Assessing the potential distributions of mangrove forests in Fujian Province using MaxEnt model
HU Wen-jia1,3, CHAO Bi-xiao1,2, WANG Yu-yu2, DONG Peng4, Zhang Dian1, YU Wei-wei1,3, CHEN Guang-cheng1,3, CHEN Bin1,3
1. Third Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Xiamen 361005, China; 2. School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China; 3. Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Marine Ecological Conservation and Restoration, Xiamen 361005, China; 4. Aero Space Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, China
Abstract:With the current mangrove forest distribution data, a mangrove distribution model was built for Fujian Province using environmental factors including bioclimate, topography, substrate type, and sea surface temperature. The model was based on the maximum-entropy approach, which calculated a probability distribution for mangrove in the coastal Fujian. Using the model outputs, mangrove habitat suitability in Fujian Province were analyzed. Moreover, the key environmental factors affecting the mangrove distribution and their suitable regions were identified. Spatial overlay analysis was applied to obtain the priority areas and to identify gaps of mangrove conservation and restoration. The results showed that the main factors affecting the mangrove suitable habitats distribution in the coastal Fujian included sea surface temperature, atmospheric temperature, and precipitation. The potential suitable habitats were mainly located in the vicinity of Shacheng Port, Sansha Bay and Xinghua Bay, Quanzhou Bay, Xiamen Bay, Jilongjiang Estuary, Zhangjiang Estuary, and Dongshan Bay. The predicted most suitable area was about 91km2. A total of 8 priority areas for mangrove conservation and restoration were identified throughout the province with the protection rate of 64.4%, among which Shacheng Port, Sansha Bay, Luoyuan Bay, and Fuqing Bay were identified as gap areas. The study provided scientific knowledge and reference for future mangrove conservation and restoration actions in Fujian Province.
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