Abstract:Perception is an important information basic of human adaptation to climate change. We researched herders’ perception to climate change and its deviant path at different grassland resources levels, which included 1292households in northern grassland of China such as meadow steppe, typical steppe, desert steppe, steppe desert, sand land and agro-pastoral area. The temperature was significantly rise by 0.63℃/10a (P0.05). Majority of respondents considered precipitation have been deceasing in past 30years, whereas no significant difference was detected by actual precipitation data. Unlike precipitation perception, herders had no clear judgment to temperature change. The conduction of pasture information was an important reason of herders’ bias in climate change. Precipitation but temperature had a good relationship to herders’ climate change perception. Climate conduction perception was influenced by the distances to administration center, the householder age, educational background, carrying level, grassland-livestock resources and so on.
李西良, 侯向阳, 丁勇, 李平, 刘志英, 吴新宏, 尹燕亭, 萨茹拉, 任卫波. 不同草地资源水平牧户对气候变化的感知与偏差途径[J]. 中国环境科学, 2014, 34(4): 1080-1088.
LI Xi-Liang, HOU Xiang-Yang, DING Yong, LI Ping, LIU Zhi-Ying, WU Xin-Hong, YIN Yan-Ting, SA Ru-La, REN Wei-Bo. The bias of herders’ perception to climate change and its deviant path at different grassland resources levels. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2014, 34(4): 1080-1088.