Abstract:Taking the pilot policy of Xin'an river basin horizontal ecological compensation as a quasi-natural experiment, the difference-in-difference method was used to systematically examine the impact of pilot policy on the economic development of the upper and lower reaches of Xin'an river basin, based on the county-level panel data in Anhui and Zhejiang in 2001~2017. The results showed that the pilot policy had restrained the economic development of the upstream areas to a certain extent, and the per capita GDP and regional GDP of the relevant regions had declined. However, it had no significant effect on the economic development of the downstream areas. These conclusions were still valid after several robustness tests. Moreover, the negative impact of pilot policy on economic development of the upstream areas increased firstly and then decreased. Additionally, the driving mechanism analysis showed that the number of "industrial enterprises above designated size" decreased significantly in the five pilot counties, and revealed that "enterprise exit" was an important reason for the negative impact of Xin'an pilot policy on the economic development of the upstream regions. This study could provide reference for the formulation and implementation of the benefit allocation mechanism of trans-regional water resources protection.
刘聪, 张宁. 新安江流域横向生态补偿的经济效应[J]. 中国环境科学, 2021, 41(4): 1940-1948.
LIU Cong, ZHANG Ning. Study on the economic effects of Xin'an river basin horizontal ecological compensation. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2021, 41(4): 1940-1948.
Anastasiadis E, Deng X, Krysta P, et al. Network pollution games[J]. Algorithmica, 2019,81(1):124-166.
[2]
张璇,袁浩铭,郝芳华.财政分权对环保投资效率的影响研究——基于DEA-Tobit模型的分析[J]. 中国环境科学, 2018,38(12):382-389. Zhang X, Yuan H M, Hao F H. Fiscal decentralization influence on environmental investment efficiency:Analysis based on DEA-Tobit model[J]. China Environmental Science, 2018,38(12):382-389.
[3]
王晓莉,徐娜,王浩,等.地方政府推广市场化生态补偿式扶贫的理论作用与实践确认[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2018,28(8):105-116. Wang X L, Xv N, Wang H, et al. Theoretical role and practical confirmation of local government in promoting the market-oriented ecological compensation for poverty alleviation[J]. China Population Resources and Environment, 2018,28(8):105-116.
[4]
Clot S, Grolleau G, Méral P. Payment vs. compensation for ecosystem services:Do words have a voice in the design of environmental conservation programs?[J]. Ecological Economics, 2017,135(5):299-303.
[5]
Kim H J, Chang J I, Yoo S H. Non-market valuation of water pollution remediation and disaster risk mitigation functions:The case of Nakdong River Estuary in South Korea[J]. Sustainability, 2019, 11(3):1-9.
[6]
马庆华,杜鹏飞.新安江流域生态补偿政策效果评价研究[J]. 中国环境管理, 2015,7(3):63-70. Ma Q H, Du P F. Evaluation on the effect of ecological compensation in Xin'an river basin[J]. Environmental conformity Assessment, 2015, 7(3):63-70.
[7]
景守武,张捷.新安江流域横向生态补偿降低水污染强度了吗?[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2018,28(10):152-159. Jing S W, Zhang J. Can Xin'anjiang river basin horizontal ecological compensation reduce the intensity of water pollution?[J]. China Population Resources and Environment, 2018,28(10):152-159.
[8]
Borghesi S, Cainelli G, Mazzanti M. Linking emission trading to environmental innovation:Evidence from the Italian manufacturing industry[J]. Research Policy, 2015,44(3):669-683.
[9]
Olander L P, Johnston R J, Tallis H, et al. Benefit relevant indicators:Ecosystem services measures that link ecological and social outcomes[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2018(85):1262-1272.
[10]
马艳.长江经济带城镇化与生态环境耦合协调效应测度与交互胁迫关系验证[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2020,29(2):275-286. Ma Y. Examining the coupling degree and interactive stress between urbanization and eco-environment in Yangtze River economic belt[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2020,29(2):275-286.
[11]
Borsatto J M L S, Amui LB L. Green innovation:Unfolding the relation with environmental regulations and competitiveness[J]. Resources, Conservation & Recycling. 2019,149:445-454.
[12]
Zhang J, Liang G, Feng T, et al. Green innovation to respond to environmental regulation:How external knowledge adoption and green absorptive capacity matter?[J]. Business Strategy & the Environment (John Wiley & Sons, Inc), 2020,29(1):39-53.
[13]
Rexhäuser S, Rammer C. Environmental innovations and firm profitability:Unmasking the Porter hypothesis[J]. Environmental & Resource Economics, 2014,57(1):145-167.
[14]
聂国卿,郭晓东.环境规制对中国制造业创新转型发展的影响[J]. 经济地理, 2018,38(7):110-116. Nie G Q, Guo X D. The effect of environmental regulation on the manufacturing's innovation and transformation development[J]. Economic Geography, 2018,38(7):110-116.
[15]
Cao X, Deng M, Song F, et al. Direct and moderating effects of environmental regulation intensity on enterprise technological innovation:The case of China[J]. PLoS ONE. 2019,14(10):1-20.
[16]
Besley T, Case A. Incumbent behavior:Vote-seeking, tax-setting, and yardstick competition[J]. American Economic Review, 1995,85(1):25-45.
[17]
宋德勇,蔡星.地区间环境规制的空间策略互动——基于地级市层面的实证研究[J]. 工业技术经济, 2018,37(7):112-118. Song D Y, Cai X. Spatial strategic interaction of regional environmental regulation evidence from Chinese cities[J]. Industrial Technology & Economy, 2018,37(7):112-118.
