成都市气温与PM<sub>2.5</sub>和O<sub>3</sub>交互作用对疾病死亡人数的影响研究

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Abstract Daily death data of respiratory and cardiovascular diseases during 2014~2016, meteorological data and daily average particulate matter with aerodynamic less than 2.5 (PM_2.5) and daily ozone 8h maximum concentration (O₃) during the same time period in Chengdu were collected. Distributed Lag Non-linear Model (DLNM) and three semi-parametric Generalized Additive Models (GAMs), including an independent model, a nonparametric bivariate response surface model, and a stratification parametric model, were adopted to explore the adverse health effects of temperature, air pollutants (PM_2.5 and O₃) and the synergistic effects between temperature and PM_2.5(or O₃) on respiratory and cardiovascular system diseases, respectively. The results of single-effect studies showed that the exposure-response relationships between ambient temperature and respiratory and cardiovascular diseases both exhibited inverse "J" type and the most comfortable temperature were 22.2℃, which corresponding to the least mortality. The health risks were strongest between the current and previous day (lag01) average concentrations of PM_2.5 and O₃. Per 10 μg/m³ increment in PM_2.5 and O₃ were associated with 0.58% and 0.54% increase in respiratory mortality and 0.35% and 0.66% increases in cardiovascular mortality, respectively. The combined effects between the temperature and different air pollutant on human health suggested that the mortality reach the maximum when high temperature and high mass concentrations of PM_2.5 (or O₃) coexisted. Furthermore, the results of seasonal study showed that PM_2.5 had the highest health risk on mortality in winter and O₃ had the most significant health risk in autumn. Furthermore, the results of interaction study showed that there was a synergistic amplification effect between high temperature and high concentration of PM_2.5 (or O₃) on mortality. Under high temperature, per 10 μg/m³ increment in PM_2.5 and O₃ were associated with 2.30% and 1.14% increase in respiratory mortality and 1.09% and 1.03% increases in cardiovascular mortality, respectively. We should also pay more attention to the adverse effect of O₃ on human health in the future.

Key words： temperature ozone particulate matter with aerodynamic less than 2.5 synergistic effect mortality

Received: 04 January 2021

PACS:	X18
	X503.1
	R18

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	Articles by authors
	ZHANG Ying
	XIN Jin-yuan
	MA Pan
	FENG Xin-yuan
	ZHANG Xiao-ling
	WANG Shi-gong
	ZHANG Jia-xi
	FENG Hong-mei
	ZHENG Can-jun

Cite this article:

ZHANG Ying,XIN Jin-yuan,MA Pan等. Interaction effects between ambient temperature and PM_2.5 and O₃ on mortality in Chengdu[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2021, 41(8): 3887-3895.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2021/V41/I8/3887

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