中国废纸回收系统物质流分析与评价

摘要
图/表
参考文献(64)
相关文章 (15)

全文: PDF (870 KB) HTML (1 KB)
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

摘要

构建了2017年中国废纸回收决策系统的基准模型，其中重点关注废纸非规范回收对中国国内废纸回收系统的经济效益和环境（GHG排放量）的影响.其次，对影响废纸回收系统效益的相关参数进行了灵敏度分析，最后在整合非规范回收商贩情境下对系统经济效益和GHG排放量进行了预测.结果表明：2017年中国废纸回收的经济效益约为458.3元/t，GHG排放量为901.1kgCO_2eq；规范回收率和非规范回收接受率都会对系统经济效益和改善GHG排放结构有显著影响；整合非规范回收企业以及个体回收商的情境下2030年经济效益将上升至3312.5元/t，而GHG排放量上升至942.9kgCO_2eq.并且通过情境预测发现整合非规范回收能提升规范回收率，这能有效的规范中国的废纸回收市场.

	服务

	把本文推荐给朋友
	加入我的书架
	加入引用管理器
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	作者相关文章
	刘满芝
	谈帅
	栾常锦
	付志伟

关键词 ：废纸回收, 物质流分析, 灵敏度分析, 情景预测

Abstract：

This paper constructed a benchmark model of China's waste paper recycling decision system in 2017, focusing on the impact of nonstandard waste paper recycling on the economic and environmental benefits of China's domestic waste paper recycling system. This model construction was followed by sensitivity analysis of the relevant parameters affecting the efficiency of the waste paper recycling system. Finally,the system's economic benefits and GHG emissions were forecast in the context of integrating nonstandard recycling vendors. The results showed that the economic benefit of China's waste paper recycling in 2017 was approximately 458.3 yuan/t and that the GHG emissions were 901.1kgCO₂eq. The standard recovery rate and nonstandard recovery acceptance rate would both have a significant impact on the system's economic benefits and improved the GHG emissions structure. In the context of integrating nonstandard recycling enterprises and individual recycling vendors, the economic benefits would rise to 3312.5 yuan/t in 2030, while GHG emissions would rise to 942.9kg CO₂eq. And through scenario prediction, it was found that the integration of nonstandard recycling could improve the standard recovery rate, which could effectively regulate China's waste paper recycling market.

Key words： waste paper recycling material flow analysis sensitivity analysis scenario prediction

收稿日期: 2019-04-22

PACS:	X705
	X32

基金资助:

国家自然科学基金资助项目（71874186）；江苏省高校哲学社会科学重点项目（2018SJZDI084）；国家大学生创新训练计划项目（201810290057）

通讯作者: 刘满芝,副教授,liumanzhi@cumt.edu.cn E-mail: liumanzhi@cumt.edu.cn

作者简介: 刘满芝(1978-),女,江苏徐州人,副教授,博士,主要研究方向为能源资源环境经济与管理,绿色营销与供应链管理.发表论文40余篇.

引用本文:

刘满芝, 谈帅, 栾常锦, 付志伟. 中国废纸回收系统物质流分析与评价[J]. 中国环境科学, 2020, 40(1): 439-452. LIU Man-zhi, TAN Shuai, LUAN Chang-jin, FU Zhi-wei. Material flow analysis and evaluation of waste paper recycling system in China. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2020, 40(1): 439-452.

链接本文:

http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/Y2020/V40/I1/439

[1]	Qiao Q, Zhao F, Liu Z, et al. Electric vehicle recycling in China:Economic and environmental benefits[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2019,140:45-53.
[2]	Liu J, Bai H, Liang H, et al. How to recycle the small waste household appliances in China? A revenue-expenditure analysis[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2018,137:292-301.
[3]	王钦池.2017年全球纸业发展报告[J]. 中华纸业, 2018,39(23):31-37. Wang Q. Global paper industry development report in 2017[J]. China pulp paper industry, 2018,39(23):31-37.
[4]	Dalmo F C, Simão N M, Lima H Q D, et al. Energy recovery overview of municipal solid waste in São Paulo State, Brazil[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019,212:461-474.
[5]	Kulhánová I, Morelli X, Le Tertre A, et al. The fraction of lung cancer incidence attributable to fine particulate air pollution in France:Impact of spatial resolution of air pollution models[J]. Environment International, 2018,121:1079-1086.
[6]	Chen Y. Evaluating greenhouse gas emissions and energy recovery from municipal and industrial solid waste using waste-to-energy technology[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018,192:262-269.
[7]	Xiao S, Dong H, Geng Y, et al. An overview of China's recyclable waste recycling and recommendations for integrated solutions[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2018,134:112-120.
[8]	Steuer B, Ramusch R, Salhofer S P. Can Beijing's informal waste recycling sector survive amidst worsening circumstances?[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2018,128:59-68.
[9]	Liang S, Zhang T, Xu Y. Comparisons of four categories of waste recycling in China's paper industry based on physical input-output life-cycle assessment model[J]. Waste Management, 2012,32(3):603-612.
[10]	Merrild H, Damgaard A, Christensen T H. Life cycle assessment of waste paper management:The importance of technology data and system boundaries in assessing recycling and incineration[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2008,52(12):1391-1398.
[11]	Tatoutchoup F D. Optimal rate of paper recycling[J]. Forest Policy and Economics, 2016,73:264-269.
[12]	Campano C, Merayo N, Negro C, et al. Low-fibrillated bacterial cellulose nanofibers as a sustainable additive to enhance recycled paper quality[J]. International Journal of Biological Macromolecules, 2018,114:1077-1083.
[13]	Gomes D G, Serna-Loaiza S, Cardona C A, et al. Insights into the economic viability of cellulases recycling on bioethanol production from recycled paper sludge[J]. Bioresource Technology, 2018,267:347-355.
[14]	Seo Y B, Ahn J H, Lee H L. Upgrading waste paper by in-situ calcium carbonate formation[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2017,155:212-217.
[15]	Aciu C, Varvara D A I, Cobirzan N, et al. Recycling of paper waste in the composition of plastering mortars[J]. Procedia Technology, 2014, 12:295-300.
[16]	Tatoutchoup F D. Optimal rate of paper recycling[J]. Forest Policy and Economics, 2016,73:264-269.
[17]	Ouda O K M, Rehan M, Nader N, et al. Environmental and economic benefits of recovered paper:A case study of Saudi Arabia[J]. Energy Procedia, 2017,142:3753-3758.
[18]	Mirkovic I B, Majnaric I, Bolanca Z. Ecological sustainability and waste paper recycling[J]. Procedia Engineering, 2015,100:177-186.
[19]	Ervasti I, Miranda R, Kauranen I. Paper recycling framework, the "Wheel of Fiber"[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2016, 174:35-44.
[20]	Sevigné-Itoiz E, Gasol C M, Rieradevall J, et al. Methodology of supporting decision-making of waste management with material flow analysis (MFA) and consequential life cycle assessment (CLCA):case study of waste paper recycling[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2015,105:253-262.
[21]	Zhang S, Zhang M, Yu X, et al. What keeps Chinese from recycling:Accessibility of recycling facilities and the behavior[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2016,109:176-186.
[22]	Pivnenko K, Eriksson E, Astrup T F. Waste paper for recycling:Overview and identification of potentially critical substances[J]. Waste Management, 2015,45:134-142.
