1. Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China;
2. University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100049, China;
3. Nanjing Research Institute of Environmental Protection, Nanjing 210013, China
With the designed indicator system considering resources, environment and ecology, the environmental carrying capacity of Nanjing from 2011 to 2016 was measured using the State Space Model. The influencing factors were identified from the perspectives of natural conditions, regional development and management system with a concrete analysis. The results showed the environmental carrying capacity of Nanjing increased after 2011, but it was still overloaded on the whole; The urban area was overloaded most seriously, followed by Liuhe District, Pukou District and Jiangning District; and the overloading degree was relatively moderate in Lishui District and Gaochun District; Among various influencing factors, the natural conditions such as water and soil resources, and meteorology played an fundamental limiting role, while the population, industry and other socioeconomic factors intensified the overloading degree of environmental carrying capacity, especially its spatial differentiation. Besides, the improvement of management ability could alleviate the overloading degree.
廖慧璇,籍永丽,彭少麟.资源环境承载力与区域可持续发展[J]. 生态环境学报, 2016,25(7):1253-1258. Liao H X, Ji Y L, Peng S L. Resource and environment carrying capacity and sustainable development[J]. Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2016,25(7):1253-1258.
[2]
陆大道.中速增长:中国经济的可持续发展[J]. 地理科学, 2015,35(10):1207-1219. Lu D D. Moderate-speed growth:sustainable development of China's economy[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2015,35(10):1207-1219.
[3]
王俭,孙铁珩,李培军,等.环境承载力研究进展[J]. 应用生态学报, 2005,(4):768-772. Wang J, Sun T H, Li P J, et al. Research progress on environmental carrying capacity[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005,(4):768-772.
[4]
刘兆德,虞孝感.长江流域相对资源承载力与可持续发展研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2002,(1):10-15. Liu Z D, Yu X G. Carrying capacity of resources and problems of sustainable development in Yangtze Basin[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2002,(1):10-15.
[5]
唐剑武,叶文虎.环境承载力的本质及其定量化初步研究[J]. 中国环境科学, 1998,(3):36-39. Tang J W, Ye W H. Study on environmental bearing capacity and its quantification[J] China Environmental Science, 1998,18(3):227-230.
[6]
李金海.区域生态承载力与可持续发展[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2001,(3):78-80. Li J H. Regional ecological carrying capacity and sustainable development[J]. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2001, (3):78-80.
[7]
金悦,陆兆华,檀菲菲,等.典型资源型城市生态承载力评价——以唐山市为例[J]. 生态学报, 2015,35(14):4852-4859. Jin Y, Lu Z H, Tan F F, et al. Assessment of ecological carrying capacity on the typical resources-based cities:A case study of Tangshan City[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2015,35(14):4852-4859.
[8]
崔凤军,刘家明.旅游环境承载力理论及其实践意义[J]. 地理科学进展, 1998,(1):86-91. Cui F J, Liu J M. A study on the theory and application of tourism environment bearing capacity[J]. Progress in Geography, 1998,(1):86-91.
[9]
Navarro Jurado E, Damian I M, Fernández-Morales A. Carrying capacity model applied in coastal destinations[J]. Annal of Tourism Research, 2013,43:1-19.
[10]
傅湘,纪昌明.区域水资源承载能力综合评价——主成分分析法的应用[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 1999,(2):168-173. Fu X, Ji C M. A comprehensive evaluation of the regional water resource carrying capacity-application of main component analysis method[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 1999, (2):168-173.
[11]
段春青,刘昌明,陈晓楠,等.区域水资源承载力概念及研究方法的探讨[J]. 地理学报, 2010,65(1):82-90. Duan C Q, Liu C M, Chen X N, et al. Preliminary research on regional water resources carrying capacity conception and method[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010,65(1):82-90.
[12]
王金南,于雷,万军,等.长江三角洲地区城市水环境承载力评估[J]. 中国环境科学, 2013,33(6):1147-1151. Wang J N, Yu L, Wan J, et al. Assessment on water environmental carrying capacity in the Yangtze River Delta[J]. China Environmental Science, 2013,33(6):1147-1151.
