双碳情景下山东省火电行业大气污染影响

摘要
图/表
参考文献
相关文章 (15)

全文: PDF (1549 KB) HTML (1 KB)
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

摘要 This study took Shandong Province, a major province of thermal power generation, as an example, calculated the emissions of atmospheric pollutants from thermal power under the scenario of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, and adopted the CALPUFF model to simulate the contribution of SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 pollution from the thermal power industry in Shandong under different scenarios. The results show that under the carbon peak scenario, the emissions of SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 in the Shandong thermal power industry decreased by 2483.42, 23448.71, 364.31, and 341.01t, respectively, compared with the baseline scenario in 2018. The contribution concentration of thermal power to SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 in each city decreased by 0.22%~26.61%, 0.66%~51.21%, 0.63%~23.82%, and 4.36%~24.38%, respectively, compared with the baseline scenario concentration in 2018. Under the carbon neutral scenario, SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 in the thermal power industry in Shandong Province SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 emissions decreased by 10947.71, 44358.58, 1606.00, 1503.29t, respectively, compared with the 2018 base scenario. The contribution concentration of thermal power to SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀, and PM_2.5 in each city decreased by 22.66%~44.14%, 7.10%~54.37%, 23.08%~42.02%, and 27.20%~42.44%, respectively, compared with the baseline scenario concentration in 2018. Under the scenario of carbon peak and carbon neutrality, thermal power generation is still the "ballast stone" for energy security and stable supply in Shandong Province, and the collaborative control of pollution reduction and carbon reduction is crucial for Shandong thermal power industry.

	服务

	把本文推荐给朋友
	加入我的书架
	加入引用管理器
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	作者相关文章
	王圣
	周斌
	屈加豹
	李建晖
	余历钊
	吴鑫
	杨迎
	徐鑫
	伯鑫

关键词 ：火力发电, 碳达峰, 碳中和, CALPUFF, 污染贡献

Abstract：This study took Shandong Province, a major province of thermal power generation, as an example, calculated the emissions of atmospheric pollutants from thermal power under the scenario of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, and adopted the CALPUFF model to simulate the contribution of SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 pollution from the thermal power industry in Shandong under different scenarios. The results show that under the carbon peak scenario, the emissions of SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 in the Shandong thermal power industry decreased by 2483.42, 23448.71, 364.31, and 341.01t, respectively, compared with the baseline scenario in 2018. The contribution concentration of thermal power to SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 in each city decreased by 0.22%~26.61%, 0.66%~51.21%, 0.63%~23.82%, and 4.36%~24.38%, respectively, compared with the baseline scenario concentration in 2018. Under the carbon neutral scenario, SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 in the thermal power industry in Shandong Province SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀,and PM_2.5 emissions decreased by 10947.71, 44358.58, 1606.00, 1503.29t, respectively, compared with the 2018 base scenario. The contribution concentration of thermal power to SO₂, NO_x, PM₁₀, and PM_2.5 in each city decreased by 22.66%~44.14%, 7.10%~54.37%, 23.08%~42.02%, and 27.20%~42.44%, respectively, compared with the baseline scenario concentration in 2018. Under the scenario of carbon peak and carbon neutrality, thermal power generation is still the "ballast stone" for energy security and stable supply in Shandong Province, and the collaborative control of pollution reduction and carbon reduction is crucial for Shandong thermal power industry.

Key words： thermal power generation carbon peak carbon neutrality CALPUFF pollution contribution

收稿日期: 2024-04-11

PACS:

X51

基金资助:低碳智能燃煤发电与超净排放全国重点实验室开放课题(D2022FK075);中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(buctrc202133)

通讯作者: 杨迎,硕士,2022210140@buct.edu.cn;徐鑫,博士,xuxin04210202@163.com E-mail: 2022210140@buct.edu.cn;xuxin04210202@163.com

作者简介: 王圣(1973-),江苏省盐城人,研究员级高工,主要研究方向:大气污染防治.发表论文321篇.wangsheng9999@126.com.