[23]	Tiew K, Basri N E A, Deng H, et al. Comparative study on recycling behaviours between regular recyclers and non regular recyclers in Malaysia[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2019,237:255-263.
[24]	Xiao S, Dong H, Geng Y, et al. An overview of China's recyclable waste recycling and recommendations for integrated solutions[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2018,134:112-120.
[25]	杨孝光,陈莎,李燚佩.中国纸产品全生命周期及废纸回收利用GHG排放分析[C]. 中国化学会第28届学术年会,成都, 2012. Yang X, Chen S, Li Y. Analysis on GHG emission of the life cycle of paper products and waste paper recycling in China[C]. 28th Annual Academic Conference of China Chemical Society, Chengdu, 2012.
[26]	刘继永,杨前进,韩新民.瓦楞纸箱全生命周期环境影响评价研究[J]. 环境科学研究, 2008,21(6):105-109. Liu J, Yang Q, Han X. Life cycle assessment of environmental impact of corrugated boxes. Research of environmental sciences, 2008,21(6):105-109.
[27]	张辉,刘克.深度探析我国废纸回收与利用体系建设[J]. 中华纸业, 2012,33(15):10-15. Zhang H, Liu K. Construction of waste paper recycling and utilization system in China[J]. China pulp paper industry, 2012,33(15):10-15.
[28]	王磊,马龙,吴汉舟,等.废纸回收利用现状及策略探析[J]. 中国市场, 2010,9(36):19-21. Wang L, Ma L, Wu H, et al. Status and strategies of waste paper recycling[J]. China market, 2010,9(36):19-21.
[29]	Ma B, Li X, Jiang Z, et al. Recycle more, waste more? When recycling efforts increase resource consumption[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019,206:870-877.
[30]	Ding N, Yang J, Liu J. Substance flow analysis of aluminum industry in mainland China[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2016,133:1167-1180.
[31]	Lee S, Kim J W, Hwang Y W, et al. Butadiene substance flow analysis and management in South Korea[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019,220:331-339.
[32]	Tran H P, Schaubroeck T, Nguyen D Q, et al. Material flow analysis for management of waste TVs from households in urban areas of Vietnam[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2018,139:78-89.
[33]	Ferrão P, Ribeiro P, Rodrigues J, et al. Environmental, economic and social costs and benefits of a packaging waste management system:A Portuguese case study[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2014,85:67-78.
[34]	中国统计年鉴[M]. 北京:国家统计局, 2018. China statistical yearbook[M]. National Bureau of Statistics of the People's Republic of China, Beijing, 2018.
[35]	Rebitzer G, Ekvall T, Frischknecht R, et al. Life cycle assessment[J]. Environment International, 2004,30(5):701-720.
[36]	中国回收纸可持续发展建议[R]. 北京:世界自然基金会(WWF), 2018. Recommendations for the Sustainable Development of Paper Recycling in China. World Wide Fund for Nature or World Wildlife Fund (WWF), Beijing, 2018.
[37]	Berglund C, Söderholm P. Complementing empirical evidence on global recycling and trade of waste paper[J]. World Development, 2003,31(4):743-754.
[38]	中国可再生资源业行业报告[R]. 北京:中国资源回收协会, 2017. China Renewable Resource Recycling Industry Development Report. China Resource Recycling Association, Beijing, 2017.
[39]	中国造纸工业2017年度报告[R]. 北京:中国造纸协会, 2018. China paper industry annual report 2017. China Paper Association, Beijing, 2018.
[40]	Lopes E, Dias A, Arroja L, et al. Application of life cycle assessment to the Portuguese pulp and paper industry[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2003,11(1):51-59.
[41]	戴铁军,赵鑫蕊.基于物质流分析的废纸回收利用体系生态成本研究[J]. 生态学报, 2017,37(15):5210-5220. Dai T, Zhao X. Study on ecological costs for waste paper recycling system based on the Material Flow Analysis[J]. Acta ecologica sinica, 2017,37(15):5210-5220.
[42]	De Meester S, Nachtergaele P, Debaveye S, et al. Using material flow analysis and life cycle assessment in decision support:A case study on WEEE valorization in Belgium[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2019,142:1-9.
[43]	Zacho K O, Mosgaard M, Riisgaard H. Capturing uncaptured values-A Danish case study on municipal preparation for reuse and recycling of waste[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2018,136:297-305.
[44]	Alting L, Hauschild M, Wenzel H. Elements in a new sustainable industrial culture Environmental assessment in product development[J]. Robotics and Computer Integrated Manufacturing, 1998,14(5):429-439.
[45]	Kazulis V, Vigants H, Veidenbergs I, et al. Biomass and natural gas co-firing-evaluation of GHG emissions[J]. Energy Procedia, 2018, 147:558-565.