[13]
Lane M. The carrying capacity imperative:Assessing regional carrying capacity methodologies for sustainable land-use planning[J]. Land Use Policy, 2010,27(4):1038-1045.
[14]
孙钰,李新刚.基于空间回归分析的城市土地综合承载力研究——以环渤海地区城市群为例[J]. 地域研究与开发, 2013,32(5):128-132+137. Sun Y, Li X G. The research of urban land comprehensive carrying capacity based on spatial regression analysis:Taking the Bohai Rim Urban Agglomeration as example[J]. Areal Research and Development, 2013,32(5):128-132+137.
[15]
王倩.中原城市群土地综合承载力研究[D]. 河南大学, 2009. Wang Q. Research on the integrated land carrying capacity of Zhongyuan urban agglomeration[D]. Henan University, 2009.
[16]
刘立勇,王彬,李忠武.典型城区山岳型风景区大气环境承载力分析[J]. 生态环境学报, 2009,18(2):688-692. Liu L Y, Wang B, Li Z B. Exploitation of atmosphere environment sustainable capacity for a typical urban mountain scenic spot[J]. Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2009,18(2):688-692.
[17]
钱跃东.区域大气环境承载力评估方法研究[D]. 南京大学, 2011. Qian Y D. A study on estimation methods of regional atmospheric environmental carrying capacity[D]. Nanjing University, 2011.
[18]
郭轲,王立群.京津冀地区资源环境承载力动态变化及其驱动因子[J]. 应用生态学报, 2015,26(12):3818-3826. Guo K, Wang L Q. Change of resource environmental bearing capacity of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and its driving factors[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2015,26(12):3818-3826.
[19]
雷勋平,邱广华.基于熵权TOPSIS模型的区域资源环境承载力评价实证研究[J]. 环境科学学报, 2016,36(1):314-323. Lei X P, Qiu G H. Empirical study about the carrying capacity evaluation of regional resources and environment based on entropy-weight TOPSIS model[J]. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2016,36(1):314-323.
[20]
孙茜,张捍卫,张小虎.河南省资源环境承载力测度及障碍因素诊断[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2015,29(7):33-38. Sun Q, Zhang H W, Zhang X H. Resources and environment carrying capacity estimation and the obstacle factors diagnosis for Henan Province[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2015, 29(7):33-38.
[21]
王锦,郝晋珉,陈爱琪,等.基于模糊聚类分析的天津市生态环境承载力评价[J]. 中国农业大学学报, 2018,23(10):112-121. Wang J, Hao J M, Chen A Q, et al. Evaluation of ecological environment carrying capacity in Tianjin based on fuzzy cluster analysis[J]. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2018,23(10):112-121.
[22]
赵宏波,马延吉,苗长虹.基于熵值-突变级数法的国家战略经济区环境承载力综合评价及障碍因子——以长吉图开发开放先导区为例[J]. 地理科学, 2015,35(12):1525-1532. Zhao H B, Ma Y J, Miao C H. Integrated assessment and obstacle factors of environmental carrying capacity of National Strategic Economic Zones based on entropy and catastrophe progression methods:A case study in Changchun-Jilin-Tumenjiang development and opening-up Pilot Area[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2015, 35(12):1525-1532.
[23]
周道静,王传胜.资源环境承载能力预警城市化地区专项评价——以京津冀地区为例[J]. 地理科学进展, 2017,36(3):359-366. Zhou D J, Wang C S. Specific evaluation of resource and environmental carrying capacity of urbanized areas for early-warning:A case study of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region[J]. Progress in Geography, 2017,36(3):359-366.
[24]
周侃,樊杰.中国欠发达地区资源环境承载力特征与影响因素——以宁夏西海固地区和云南怒江州为例[J]. 地理研究, 2015, 34(1):39-52. Zhou K, Fan J. Characteristics and influence factors of resources and environment carrying capacity in underdeveloped areas of China[J]. Geographical Research, 2015,34(1):39-52.
[25]
解钰茜,吴昊,崔丹,等.基于景气指数法的中国环境承载力预警[J]. 中国环境科学, 2019,39(1):440-448. Xie Y X, Wu H, Cui D, et al. Chinese early warning of environmental carrying capacity based on the climate index method[J]. China Environmental Science, 2019,39(1):440-448.