引用本文:

王圣, 周斌, 屈加豹, 李建晖, 余历钊, 吴鑫, 杨迎, 徐鑫, 伯鑫. 双碳情景下山东省火电行业大气污染影响[J]. 中国环境科学, 2024, 44(11): 5990-5998. WANG Sheng, ZHOU Bin, QU Jia-Bao, LI Jian-Hui, YU Li-Zhao, WU Xin, YANG Ying, XU Xin, BO Xin. Air pollution impact of thermal power industry in Shandong Province under carbon peak and carbon neutrality scenario. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2024, 44(11): 5990-5998.

链接本文:

http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/Y2024/V44/I11/5990

[1] 朱法华,徐静馨,潘超,等.煤电在碳中和目标实现中的机遇与挑战 [J]. 电力科技与环保, 2022,38(2):79-86. Zhu F H, Xu J X, Pan C, et al. Opportunities and challenges of coal power industry in the achievement of carbon neutrality goal [J]. Electric Power Technology and Environmental Protection, 2022,38(2): 79-86.
[2] 崔宜筠,Nathan Hultman,姜克隽,等.加快中国燃煤电厂退出:通过逐厂评估探索可行的退役路径 [R]. 马里兰:马里兰大学全球可持续发展中心, 2020. Cui Y J, Nathan Hultman, Jiang K J, et al. A high ambition coal phaseout in China: Feasible strategies through a comprehensive plant-by-plant assessment [R]. Maryland: Center for Global Sustainability: College Park, Maryland, 2020.
[3] 吴琦,金洋,韩旭.“双碳”目标下的能源发展路径 [J]. 有色冶金节能, 2021,37(6):6-9. Wu Q, Jin Y, Han X. Eneray development path under the "2-stage carbon reduction" goal [J]. Energy Saving of Nonferrous Metallurgy, 2021,37(6):6-9.
[4] 屈加豹,王鹏,伯鑫,等.超低改造下中国火电排放清单及分布特征 [J]. 环境科学, 2020,41(9):3969-3975. Qu J B, Wang P, Bo X, et al. Inventory and distribution characteristics of China's thermal power emissions under ultra-low reconstruction [J]. Environmental Science, 2020,41(9):3969-3975.
[5] 屈加豹.全国火电行业大气污染物排放及减排特征研究 [D]. 石家庄:河北科技大学, 2019. Qu J B. Study on air pollutants emission of power plants in china and characteristics of its reduction [D]. Shijaizhuang: Hebei University of Science and Technology, 2019.
[6] 崔建升,屈加豹,伯鑫,等.基于在线监测的2015年中国火电排放清单 [J]. 中国环境科学, 2018,38(6):2062-2074. Cui J S, Qu J B, Bo X, et al. High resolution power emission inventory for China based on CEMS in 2015 [J]. China Environmental Science, 2018,38(6):2062-2074.
[7] Tang L, Qu J B, Mi Z F, et al. Substantial emission reductions from Chinese power plants after the introduction of ultra-low emissions standards [J]. Nature Energy, 2019,4(11):929-938.
[8] Tang L, Xue X D, Qu J B, et al. Air pollution emissions from Chinese power plants based on the continuous emission monitoring systems network [J]. Scientific Data, 2020,7(1):1-10.
[9] 雷团团.沧州市大气污染源排放清单及环境影响研究 [D]. 石家庄:河北科技大学, 2019. Lei T T. Emission inventory and environmental impact of air pollution sources in Cangzhou [D]. Shijiazhuang: Hebei University of Science and Technology, 2019.
[10] 阚慧,伯鑫,屈加豹,等.2015年海南省火电行业大气环境影响研究 [J]. 中国环境科学, 2019,39(1):428-439. Kan H, Bo X, Qu J B, et al. Air quality impacts of power plant emissions in Hainan Province, 2015. [J]. China Environmental Science, 2019,39(1):428-439.
[11] 崔建升,雷团团,伯鑫,等.海南省大气污染源排放清单及环境影响研究 [J]. 环境污染与防治, 2020,42(6):651-659,665. Cui J S, Lei T T, Bo X, et al. Study on air pollutant emission inventory and environmental impact in Hainan Province [J]. Environmental Pollution & Control, 2020,42(6):651-659,665.
