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Optimized carbon emission reduction scheme and its effects on the industrial upgrading |
ZHANG Tong-bin1, ZHOU Xian-hua2, LIU Qiao-hong1 |
1. School of Economics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China;
2. China Institute for Actuarial Science, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081, China |
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Abstract A multi-industry dynamic general equilibrium model was specified with energy consumption and carbon emission included in this paper. The conclusions were that the optimal allocation of factors could be realized and the "innovation compensation effects" as well as relatively higher growth effects and welfare effects would be motivated by the reasonable decomposition of overall emission reduction, i.e. the marginal cost of emission reduction in each industry was equal. Subjected to the independent industrial emission reduction set by each industry, the industries' marginal abatement costs were higher and no linkage effects between industries generated. On the contrary, the overall emission reduction scheme was effective. Moreover, the optimized carbon intensity reduction scheme had positive effects on industrial structure upgrading. It indicated that the control effects of the carbon emission reduction on "heavy industrialization" were significant. Furthermore, the results also demonstrated that the pressure of agricultural emission reduction could be transformed into the driving force for "carbon-rich agriculture" developing, which would lead to an increased agricultural proportion in the economy. Last but not least, it was labor and capital inputs increased by service enterprises instead of energy factors accompanied by high carbon emissions generating. Thus the negative impact of carbon emission reduction policy on their behavior of production would be mitigated and stable growth would be achieved. Above all, as the intensity of emission reduction was on the increase, the rationalization degree and supererogation degree of industrial structure had been greatly improved.
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Received: 15 December 2017
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