黄河流域城市群工业减污降碳影响因素与策略

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Abstract The Hohhot-Baotou-Ordos-Yulin, Guanzhong Plain, and Zhongyuan city clusters were selected for this analysis of emission trends based on the measurement of industrial CO₂ and local air pollutant (LAP) emissions from 2000 to 2019. Further, a random forest model was used to identify the key influencing factors of pollution abatement, carbon reduction, and the nonlinear response relation among them. Strategies for promoting pollution abatement and carbon reduction were proposed according to local conditions. The results showed that industrial CO₂ emissions were on the rise, whereas the emission intensity of the Guanzhong Plain and Zhongyuan city clusters were on the decline. Furthermore, the strong potential for a reduction in carbon emissions and LAP emissions and intensity remained. The trends in industrial CO₂ emissions and industrial LAP emissions were not simultaneous. Among the key influencing factors, industrial added value above designated size and energy consumption per 10000 yuan industrial added value were shared by both industrial CO₂ emissions and LAP emissions. The proportion of high-tech industries in industrial value added, the proportion of R&D expenditures in the GDP, and the industrial sulfur dioxide removal rate were the key influencing factors for LAP emissions, and differences existed across city clusters. Some indicators showed that a significant nonlinear response relation, the industrial scale effect, the distortion of R&D personnel and funds, and the lag of green technology utility were important factors in terms of nonlinear characteristics. To realize the synergistic promotion of pollution reduction and carbon reduction, carbon reduction could be prioritized, and the upgrading of industrial structure, along with the dual control of both energy consumption and intensity should be promoted. Finally, an improvement in energy efficiency is needed.

Key words： the Yellow River Basin urban agglomeration industry pollution and carbon reduction influencing factors synergistic promotion

Received: 16 August 2022

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X321

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	KANG Zhe
	LI Wei
	LIU Wei

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KANG Zhe,LI Wei,LIU Wei. Influencing factors and promoting measures of industrial pollution abatement and carbon reduction of the city clusters in the Yellow River basin[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2023, 43(4): 1946-1956.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2023/V43/I4/1946

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