|
|
Differentiated management strategies for the regional environmental risk based on dynamic comprehensive assessment |
YANG Xiao-lin1,2, GU Ling-shuang1, LI Yi-ling1, DU Jiu-sheng1 |
1. Safety and Emergency Management Research Center, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454000, China; 2. Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Science, Chengdu 610041 |
|
|
Abstract In this study, a new "dynamic comprehensive evaluation model" for regional environmental risk assessment which based on the "vertical-and-horizontal" scatter degree method and the "time ordered weighted averaging operator" method was developed, and the strategy that named "risk assessment-zoning-differentiated management" was proposed for the management of regional environmental risk. In addition, this method was applied for the regional environmental risk assessment and the differentiated management for 18cities in Henan province. The results showed that (1) the maximum values of comprehensive environmental risk were 13.79, 13.46 and 13.28, which were identified in Zhengzhou, Xuchang and Luohe, respectively. In contrast, the minimum values of environmental risk were found in the cities of Xinyang, Nanyang and Sanmenxia, and the values were only 4.15, 4.16 and 5.01, respectively. (2) Using GIS technology and the hierarchical cluster analysis method, the spatial variation of comprehensive risk in 18 cities of Henan province was divided into five regions:high risk zone (Zhengzhou, Xuchang and Luohe), relative high risk zone (Jiaozuo, Puyang and Hebi), medium risk zone (Kaifeng and Anyang), relative low risk zone (Pingdingshan, Shangqiu and Zhoukou) and low risk zone (Luoyang, Sanmenxia and Nanyang) (3) The differentiated management strategies for different cities were proposed base on the difference of environmental risk level and its mainly contribution factors according to the principle of "critical control, priority management for high risk area, and step by step control, strengthen prevention for medium and low risk area". The results indicated that the proposed method of "risk assessment-zoning-differentiated management" can not only evaluate the environmental risk at regional scale but also identify the mainly contribution factors. The differentiated management strategies will better meet the actual needs for the coordinated development of the local economic and the social environment.
|
Received: 01 November 2017
|
|
Corresponding Authors:
李义玲,高级工程师,lyl@hpu.edu.cn
E-mail: lyl@hpu.edu.cn
|
|
|
|
[1] |
谢元博,李巍,郝芳华.基于区域环境风险评价的产业布局规划优化研究[J]. 中国环境科学, 2013,33(3):560-568.
|
[2] |
王芳.转型加速期中国的环境风险及其社会应对[J]. 河北学刊, 2012,32(6):117-122.
|
[3] |
邹辉,段学军,赵海霞,等.长三角地区污染密集型产业空间演变及其对污染排放格局的影响[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2016,33(5):703-710.
|
[4] |
邢永健,王旭,杜航.集对分析在区域大气环境风险评价中的应用研究[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016,36(2):634-640.
|
[5] |
曲常胜,毕军,黄蕾,等.我国区域环境风险动态综合评价研究[J]. 北京大学学报(自然科学版), 2010,46(3):477-482.
|
[6] |
何沐全,刘志红,张颖,等.川南城市群大气灰霾时空分布特征及成因分析[J]. 中国环境科学, 2017,37(2):432-442.
|
[7] |
李静,吕永龙,贺桂珍,等.我国突发性环境污染事故时空格局及影响研究[J]. 环境科学, 2008,29(9):2684-2693.
|
[8] |
朱华桂.论风险社会中的社区抗逆力问题[J]. 南京大学学报(哲学•人文科学•社会科学), 2012,(5):47-53.
|
[9] |
Huang L, Wan W, Li F, et al. A two-scale system to identify environmental risk of chemical industry clusters[J]. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2011,186(1):247-255.
|
[10] |
曾维华,宋永会,姚新,等.多尺度突发环境污染事故风险区划[M]. 北京:科学出版社, 2013:15-18.
|
[11] |
谢元博,李巍.基于能源-环境情景模拟的北京市大气污染对居民健康风险评价研究[J]. 环境科学学报, 2013,33(6):1763-1770.
|
[12] |
廖志恒,任明忠,孙家仁,等.垃圾焚烧厂排放重金属Pb的吸入性健康风险评估[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2014,31(3):410-417.
|
[13] |
高丽娜,张仁健,韩志伟,等.2011年冬季长江三角洲气态污染物的模拟分析[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2014,31(3):380-388.
|
[14] |
Giubilato E, Zabeo A, Critto A, et al. A risk-based methodology for ranking environmental chemical stressors at the regional scale[J]. Environment International, 2014,65:41-53.
|
[15] |
Zabeo A, Pizzol L, Agostini P, et al. Regional risk assessment for contaminated sites Part 1:Vulnerability assessment by multicriteria decision analysis[J]. Environment International, 2011,37(8):1295-1306.
|
[16] |
邢永健,王旭,可欣,等.基于风险场的区域突发性环境风险评价方法研究[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016,36(4):1268-1274.
|
[17] |
杨小林,李义玲.基于客观赋权法的长江流域环境风险时空动态综合评价[J]. 中国科学院大学学报, 2015,32(3):349-355.
|
[18] |
董军,国方媛.多层次系统的动态评价研究[J]. 运筹与管理, 2011,20(5):176-184.
|
[19] |
李艳萍,乔琦,柴发合,等.基于层次分析法的工业园区环境风险评价指标权重分析[J]. 环境科学研究, 2014,27(3):334-340.
|
[20] |
邵磊,陈郁,张树深.基于AHP和熵权的跨界突发性大气环境风险源模糊综合评价[J]. 中国人口×资源与环境, 2010, 20(3):135-138.
|
[21] |
冷苏娅,蒋世杰,潘杰,等.京津冀协同发展背景下的区域综合环境风险评估研究[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2017,53(1):60-69.
|
[22] |
Irene P, Paolo V, Donatella V, et al. Mapping the environmental risk of a tourist harbor in order to foster environmental security:objective vs. subjective assessments[J]. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 2010,60(7):1051-1058.
|
[23] |
郭亚军,潘建民,曹仲秋.由时序立体数据表支持的动态综合评价方法[J]. 东北大学学报(自然科学版), 2001,22(4):464-467.
|
[24] |
郭亚军,姚远,易平涛.一种动态综合评价方法及应用[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2007,10:154-158.
|
[25] |
屈艳萍,高辉,吕娟,等.基于区域灾害系统论的中国农业旱灾风险评估[J]. 水利学报, 2015,46(8):908-917.
|
[26] |
Albanese S, Vivo B D, Lima A, et al. Prioritising environmental risk at the regional scale by a GIS aided technique:The Zambian Copperbelt Province case study[J]. Journal of Geochemical Exploration, 2014,144:433-442.
|
[27] |
Yager R R. On ordered weighted averaging aggregation operators in multicriteria decision making[J]. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man,and Cybernetics, 1988,18(1):183-190.
|
[28] |
王肖惠,陈爽,秦海旭,等.基于事故风险源的城市环境风险分区研究-以南京市为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016,25(3):453-461.
|
[29] |
薛鹏丽,曾维华.上海市环境污染事故风险受体脆弱性评价[J]. 中国环境科学, 2011,31(11):2556-2561.
|
|
|
|