Quantitative analysis on driving forces of land use/cover change in north Shanxi province during 1986~2010
XU Xiao-ming1, DU Zi-qiang1, ZHANG Hong2, FENG Ling2, SHEN Xiao-yu2
1. Institute of Loess Plateau, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, China;
2. College of Environment and Resource Sciences, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, China
The land use pattern in a certain region in different periods was usually driven by natural, social, and economical factors. The driving mechanisms varied in different periods. North Shanxi province, located in the farming-pastoral ecotone of northern China, was chosen as the research area. The objectives of this study were to analyze the land use/cover change (LUCC) pattern in north Shanxi province, and to estimate the different driving mechanisms of the LUCC in different historical periods. A comprehensive method combining the unsupervised classification and the visual interpretation was used to extract the LUCC information in the study area from 1986 to 2010. The canonical correspondence analysis was employed to assess the natural and anthropogenic driving forces of the LUCC. The results indicated that cropland, grassland, and woodland were major land use types in the whole investigation period. Main land-use transferring types included the interconversions between grassland and cropland, as well as woodland and grassland. Population density, per capita gross domestic product (GDP), precipitation, slope, and elevation were the major driving forces of the LUCC. In 1986~1995, the driving forces of the LUCC were mainly from the demands of the population growth and the economy development. Later, the driving forces from the topographical elements such as elevation and slope became more and more important. The economic development and population growth promote the transitions from grassland and cropland to residential land and industrial land. Meanwhile, the conversions between grassland and woodland are mainly driven by natural factors such as slope, elevation, and precipitation.
徐小明, 杜自强, 张红, 冯凌, 申小雨. 晋北地区1986~2010年土地利用/覆被变化的驱动力[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016, 36(7): 2154-2161.
XU Xiao-ming, DU Zi-qiang, ZHANG Hong, FENG Ling, SHEN Xiao-yu. Quantitative analysis on driving forces of land use/cover change in north Shanxi province during 1986~2010. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2016, 36(7): 2154-2161.
Luyssaert S, Jammet M, Stoy P, et al. Land management and land-cover change have impacts of similar magnitude on surface temperature [J]. Nature Climate Change, 2014,4(5):389-393.
Kanianska R, Kizeková M, Nová?ek J, et al. Land-use and land-cover changes in rural areas during different political systems: A case study of Slovakia from 1782 to 2006 [J]. Land Use Policy, 2014,36:554-566.
Serra P, Pons X, Saurí D. Land-cover and land-use change in a Mediterranean landscape: a spatial analysis of driving forces integrating biophysical and human factors [J]. Applied Geography, 2008,28(3):189-209.
Li J, Zheng Y, Yan J, et al. Succession of plant and soil microbial communities with restoration of abandoned land in the Loess Plateau, China [J]. Journal of Soils and Sediments, 2013,13(4): 760-769.
[13]
Bu C, Zhang P, Wang C, et al. Spatial distribution of biological soil crusts on the slope of the Chinese Loess Plateau based on canonical correspondence analysis [J]. Catena, 2016,137:373- 381.
Hietel E, Waldhardt R, Otte A. Analysing land-cover changes in relation to environmental variables in Hesse, Germany [J]. Landscape ecology, 2004,19(5):473-489.
[16]
Elmhagen B, Eriksson O, Lindborg R. Implications of climate and land-use change for landscape processes, biodiversity, ecosystem services, and governance [J]. Ambio, 2015,44(1):1-5.
Jiang W, Chen Z, Lei X, et al. Simulating urban land use change by incorporating an autologistic regression model into a CLUE-S model [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2015,25(7):836- 850.