[12] 伯鑫,王刚,温柔,等.京津冀地区火电企业的大气污染影响 [J]. 中国环境科学, 2015,35(2):364-373. Bo X, Wang G, Wen R, et al. Air pollution effect of the thermal power plants in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [J]. China Environmental Science, 2015,35(2):364-373.
[13] Cheng L, Wang T, Bo X, et al. Thermal power industry emissions and their contribution to air quality on the Fen-Wei plain [J]. Atmosphere, 2022,13(5):652.
[14] 伯鑫,屈加豹,雷勋杰,等.唐山市重点行业的大气污染影响 [C]//中国环境科学学会. 2018中国环境科学学会科学技术年会论文集(第二卷), 2018:110-119. Bo X, Qu J B,Lei X J, et al. Air pollution impact of key industries in Tangshan [C]//Chinese Society of Environmental Sciences. Proceedings of the 2018 Annual Conference of the Chinese Society of Environmental Sciences on Science and Technology (Volume 2), 2018:110-119.
[15] 朱文波,李楠,黄志炯,等.广东省火电污染物排放特征及其对大气环境的影响 [J]. 环境科学研究, 2016,29(6):810-818. Zhu W B, Li N, Huang Z J, et al. Emission characteristics of thermal power in Guangdong Province and influence on atmospheric environment [J]. Research of Environmental Sciences, 2016,29(6): 810-818.
[16] 吴宁.陕西省火电行业的环境空气质量贡献及减缓策略研究 [D]. 西安:西北大学, 2021. Wu N. Research on the contribution and mitigation strategies of Shaanxi thermal power industry's environmental air quality [D]. Xi¢an: Northwest University, 2021.
[17] 熊天琦.山东省燃煤电厂大气污染现状与减排潜力研究 [D]. 济南:济南大学, 2016. Xiong T Q. Current status and mitigation potential analysis of atmospheric emissions from coal-fired plants in Shandong province [D]. Jinan: University of Jinan, 2016.
[18] Lin Y C, Cheng F Y, Lee Y J, et al. Assessments of the emission contributions from an ultra-supercritical coal-fired power plant to ambient PM_2.5 in Taiwan [J]. Aerosol and Air Quality Research, 2023,23(12):230059.
[19] Wang Z, Pan L, Li Y, et al. Assessment of air quality benefits from the national pollution control policy of thermal power plants in China: A numerical simulation [J]. Atmospheric Environment, 2015,106288-304.
[20] Wang L Q,Li P F,Yu S C, et al. Predicted impact of thermal power generation emission control measures in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region on air pollution over Beijing, China [J]. Scientific reports, 2018,8(1):934.
[21] 山东省人民政府.山东省行政区划 [EB/OL]. [2022-12]. http://www.shandong.gov.cn/col/col97866/index.html. People's Government of Shandong Province. Administrative division of Shandong Province [EB/OL]. [2022-12]. http://www.shandong.gov.cn/col/col97866/index.html.
[22] 国家统计局:中国统计年鉴 [M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2019: 53-877. National Bureau of Statistics of China. China statistical yearbook [M]. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2019:53-877.
[23] 山东省统计局:山东统计年鉴 [M]. 北京:中国统计出版社, 2019: 53-629. Shandong Provincial Bureau of Statistics. China statistical yearbook [M]. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2019:53-629.
[24] 王海,吉增宝,颜炯,等.湖北省电力消费与经济增长关系研究及发展预测 [J]. 价值工程, 2023,42(11):33-36. Wang H, Ji Z B, Yan J, et al. Research and Forecast on the Relationship between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Hubei Province [J]. Value Engineering, 2023,42(11):33-36.