[46]	Cheung W M, Pachisia V. Facilitating waste paper recycling and repurposing via cost modelling of machine failure, labour availability and waste quantity[J]. Resources, Conservation & Recycling, 2015, 101:34-41.
[47]	陈莎,刘尊文.生命周期评价与Ⅲ型环境标志认证[M]. 北京:中国标准出版社, 2014. Chen S, Liu Z. Life cycle assessment and type III environmental labeling certification[M]. Beijing:Standards Press of China, 2014.
[48]	Esmaeilian B, Wang B, Lewis K, et al. The future of waste management in smart and sustainable cities:A review and concept paper[J]. Waste Management, 2018,81:177-195.
[49]	Hammed T B, Wandiga S O, Mulugetta Y, et al. Improving knowledge and practices of mitigating green house gas emission through waste recycling in a community, Ibadan, Nigeria[J]. Waste Management, 2018,81:22-32.
[50]	Xie J, Dai H, Xie Y, et al. Effect of carbon tax on the industrial competitiveness of Chongqing, China[J]. Energy for Sustainable Development, 2018,47:114-123.
[51]	Tran H P, Schaubroeck T, Nguyen D Q, et al. Material flow analysis for management of waste TVs from households in urban areas of Vietnam[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2018,139:78-89.
[52]	周章金,符小玲,李敏.基于碳排放的废弃产品回收站点分布研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2018,26(4):41-48. Zhou J, Fu X, Li M. Research on the distribution of waste product recycling sites based on carbon emission[J]. Chinese journal of management science, 2018,26(4):41-48.
[53]	牛庆民.废纸加工行业规范条件的出台将会对产业格局带来哪些转变[J]. 中华纸业, 2018,39(3):45-49. Niu Q. What changes will be brought to the industrial pattern by the introduction of the standard conditions for the waste paper processing industry[J]. China pulp paper industry, 2018,39(3):45-49.
[54]	全国人民代表大会常务委员会.中华人民共和国环境保护税法[Z]. 2018-01-01. Standing Committee of the National People's Congress. Environmental protection tax law of the people's Republic of China[Z]. 2018-01-01.
[55]	Wang M, Li Y, Li M, et al. Will carbon tax affect the strategy and performance of low-carbon technology sharing between enterprises?[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019,210:724-737.
[56]	Tong X, Tao D, Lifset R. Varieties of business models for post-consumer recycling in China[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018, 170:665-673.
[57]	Qiao Q, Zhao F, Liu Z, et al. Electric vehicle recycling in China:Economic and environmental benefits[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2019,140:45-53.
[58]	Dunuwila P, Rodrigo V H L, Goto N. Financial and environmental sustainability in manufacturing of crepe rubber in terms of material flow analysis, material flow cost accounting and life cycle assessment[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018,182:587-599.
[59]	Merrild H, Damgaard A, Christensen T H. Life cycle assessment of waste paper management:The importance of technology data and system boundaries in assessing recycling and incineration[J]. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2008,52(12):1391-1398.
[60]	Xiu M, Stevanovic S, Rahman M M, et al. Emissions of particulate matter, carbon monoxide and nitrogen oxides from the residential burning of waste paper briquettes and other fuels[J]. Environmental Research, 2018,167:536-543.
[61]	胡鸣明,张纯博,董亮,等.支撑资源循环可持续性评价的经济决策工具——生命周期成本分析的发展与应用[J]. 中国环境科学, 2018,38(12):4788-4800. Hu M, Zhang C, Dong L, et al. Economic decision-making tools to support resource cycle sustainability evaluation:Development and application of life cycle cost analysis[J]. China Environmental Science, 2018,38(12):4788-4800.
[62]	Zhang H, Hewings G J D, Zheng X. The effects of carbon taxation in China:An analysis based on energy input-output model in hybrid units[J]. Energy Policy, 2019,128:223-234.
[63]	景侨楠,侯慧敏,白宏涛,等.自上而下的城市能源消耗碳排放估算方法[J]. 中国环境科学, 2019,39(1):420-427. Jing Q, Hou H, Bai H, et al. Top-down method for estimating carbon emissions from urban energy consumption[J]. China Environmental Science, 2019,39(1):420-427.
[64]	文扬,马中,吴语晗,等.京津冀及周边地区工业大气污染排放因素分解——基于LMDI模型分析[J]. 中国环境科学, 2018,38(12):4730-4736. Wen Y, Ma Z, Wu Y. Decomposition of industrial air pollution factors in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and surrounding areas——Analysis based on LMDI Model[J]. China Environmental Science, 2018,38(12):4730-4736.