Abstract：Based on an analysis of factors affecting the value of bay environmental capacity, a model evaluating the lost value of bay environmental capacity caused by sea reclamation was established using Shadow Project Method in environmental economics combined with hydrodynamic numerical model and hydrodynamic force-contaminant diffusion coupling model. The evaluation model was then applied to a case study of four planned sea reclamation projects in Tong’an Bay, Xiamen. The lost value of environmental capacity caused by projects 1 to 4 would be 1.23′108, 4.84′108, 6.07′108, 1.33′109 Yuan/a, respectively; and the lost value per unit area would be 62.03, 62.64, 64.72, 69.02 Yuan /(m2×a), respectively. These environmental costs should be carefully examined in relevant project evaluations. Policy recommendations were presented according to the study results and current status of sea reclamation in Xiamen.
王萱, 陈伟琪, 江毓武, 张珞平. 基于数值模拟的海湾环境容量价值损失的预测评估
——以厦门同安湾围填海为例
[J]. 中国环境科学, 2010, 30(3): 420-425.
WANG Xuan, CHEN Wei-Qi, JIANG Yu-Wu, ZHANG Luo-Ping. Evaluation of losses in bay environmental capacity based on numerical simulation—a case study of sea reclamation in Tong’an Bay, Xiamen. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2010, 30(3): 420-425.
