words： ecosystem services trade-offs and synergy multi-scenarios ecological security pattern the Chengdu-Chongqing Urban Agglomeration

Received: 04 January 2021

PACS:	X144
	X171.1
	X9

	Service

	E-mail this article
	Add to my bookshelf
	Add to citation manager
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	Articles by authors
	CHEN Tian-tian
	PENG Li
	WANG Qiang

Cite this article:

CHEN Tian-tian,PENG Li,WANG Qiang. Scenario decision of ecological security based on the trade-off among ecosystem services[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2021, 41(8): 3956-3968.

URL:

http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2021/V41/I8/3956

[1]	傅伯杰,张立伟.土地利用变化与生态系统服务:概念、方法与进展[J]. 地理科学进展, 2014,33(4):441-446. Fu Bojie, Zhang Liwei. Land-use change and ecosystem services:concepts, methods and progress[J]. Progress in geography, 2014,33(4):441-446.
[2]	俞孔坚,王思思,李迪华,等.北京市生态安全格局及城市增长预景[J]. 生态学报, 2009,29(3):1189-1204. YU Kongjian, WANG Sisi, LI Dihua, et al. The function of ecological security patterns as an urban growth frame work in Beijing[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2009,29(3):1189-1204.
[3]	Tang X, Li H, Xu X, et al. Changing land use and its impact on the habitat suitability for wintering Anseriformes in China's Poyang Lake region[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2016,557-558(Jul.1):296-306.
[4]	Eekhout J P C, Boix-Fayos C, Pedro P C, et al. The impact of reservoir construction and changes in land use and climate on ecosystem services in a large Mediterranean catchment[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2020,590:125208.
[5]	刘爱琳,匡文慧,张弛.1990~2015年中国工矿用地扩张及其对粮食安全的潜在影响[J]. 地理科学进展, 2017,(5):618-625. Li Ailin, Kuang Wenhui, Zhang Chi. Potential impacts of industrial land expansion on food security in China, 1990~2015[J]. Progress in Geography, 2017,(5):618-625.
[6]	Feng X M, Fu B J, Piao S L, et al. Revegetation in China's Loess Plateau is approaching sustainable water resource limits[J]. Nature Climate Change, 2016,6(11):1019-1030.
[7]	Chen, X G, Luo Y J, Zhou Y F, et al. Carbon Sequestration Potential in Stands under the Grain for Green Program in Southwest China[J]. PLOS ONE, 2016,11(3):e0150992.
[8]	Wang X F, Zhang X R, Feng X M, et al. Trade-offs and synergies of ecosystem services in karst area of China driven by grain-for-green program[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2020,30(1):101-114.
[9]	彭建,赵会娟,刘焱序,等.区域生态安全格局构建研究进展与展望[J]. 地理研究, 2017,(3):5-17. Peng Jian, Zhao Huijuan, Liu Yanxu, et al. Research progress and prospect on regional ecological security pattern construction. Progress in geography, 2017,(3):5-17.
[10]	吴茂全,胡蒙蒙,汪涛,等.基于生态安全格局与多尺度景观连通性的城市生态源地识别[J]. 生态学报, 2019,(13):4720-4731. Wu Maoquan, Hu Mengmeng, Wang Tao, et al. Recognition of urban ecological source area based on ecological security pattern and multi-scale landscape connectivity[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2019, (13):4720-4731.
[11]	郑华伟,夏梦蕾,张锐,等.基于熵值法和灰色预测模型的耕地生态安全诊断[J]. 水土保持通报, 2016,(3):284-289. Zheng Huawei, Xia Menglei, Zhang Rui, et al. Diagnosis on Ecological Security of Cultivated Land Based on Entropy Method and Grey Prediction Model[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2016,(3):284-289.
[12]	何玲,贾启建,李超,等.基于生态系统服务价值和生态安全格局的土地利用格局模拟[J]. 农业工程学报, 2016,(3):275-284. He Ling, Jia Qijian, Li Chao, et al. Land use pattern simulation based on ecosystem service value and ecological security pattern[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2016, (3):275-284.
[13]	Fu Q, Gu CL. Delineation of ecological security pattern based on ecological network[J]. The Journal of Applied Ecology, 2017,28(3):1021-1029.
