呼包鄂榆资源型城市群“水-能-碳”耦合变化及影响因素

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摘要在描述呼包鄂榆城市群“水-能-碳”时空演变特征基础上分析了耦合协调发展水平，并建立灰色关联模型识别了耦合协调变化的关键影响因素.结果显示：2005~2019年，城市群水资源消耗、能源消费和碳排放呈波动增长态势，“水-能-碳”之间耦合协调度较低，城镇化率、人口规模、经济发展水平是影响耦合协调变化的关键因素，且各城市“水-能-碳”耦合协调度的关键影响因素呈现明显的空间异质性.研究将为揭示黄河流域资源型城市生态系统动态变化过程与驱动机制、制定差异化环境治理政策提供科学依据.

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	杨屹
	张园园

关键词 ：黄河流域, 资源型城市群, “水-能-碳”, 耦合协调, 影响因素

Abstract：To describe the spatiotemporal evolution of "water-energy-carbon" in the Hohhot-Baotou-Ordos-Yulin urban agglomeration, the level of coupled and coordinated development was analyzed, and a gray correlation model was established to identify the key driving factors affecting the change in the coupled and coordinated levels. The results showed that the water consumption, energy consumption and carbon emissions of urban agglomerations had fluctuating growth from 2005 to 2019, and the coupling coordination of "water-energy-carbon" was low, with urbanization rate, population size and economic development level being the key driving factors affecting coupling coordination. The key drivers of coupling coordination of "water-energy-carbon" in each city had obvious spatial heterogeneity. This study provides a scientific basis for revealing the dynamic change process and driving mechanism of urban ecosystems and formulating differentiated urban environmental management policies in resource-based urban agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin.

Key words： Yellow River Basin resource-based urban agglomeration "water-energy-carbon" coupling coordination influencing factor

收稿日期: 2023-03-13

PACS:	X321
	X24

基金资助:教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目（21YJA790073）

通讯作者: 杨屹,教授,yangyi_nwpu@xaut.edu.cn E-mail: yangyi_nwpu@xaut.edu.cn

作者简介: 杨屹(1969-),男,贵州凤冈人,教授,博士,主要从事生态环境管理与可持续发展研究.发表论文87篇.yangyi_nwpu@xaut.edu.cn.

引用本文:

杨屹, 张园园. 呼包鄂榆资源型城市群“水-能-碳”耦合变化及影响因素[J]. 中国环境科学, 2023, 43(11): 6212-6224. YANG Yi, ZHANG Yuan-yuan. Analysis of the coupling process and the influencing factors of the “water-energy-carbon” relationship in the Hohhot-Baotou-Ordos-Yulin resource-based urban agglomeration. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2023, 43(11): 6212-6224.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/Y2023/V43/I11/6212

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