This study analyzed the spatial and temporal variations of PM2.5 concentration and the degrees of urbanization for the five periods of 2001~2003, 2004~2006, 2007~2009, 2010~2012, and 2013~2015 in Mainland China, on perspectives of population, land and economy. Scissors difference method, correlation analysis and geographically weighted regression (GWR) model were employed to explore their relationships. Results showed that the three-year average degrees of urbanization for population, land and economy increased steadilyand PM2.5 concentration fluctuated in an increase direction (44.14~50.89μg/m3). However, rates of these variations were different between four economic regions. Spatial distributions of PM2.5 concentrations were similar for the five periods, they were high in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) area, north Henan and Shandong province, and west Xinjiang. The area with high urbanization degree increased gradually. Angles (15.33°~62.92°) between the two tangent lines of temporal variation curves of degree of urbanization and PM2.5 concentrations based on scissors difference method revealed the insignificant relationships between them temporally. In addition, significant association was found between the spatial distributions of PM2.5 concentrations and the degrees of urbanization. The degrees of urbanization for land were positively correlated with PM2.5 concentrations at the 0.01level. The sequence of correlation coefficients from high to low was Northeast (0.609~0.723) > Midlands (0.572~0.631) > East (0.218~0.323) > West (0.079~0.255). Except for Midlands and West, the degrees of urbanization for economy had significantly positive effect on PM2.5 concentrations, while those for population were negatively associated with PM2.5 concentrations in Eastern area. The results for GWR models further demonstrated this varied spatial association with adjusted R2 were found to be the highest in 2001~2003 period (0.6~0.77) and the lowest in 2013~2015 period (0.08~0.64).
许珊, 邹滨, 宫俊霞. 2001~2015年中国城镇化与PM2.5浓度时空关联特征[J]. 中国环境科学, 2019, 39(2): 469-477.
XU Shan, ZOU Bin, GONG Jun-xia. Analysis of the spatial-temporal association between urbanization and PM2.5 concentration during 2001~2015 period in Mainland China. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2019, 39(2): 469-477.
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