[14]	彭建,郭小楠,胡熠娜,等.基于地质灾害敏感性的山地生态安全格局构建——以云南省玉溪市为例[J]. 应用生态学报, 2017,28(2):627-635. Peng Jian, Guo Xiaonan, Hu Yina, et al. Constructing ecological security patterns in mountain areas based on geological disaster sensitivity:A case study in Yuxi City, Yunnan Province, China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2017,28(2):627-635.
[15]	彭建,李慧蕾,刘焱序,等.雄安新区生态安全格局识别与优化策略[J]. 地理学报, 2018,73(4):701-710. Peng Jian, Li Huilei, Liu Yanxu, et al. Identification and optimization of ecological security pattern in Xiong'an New Area[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2018,73(4):701-710.
[16]	Zhang R S, Pu L J, Li J G, et al. Landscape ecological security response to land use change in the tidal flat reclamation zone, China. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 2016,188(1):1-10.
[17]	吴健生,马洪坤,彭建.基于"功能节点-关键廊道"的城市生态安全格局构建——以深圳市为例[J]. 地理科学进展, 2018,37(12):1663-1671. Wu Jiansheng, Ma Hongkun, Peng Jian. Improving urban ecological security pattern based on functional nodes-key corridors:A case study of Shenzhen City[J]. Progress in Geography, 2018,37(12):1663-1671.
[18]	吴健生,岳新欣,秦维.基于生态系统服务价值重构的生态安全格局构建——以重庆两江新区为例[J]. 地理研究, 2017,36(3):429-440. Wu Jiansheng, Yue Xinxin, Qin Wei. The establishment of ecological security patterns based on the redistribution of ecosystem service value:A case study in the Liangjiang New Area, Chongqing[J]. Geographical Research, 2017,36(3):429-440.
[19]	赵筱青,谭琨,易琦,等.典型高原湖泊流域生态安全格局构建——以杞麓湖流域为例[J]. 中国环境科学, 2019,39(2):322-331. Zhao Xiaoqing, Tan Kun, Yi Qi, et al. Construction of ecological security pattern in typical plateau lake basin——A case of the Qilu Lake basin[J]. China Environmental Science, 2019,39(2):322-331.
[20]	王玉莹,金晓斌,沈春竹,等.东部发达区生态安全格局构建——以苏南地区为例[J]. 生态学报, 2019,39(7):2298-2230. Wang Yuying, Jin Xiaobin, Shen Chunzhu, et al. Establishment of an ecological security pattern in the eastern developed regions:A case study of the Sunan District[J]. Acta ecologica sinica, 2019,39(7):2298-2230.
[21]	倪庆琳,丁忠义,侯湖平,等.基于电路理论的生态格局识别与保护研究——以宁武县为例[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2019,20(5):67-73. Ni Qinglin, Ding Zhongyi, Hou Huping, et al. Ecological pattern recognition and protection based on circuit theory-A case study of Ningwu county[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2019,20(5):67-73.
[22]	李久林,徐建刚,储金龙.基于Circuit理论的城市生态安全格局研究——以安庆市为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2020,29(8):1812-1824. Li Jiulin, Xu Jiangang, Chu Jinlong. Constructing the urban ecological security pattern of Anqing City of circuit theory[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2020,29(8):1812-1824.
[23]	Lautenbach S, Volk M, Gruber B, et al. Quantifying ecosystem service trade-offs.[C]//International Environmental Modelling and Software Society (iEMSs). 2010 International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software Modelling for Environment's Sake. Ottawa:2010.
[24]	赵文祯,韩增林,闫晓露,等.基于生态系统服务多情景权衡的格局构建-以大连市瓦房店为例[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020,35(3):546-526. Zhao Wenzhen, Han Zenglin, Yan Xiaolu, et al. Ecological security pattern construction based on multi-scenario trade-off of ecosystem services:A case study of Wafangdian, Dalian[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2020,35(3):546-526.
[25]	税伟,杜勇,王亚楠,等.闽三角城市群生态系统服务权衡的时空动态与情景模拟[J]. 生态学报, 2019,39(14):5188-5197. Shui Wei, Du Yong, Wang Yanan, et al. Spatio-temporal dynamics and scenarios simulation of trade-offs between ecosystem services in Min Delta urban agglomeration[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2019,39(14):5188-5197.