[25] 王可蕙.“双碳”背景下电力需求预测方法研究 [D]. 北京:华北电力大学(北京), 2024. Wang K H. Power demand forecasting method under the background of "Double Carbon"[D]. Beijing: North China Electric Power University (BeiJing), 2024.
[26] 伯鑫,丁峰,徐鹤,等.大气扩散CALPUFF模型技术综述 [J]. 环境监测管理与技术, 2009,21(3):9-13,47. Bo X, Ding F, Xu H, et al. Review of atmospheric diffusion spersion model CALPUFF technology [J]. The Administration and Technique of Environmental Monitoring, 2009,21(3):9-13,47.
[27] HJ 2.2-2018 环境影响评价技术导则大气环境 [S]. HJ 2.2-2018 Technical guidelines for environmental impact assessment-Atmospheric environment [S].
[28] 伯鑫,王刚,田军,等.AERMOD模型地表参数标准化集成系统研究 [J]. 中国环境科学, 2015,35(9):2570-2575. Bo X, Wang G, Tian J, et al. Standard systems of surface parameters in AERMOD [J]. China Environmental Science, 2015,35(9):2570-2575.
[29] 田飞,伯鑫,薛晓达,等.基于复杂地形-气象场的二噁英污染物沉降研究 [J]. 中国环境科学, 2019,39(4):1678-1686. Tian F, Bo X, Xue X D, et al. Study on settlement of dioxin pollutants under complex terrain-weather conditions [J]. China Environmental Science, 2019,39(4):1678-1686.
[30] 汤铃,郭静,郭朋恒,等.山东省垃圾焚烧电厂PCDD/Fs排放清单及其环境影响 [J]. 中国环境科学, 2023,43(2):735-747. Tang L, Guo J, Guo P H, et al. PCDD/Fs emission inventory and environmental impact of municipal solid waste incineration plants in Shandong Province [J]. China Environmental Science, 2023,43(2): 735-747.
[31] 山东省人民政府.山东省人民政府关于印发山东省碳达峰实施方案的通知 [EB/OL]. [2022-12-18]. http://www.shandong.gov.cn/art/2022/12/28/art_107851_123025.html. People's Government of Shandong Province. Notice of the People's Government of Shandong Province on issuing the implementation plan of carbon peak in Shandong Province [EB/OL]. [2022-12-18]. http://www.shandong.gov.cn/art/2022/12/28/art_107851_123025.html.
[32] 山东省人民政府.山东省能源发展“十四五”规划 [EB/OL]. [2022-11-05]. http://www.shandong.gov.cn/art/2021/8/19/art_107851_113859.html. People's Government of Shandong Province. The 14th Five-Year Plan for energy development of Shandong Province [EB/OL]. [2022-11-05]. http://www.shandong.gov.cn/art/2021/8/19/art_107851_113859.html.
[33] 朱法华,徐静馨,潘超.电力行业减污降碳发展状况及目标展望 [J]. 环境保护, 2022,50(10):15-20. Zhu F H, Xu J X, Pan C. Development situation and target prospect on the reduction of pollutant and carbon emissions in power industry [J]. Environmental Protection, 2022,50(10):15-20.
[34] 朱法华,王玉山,徐振,等.碳达峰、碳中和目标下中国能源低碳发展研究 [J]. 环境影响评价, 2021,43(5):1-8. Zhu F H, Wang Y S, X Z, et al. Research on China's energy low carbon development under the targets of emission peak and carbon neutrality [J]. Environmental Impact Assessment, 2021,43(5):1-8.
[35] 朱法华,王玉山,徐振,等.中国电力行业碳达峰、碳中和的发展路径研究 [J]. 电力科技与环保, 2021,37(3):9-16. Zhu F H, Wang Y S, Xu Z, et al. Research on the development path of carbon peak and carbon neutrality in China's Power Industry [J]. 2021,37(3):9-16.
[36] 中华人民共和国生态环境部. 全面实施燃煤电厂超低排放和节能改造工作方案 [EB/OL]. [2015-12-11]. https://www.mee.gov.cn/gkml/hbb/bwj/201512/t20151215_319170.htm. Ministry of Ecology and Environment, People's Republic of China. Full implementation of coal-fired power plant ultra-low emissions and energy saving modification scheme [EB/OL]. [2015-12-11]. https://www.mee.gov.cn/gkml/hbb/bwj/201512/t20151215_319170.htm.