[18]
张彩云,苏丹妮,卢玲,等.政绩考核与环境治理——基于地方政府间策略互动的视角[J]. 财经研究, 2018,44(5):4-22. Zhang C Y, Su D N, Lu L, et al. Performance evaluation and environmental governance:From a perspective of strategic interaction between local governments[J]. Journal of Finance and Economics, 2018,44(5):4-22.
[19]
金刚,沈坤荣.以邻为壑还是以邻为伴?——环境规制执行互动与城市生产率增长[J]. 管理世界, 2018,34(12):43-55. Jin G, Shen K R. Beggar-thy-neighbour or building strong relations with its neighbors:Interaction of environmental regulation implementation and urban productivity growth[J]. Management World, 2018,34(12):43-55.
[20]
杨梦杰,杨凯,李根,等.博弈视角下跨界河流水资源保护协作机制——以太湖流域太浦河为例[J]. 自然资源学报, 2019,34(6):1232-1244. Yang M J, Yang K, Li G, et al. The cooperation mechanism of water resources protection in trans-boundary river based on game theory:A case study of the Taipu River in the Taihu Lake Basin[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2019,34(6):1232-1244.
[21]
牛文娟,王伟伟,邵玲玲,等.政府强互惠激励下跨界流域一级水权分散优化配置模型[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2016,26(4):148-157. Niu W J, Wang W W, Shao L L, et al. The decentralized optimization allocation model of initial water rights of trans-boundary river basin under government's strong reciprocity incentive[J]. China Population Resources and Environment, 2016,26(4):148-157.
[22]
毕睿罡,王钦云.政企合谋视角下的环境治理——基于官员考核标准变化的准自然实验[J]. 当代经济科学, 2019,41(4):62-75. Bi R G, Wang Q Y. Environmental governance from the perspective of government-enterprise collusion:A quasi-nature experiment based on the change in official assessment system[J]. Modern Economic Science, 2019,41(4):62-75.
[23]
刘瑞明,赵仁杰.国家高新区推动了地区经济发展吗?——基于双重差分方法的验证[J]. 管理世界, 2015,263(8):30-38. Liu R M, Zhao R J. Does National High-tech Zone promote regional economic development:Verification based on Differences-in-Differences method[J]. Management World, 2015,263(8):30-38.
[24]
张再杰,刘洪,周欢.民族地区财政支出、固定资产投资与经济增长——基于民族县面板数据分析[J]. 贵州民族研究, 2017,38(9):172-178. Zhang Z J, Liu H, Zhou H. Fiscal expenditure, investment in fixed assets and economic growth in ethnic minority areas:Panel data analysis based on ethnic counties[J]. Guizhou Ethnic Studies, 2017, 38(9):172-178.
[25]
张雪芳,戴伟.金融发展对经济增长影响的门槛效应研究——基于金融发展规模,效率和结构三维视角的实证检验[J]. 当代经济管理, 2020,42(4):89-97. Zhang X F, Dai W. Threshold effect of financial development on economic growth:An empirical analysis based on the three-dimensional perspective of scale, efficiency and structure of financial development[J]. Contemporary Economic Management, 2020,42(4):89-97.
[26]
邓菁,肖兴志.高新技术产业高质量发展的财政扶持策略研究[J]. 经济与管理研究, 2019,40(11):96-111. Deng J, Xiao X Z. Financial support strategy for high-quality development of high-tech Industry[J]. Research on Economics and Management, 2019,40(11):96-111.
[27]
安徽省统计局,国家统计局安徽调查总队.安徽统计年鉴(2001~2017)[M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2001-2017. Statistics Bureau of Anhui province, Anhui survey team of National Bureau of Statistics. Anhui Statistical Yearbook(2001~2017)[M]. Beijing:China Statistical Publishing House, 2001-2017.
[28]
浙江省统计局,国家统计局浙江调查总队.浙江统计年鉴(2001~2017)[M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2001-2017. Statistics Bureau of Zhejiang province, Zhejiang survey team of National Bureau of Statistics. Zhejiang Statistical Yearbook (2001~2017)[M]. Beijing:China Statistical Publishing House, 2001-2017.
[29]
陈林,伍海军.国内双重差分法的研究现状与潜在问题[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2015,32(7):133-148. Chen L, Wu H J. Research status and potential problems of differences-in-differences method in China[J]. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 2015,32(7):133-148.
[30]
上官绪明,葛斌华.科技创新,环境规制与经济高质量发展——来自中国278个地级及以上城市的经验证据[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2020,30(6):95-104. Shangguan X M, Ge B H. Scientific and technological innovation, environmental regulation and high-quality economic development:Empirical evidence from 278 Chinese cities at prefecture level and above[J]. China Population Resources and Environment, 2020,30(6):95-104.
[31]
杨白冰,姚晓明.环境规制对地区经济增长的短期和长期效应——基于面板协整和误差修正模型的研究视角[J]. 城市发展研究, 2019,26(9):116-124. Yang B B, Yao X M. Short-term and long-term effects of environmental regulation on regional economic growth:Based on panel cointegration and error correction model[J]. Urban Development Studies, 2019,26(9):116-124.
[32]
于斌斌,金刚,程中华.环境规制的经济效应:"减排"还是"增效"[J]. 统计研究, 2019,36(2):90-102. Yu B B, Jin G, Cheng Z H. Economic effects of environmental regulations:"Emission Reduction" or "Efficiency Enhancement"[J]. Statistical Research, 2019,36(2):90-102.
[33]
新安江流域上下游横向生态补偿试点绩效评估报告(2012~2017)[R]. 北京:生态环境部环境规划院, 2018. Performance evaluation report of cross-regional eco-compensation pilot program in the upper and lower reaches of Xin'anjiang River Basin(2012-2017)[R]. Beijing:Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning, 2018.