[26]	吴蒙.长三角地区土地利用变化的生态系统服务响应与可持续性情景模拟研究[D]. 上海:华东师范大学, 2017. Wu Meng. Study on the response of ecosystem services to land use change and the scenario simulation of land use sustainability in Yangtze river delta[D]. Shanghai:East China Normal University, 2017.
[27]	张渝萌,李晶,曾莉,等.基于OWA多属性决策的生态系统服务最优保护区选择研究-以渭河流域(关天段)为例[J]. 中国农业科学, 2019,52(12):2114-2127. Zhang Yumeng, Li Jing, Zeng Li, et al. Optimal protected area selection:based on multiple attribute decision making method and ecosystem service research——illustrated by Guanzhong-Tianshui economic region section of the Weihe River Basin[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2019,52(12):2114-2127.
[28]	王良杰,马帅,许稼昌,等.基于生态系统服务权衡的优先保护区选取研究——以南方丘陵山地带为例[J]. 生态学报, 2021,41(5):1-12. Wang Liangjie, Ma Shuai, Xu Jiachang, et al. Selection of priority protected region based on ecosystem service trade-offs:a case study of the southern hill and mountain belt, China[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2021,41(5):1-12.
[29]	Zhang Liwei, Fu Bojie, Lv Yihe, et al. Balancing multiple ecosystem services in conservation priority setting[J]. Landscape ecology, 2015,30(3):535-546.
[30]	白杨,郑华,庄长伟,等.白洋淀流域生态系统服务评估及其调控[J]. 生态学报, 2013,33(3):711-717. Bai Yang, Zheng Hua, Zhuang Changwei, et al. Ecosystem services valuation and its regulation in Baiyangdian baisn:Based on InVEST model[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2013,33(3):711-717.
[31]	马凤娇,刘金铜.生态系统服务研究文献现状及不同研究方向评述[J]. 生态学报, 2013,33(19):5963-5972. Ma Fengjiao, Liu Jintong. A review of ecosystem services and research perspectives[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2013,33(19):5963-5972.
[32]	郑群明,申明智,钟林生.普达措国家公园生态安全格局构建[J]. 生态学报, 2021,41(3):874-885. Zheng Qunming, Shen Mingzhi,Zhong Linsheng. Construction of ecological security pattern in Pudacuo National Park[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2021,41(3):874-885.
[33]	张金茜,柳冬青,钱彩云,等.流域景观格局对土壤保持服务的影响[J]. 中国环境科学, 2019,39(3):1164-1172. Zhang Jinqian, Liu Dongqing, Qian Caiyun, et al. Influence of watershed landscape pattern on soil conservation service[J]. China Environmental Science, 2019,39(3):1164-1172.
[34]	Caro C, Marques J C, Cunha P P, et al. Ecosystem services as a resilience descriptor in habitat risk assessment using the InVEST model[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2020,115:106426.
[35]	Li Z, Deng X, Jin G, et al. Tradeoffs between agricultural production and ecosystem services:A case study in Zhangye, Northwest China[J]. The Science of the Total Environment, 2020,707(10):136032.1-136032.11.
[36]	张优.基于LUCC的成都平原地区碳排放效应研究[D]. 成都:四川师范大学, 2018. Zhang You. Study on carbon emission effect Chengdu Plain Area based on LUCC[D]. Chengdu:Sichuan Normal University, 2018.
[37]	高艳丽,李红波,侯蕊.汉江流域生态系统服务权衡与协同关系演变[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2020,(7):1619-1630. Gao Yanli, Li Hongbo, Hou Rui. Evolution analysis on trade-offs and synergies of ecosystem services in Hanjiang River Basin[J]. Resources and environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2020,(7):1619-1630.
[38]	包玉斌,李婷,柳辉,等.基于InVEST模型的陕北黄土高原水源涵养功能时空变化[J]. 地理研究, 2016,35(4):664-676. Bao Yubin, Li Ting, Liu Hui, et al. Spatial and temporal changes of water conservation of Loess Plateau in northern Shaanxi Province by InVEST model[J]. Geographical Research, 2016,35(4):664-676.
[39]	史东梅,江东,卢喜平,等.重庆涪陵区降雨侵蚀力时间分布特征[J]. 农业工程学报, 2008,24(9):16-21. Shi Dongmei, Jiang Dong, Lu Xiping, et al. Temporal distribution characteristics of rainfall erosivity in Fuling District, Chongqing[J]. Transactions of the CSAE, 2008,24(9):16-21.
[40]	吴昌广,曾毅,周志翔,等.三峡库区土壤可蚀性K值研究[J]. 中国水土保持科学, 2010,8(3):8-12. Wu Changguang, Zeng Yi, Zhou Zhixiang, et al. Soil erodibility K value in Three Gorges Reservoir Area[J]. Science of Soil and Water Conservation, 2010,8(3):8-12.
