长江经济带土地利用模拟与扩绿增长协同发展

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Abstract This paper is based on simulation data from the "SD-PLUS-InVEST" coupling model, a collaborative evaluation method of regional green expansion and economic growth was developed and carried out at both economic belts and provincial scales. Then, the future simulation features, potential difficulties and new quality policy of realizing the targeted coordinated development were analyzed and discussed from perspective of "economic belt-province and city". The results showed that the land use type in the Yangtze River Economic belt was dominated by forest land, and the overall carbon storage quality indicated a downward trend from 2000 to 2030. The carbon service values under the scenarios of the ecological protection, the high-quality development and the high-speed development scenario decreased by 5.88, 17.664 and 38.303 billion yuan, respectively. Based on the synergy assessment of ecological expansion benefits and economic growth benefits, the level of synergistic development under the high-quality development scenario was optimal. Spatially, there were obvious differences in the level of coordinated development to some extent. Based on the comparative analysis of the mentioned difference characteristics, the targeted policy was proposed to improve quality in the regional synergistic development of green expansion and economic growth.

Key words： land use terrestrial carbon sequestration evolutionary simulation Yangtze River Economic Belt synergistic development

Received: 11 June 2024

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X196

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	QU Zhi-guang
	YANG Bo-yuan
	HU Li-dan
	Li Fei
	WANG Jin-zhuo

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QU Zhi-guang,YANG Bo-yuan,HU Li-dan等. Simulation of land use and synergistic development between promoting green expansion and economic growth in the Yangtze River Economic Belt[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2025, 45(1): 465-476.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2025/V45/I1/465

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