Abstract：Influences of meteorological factors on measles in Chengguan District, Lanzhou were estimated by using three methods, including correlation analysis, principal component analyses from statistical software SPSS 17.0, and times series analysis from R software. The results indicated that relative humidity posed the largest influence on the occurrences of measles, followed by sunshine duration, average temperature, average air pressure, average precipitation, and average wind speed. In addition, the influences of various meteorological factors on the occurrence of measles displayed the lag effect. The average air pressure, average wind speed and average sunshine duration displayed the longest lagging time (9 days), followed by average temperature and precipitation (7 days), and relative humidity (5 days), respectively. For every IQR increased for average air pressure, average temperature, and sunshine time, the occurrence of measles increased by 175.2%, 79.6%, and 24.3%, however, for every IQR increased for relative humidity, precipatation and average wind speed resulted in the occurrence of measles decreased by 17.9%, 5.2% and 15.7%, respectively.
陶燕, 宋捷, 强力, 王砚, 李子斌. 兰州市城关区气象因素与麻疹发病人数的时间序列研究[J]. 中国环境科学, 2014, 34(11): 2964-2969.
TAO Yan, SONG Jie, QIANG Li, WANG Yan, LI Zi-Bin. Time series analysis between meteorological factors and measles in Chengguan District, Lanzhou. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2014, 34(11): 2964-2969.
