农村散煤替代对PM<sub>2.5</sub>污染影响及健康效益评估——以河南省为例

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Abstract The emission reduction by scattered coal replacement in the January of 2025 was predicted with a noble county-level optimization model, which was based on the air pollutant emissions inventory of rural coal combustion of Henan in 2016. Two scenarios were set to evaluate the emission reduction potentials of rural scattered coal replacement, including Business As Usual (BAU) and Scattered Coal Treatment (SCT) scenarios. The resulting air quality improvement and healthy benefits to public caused by rural scattered coal replacement were quantified by air quality model (WRF-CMAQ) and the Poisson regression model. Combination of the envelope structure renovation and heating equipment was the most suitable heating technology for rural households in Henan Province. In comparison to the BAU scenario, the emission intensity of SO₂, NO_x, CO, PM₁₀, PM_2.5, VOCs and NH₃ in January 2025 from rural residential combustion in Henan Province were decreased by 98.3%, 82.6%, 99.8%, 99.2%, and 99.2% in the SCT scenario. Compared with BAU scenario, monthly average PM_2.5 concentration in January 2025 of the SCT scenario could be reduced for 4.1μg/m³, which could prevent totally 220 premature deaths and economic loss of 2.35 billion RMB.

Key words： PM_2.5 emissions reduction scenario air quality healthy benefits Henan Province

Received: 25 December 2020

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X513

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	YU Miao
	MA Qiu-hong
	ZHU Ming-yue
	ZHANG Jing-wang
	WANG Ke
	XU Qi-xiang
	ZHANG Rui-qin

Cite this article:

YU Miao,MA Qiu-hong,ZHU Ming-yue等. Evaluation for impact on PM_2.5 pollution and healthy benefits of rural scattered coal replacement-a case study of Henan Province[J]. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2021, 41(8): 3906-3916.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/ OR http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/EN/Y2021/V41/I8/3906

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