[41]	蔡崇法,丁树文,史志华,等.应用USLE模型与地理信息系统IDRISI预测小流域土壤侵蚀量的研究[J]. 水土保持学报, 2000,14(2):19-24. Cai Chongfa, Ding Shuwen, Shi Zhihua, et al. Study of applying USLE and geographical information system IDRISI to predict soil erosion in small watershed[J]. Journal of Soil And Water Conservation, 2000,14(2):19-24.
[42]	Xu L F, Xu X G, Meng X W. Risk assessment of soil erosion in different rainfall scenarios by RUSLE model coupled with Information Diffusion Model:A case study of Bohai Rim, China[J]. Catena, 2013,100(2):74-82.
[43]	黄瑞,闫慧敏,池泓,等.2000~2015年汉江平原农田生态系统NPP时空变化特征[J]. 自然资源学报, 2020,35(4):845-856. Huang Rui, Yan Huimin, Chi Hong, et al. Research on spatiotemporal characteristics of farmland ecosystem NPP in Jianghan Plain from 2000 to 2015[J]. Journal of natural resources, 2020,35(4):845-856.
[44]	张文静,孙小银,单瑞峰,等.基于InVEST模型研究山东半岛沿海地区土地利用变化及其对生境质量的影响[J]. 环境生态学, 2019, 1(5):15-23. Zhang Wenjing, Sun Xiaoyin, Shan Ruifeng, et al. Effects of land use change on habitat quality based on InVEST model in Shandong Peninsula[J]. Environmental Ecology, 2019,1(5):15-23.
[45]	薛晓玉,王晓云,段含明,等.基于土地利用变化的祁连山地区生境质量时空演变分析[J]. 水土保持通报, 2020,40(2):278-284. Xue Xiaoyu, Wang Xiaoyun, Duan Hanming, et al. Analysis on spatio-temporal evolution of habitat quality in Qilian Mountains based on land use change[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2020,40(2):278-284.
[46]	张华,韩武宏,宋金岳,等.祁连山国家公园生境质量时空演变[J]. 生态学杂志,doi:10.13292/j.1000-4890.202105.029. Zhang Hua, Han Wuhong, Song Jinyue, et al. Spatial-temporal evolution of habitat quality in Qilian Mountain National Park[J]. Chinese Journal of Ecology, doi:10.13292/j.1000-4890.202105.029.
[47]	黄木易,岳文泽,冯少茹,等.基于InVEST模型的皖西大别山区生境质量时空演化及景观格局分析[J]. 生态学报, 2020,40(9):2895-2906. Huang Muyi, Yue Wenze, Feng Shaoru, et al. Spatial-temporal evolution of habitat quality and analysis of landscape patterns in Dabie Mountain area of west Anhui province based on InVEST model[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2020,40(9):2895-2906.
[48]	Zhang D, Huang Q, He C, et al. Planning urban landscape to maintain key ecosystem services in a rapidly urbanizing area:A scenario analysis in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2018,96(1):559-571.
[49]	董会忠,姚孟超.成渝经济区土地利用变化对生态系统服务价值的影响[J]. 水土保持通报, 2020,40(1):213-220. Dong Huizhong, Yao Mengchao. Impacts of land use change on value of ecosystem services in Chengdu Chongqing economic zone[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2020,40(1):213-220.
[50]	Wu X, Wang S, Fu B, et al. Socio-ecological changes on the Loess Plateau of China after grain to green program[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2019,678(8):565-573.
[51]	林子雁,肖燚,饶恩明,等.中国西南地区不同类型生态系统服务的关系[J]. 应用生态学报, 2020,31(3):286-294. Lin Ziyan, Xiao Yi, Rao Enming, et al. Relationships among different types of ecosystem service in Southwest China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2020,31(3):286-294.
[52]	Hua F, Wang X, Zheng X, et al. Opportunities for biodiversity gains under the world's largest reforestation programme[J]. Nature Communications, 2016,7:12717.
[53]	Lu S H, Tian F. Spatiotemporal variations of agricultural water use efficiency and its response to the Grain to Green Program during 1982-2015 in the Chinese Loess Plateau[J]. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, 2021.
[54]	欧阳晓,朱翔,贺清云.基于生态系统服务和生态系统健康的生态风险评价——以长株潭城市群为例[J]. 生态学报, 2020,40(16):31-42. Ou Yangxiao, Zhu Xiang, He Qingyun. Incorporating ecosystem services with ecosystem health for ecological risk assessment:case study in Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration China[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2020,40(16):31-42.