[26]
崔丹,陈馨,曾维华.水环境承载力中长期预警研究——以昆明市为例[J]. 中国环境科学, 2018,38(3):1174-1184. Cui D, Chen X, Zeng W H. Investigations on the medium-to-long term early warning of water environmental carrying capacity-A case study of Kunming City[J]. 2018,38(3):1174-1184.
[27]
王雪军,付晓,孙玉军,等.基于GIS赣州市资源环境承载力评价[J]. 江西农业大学学报, 2013,35(6):1325-1332. Wang X J, Fu X, Sun Y J, et al. Assessment of regional carrying capacity of resources and environment in Ganzhou City based on GIS[J]. Acta Agriculturae Universitatis Jiangxiensis, 2013,35(6):1325-1332.
[28]
李健,杨丹丹,高杨.基于状态空间模型的天津市环境承载力动态测评[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2014,28(11):25-30. Li J, Yang D D. Measurement and assessment of environment carrying capacity of Tianjin based on State-Space Model[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2014,28(11):25-30.
[29]
黄敬军,姜素,张丽,等.城市规划区资源环境承载力评价指标体系构建——以徐州市为例[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2015,25(S2):204-208. Establishment of evaluation index system of resource environmental carrying capacity in urban planning area:Take Xuzhou as an example[J]. China Population, Resources and Environment, 2015,25(S2):204-208.
[30]
魏超,叶属峰,过仲阳,等.海岸带区域综合承载力评估指标体系的构建与应用——以南通市为例[J]. 生态学报, 2013,33(18):5893-5904. Wei C, Ye S F, Guo Z Y, et al. Constructing an assessment indices system to analyze integrated regional carrying capacity in the coastal zones:A case in Nantong[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2013,33(18):5893-5904.
[31]
谢高地,鲁春霞,冷允法,等.青藏高原生态资产的价值评估[J]. 自然资源学报, 2003,(2):189-196. Xie G D, Lu C X, Leng Y F, et al. Ecological assets valuation of the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2003,(2):189-196.
[32]
李磊,贾磊,赵晓雪,等.层次分析-熵值定权法在城市水环境承载力评价中的应用[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2014,23(4):456-460. Li L, Jia L, Zhao X X, et al. Application of the AHP and the entropy weight method in evaluation on city water environmental carrying capacity[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2014, 23(4):456-460.
[33]
毛汉英,余丹林.区域承载力定量研究方法探讨[J]. 地球科学进展, 2001,(4):549-555. Mao H Y, Yu D L. A study on the quantitative research of regional carrying capacity[J]. Advance in Earth Science, 2001,(4):549-555.
[34]
徐勇,张雪飞,周侃,等.资源环境承载能力预警的超载成因分析方法及应用[J]. 地理科学进展, 2017,36(3):277-285. Xu Y, Zhang X F, Zhou K, et al. Method and application of cause analysis for early-warning of resource and environmental system overloading[J]. Progress in Geography, 2017,36(3):277-285.
[35]
芮冬梅,张予燕.南京市环境空气质量与气象条件的关系分析[J]. 环境科学导刊, 2009,28(2):37-38. Rui D M, Zhang Y Y. Analysis on relation of air quality and meteorological condition in Nanjing[J]. Environmental Science Survey, 2009,28(2):37-38.
[36]
张予燕,芮冬梅,周灵辉.南京钟山风景区对主城环境空气质量的影响[J]. 环境监控与预警, 2010,2(1):47-50. Zhang Y Y, Rui D M. Nanjing Zhongshan Mountain Scenic's influence on the air quality in main urban area[J]. Environmental Monitoring and Forewarning, 2010,2(1):47-50.
[37]
赵海霞,蒋晓威,崔建鑫.泛长三角地区工业污染重心演变路径及其驱动机制研究[J]. 环境科学, 2014,35(11):4387-4394. Zhao H X, Jiang X W, Cui J X. Shifting path of industrial pollution gravity centers and its driving mechanism in Pan-Yangtze River Delta[J]. Environmental Science, 2014,35(1):4387-4394.
