Abstract：The environmental protection constraint targets were collected from the reports on the work of 283prefecture-level governments in China from 2003to 2017, and the effects of different environmental constraint targets on economic growth were examined systematically. Both the environmental governance was strengthened by government and economic growth dividends were released, which were attributed to the direct constraints on industrial pollutants such as sulfur dioxide (SO2). The polluting enterprises were not encouraged by the indirect constraints on days of good air quality and PM2.5 to transform, and the economic growth was faced with a slowdown. A positive economic effect was made by no environmental constraint at a cost of environmental pollution however. The intermediate mechanism test reveals that industrial structure and environmental governance were the main channels through which environmental constraints affected economic growth. In terms of the characteristics of environmental protection constraints, the economic growth was restrained by the amplification of constraint targets while setting a pollutant emission reduction interval was more conducive to economic growth. In the aspect of the coordination between economy and environment, making constraints on environmental pollutants promoted economic and environment to develop coordinately, and no environmental constraint was not beneficial for economic growth and environmental protection. Local governments should adjust the environmental protection constraint targets gradually on the basis of specific pollutant emission goals.
李媛, 张同斌, 亓彭飞. 地方环境约束目标对经济增长的影响效应[J]. 中国环境科学, 2020, 40(10): 4617-4630.
LI Yuan, ZHANG Tong-bin, QI Peng-fei. Research on the impact of the local government’s environmental protection constraint target on economic growth. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2020, 40(10): 4617-4630.
徐辉,韦斌杰,张大伟.环保投资占比最优化:基于生态效率的考量[J]. 中国环境科学, 2019,39(8):3530-3538. Xu H, Wei B J, Zhang D W. Optimizing the ratio of environmental protection investment:based on the eco-efficiency[J]. China Environmental Science, 2019,39(8):3530-3538.
[2]
林思宇,陈佳斌,石磊,等.环境税征收对小微企业的影响——基于湖南省小微工业企业实证数据分析[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016,36(7):2212-2218. Lin S Y, Chen J B, Shi L, et al. Impact of environmental taxes on small and micro businesses-an empirical research in Hunan Province[J]. China Environmental Science, 2016,36(7):2212-2218.
[3]
Grossman G M, Krueger A B. Economic growth and the environment[J]. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1995,110(2):353-377.
[4]
Jalil A, Feridun M. The impact of growth, energy and financial development on the environment in China:a cointegration analysis[J]. Energy Economics, 2011,33(22):284-291.
[5]
阚大学,吕连菊.要素市场扭曲加剧了环境污染吗——基于省级工业行业空间面板动态数据的分析[J]. 财贸经济, 2016,37(5):146-157. Kan D X, Lv L J. Does the factor market distortion aggravate the environmental pollution-based on the provincial industrial spatial dynamic panel data[J]. Finance & Trade Economics, 2016,37(5):146-157.
[6]
葛翔宇,周智敏,周艳丽.城市化、外商投资和产业结构因素对中国环境的影响[J]. 中国环境科学, 2020,40(3):1374-1385. Ge X Y, Zhou Z M, Zhou Y L. The impact of urbanization, FDI and industrial structure effects on China's environment[J]. China Environmental Science, 2020,40(3):1374-1385.
[7]
李茜,胡昊,罗海江,等.我国经济增长与环境污染双向作用关系研究——基于PVAR模型的区域差异分析[J]. 环境科学学报, 2015,35(6):1875-1886. Li Q, Hu H, Luo H J, et al. Two-way coupling relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution-regional difference analysis based on PVAR model[J]. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2015,35(6):1875-1886.
[8]
李倩,鞠美庭,邵超峰,等.基于复杂系统理论的天津市环境与经济关系分析[J]. 环境科学研究, 2013,26(1):109-114. Li Q, Ju M T, Shao C F, et al. Study on the relationship between environment and economy in Tianjin city based on the system complexity[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences, 2013,26(1):109-114.
[9]
Boyd G A, McClelland J D. The impact of environmental constraints on productivity improvement in integrated paper plants[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1999,38(2):121-142.
[10]
Popp D, Newell R. Where does energy R & D come from? examining crowding out from energy R&D[J]. Energy Economics, 2012,51(1):46-71.
[11]
Porter M E, Linde C V. Toward a new conception of the environment-competitiveness relationship[J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1995,9(4):97-118.
[12]
Hamamoto M. Environmental regulation and the productivity of Japanese manufacturing industries[J]. Resources & Energy Economics, 2006,28(4):299-312.
[13]
Becker R A. Local environmental regulation and plant-level productivity[J]. Ecological Economics, 2011,70(12):2516-2522.
[14]
范丹,梁佩凤,刘斌,等.中国环境税费政策的双重红利效应——基于系统GMM与面板门槛模型的估计[J]. 中国环境科学, 2018, 38(9):3576-3583. Fan D, Liang P F, Liu B, et al. Analysis on the double dividend effects of the environmental tax and fee policies in China-the estimation of the system GMM and the panel threshold model[J]. China Environmental Science, 2018,38(9):3576-3583.
[15]
张同斌,李金凯,程立艳.经济结构、增长方式与环境污染的内在关联研究——基于时变参数向量自回归模型的实证分析[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016,36(7):2230-2240. Zhang T B, Li J K, Cheng L Y. Intrinsic correlation among economic structure, growth mode and environmental pollution-empirical analysis based on the TVP-VAR model[J]. China Environmental Science, 2016,36(7):2230-2240.
[16]
涂正革,肖耿.环境约束下的中国工业增长模式研究[J]. 世界经济, 2009,(11):41-54. Tu Z G, Xiao G. Research on China's industrial growth model under environmental constraints[J]. The Journal of World Economy, 2009, (11):41-54.
[17]
Currie J, Walker R. Traffic congestion and infant health:evidence from E-Zpass[D]. NBER Working Paper, No.15413, 2009.
[18]
Zivin J G, Neidell M. Environment, health, and human capital[D]. NBER Working Paper, No.18935, 2013.
[19]
Tombe T, Winter J. Environmental policy and misallocation:the productivity effect of intensity standards[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2015,72(1):137-163.
[20]
韩超,张伟广,冯展斌.环境规制如何"去"资源错配——基于中国首次约束性污染控制的分析[J]. 中国工业经济, 2017,(4):115-132. Han C, Zhang W G, Feng Z B. How does environmental regulation remove resource misallocation-an analysis of the first obligation control in China[J]. China Industrial Economics, 2017,(4):115-132.
[21]
余泳泽,潘妍.中国经济高速增长与服务业结构升级滞后并存之谜——基于地方经济增长目标约束视角的解释[J]. 经济研究, 2019,(3):150-163. Yu Y Z, Pan Y. The mysterious coexistence of rapid economic growth and a lag in the service industry's upgrade in China:an interpretation based on the economic growth target constraints perspective[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2019,(3):150-163.
[22]
刘淑琳,王贤彬,黄亮雄.经济增长目标驱动投资吗?——基于2001~2016年地级市样本的理论分析与实证检验[J]. 金融研究, 2019,(8):1-19. Liu S L, Wang X B, Huang L X. Does economic growth goal drive investment?-theoretical analysis and empirical test based on the sample of prefecture-level cities from 2001 to 2016[J]. Journal of Financial Research, 2019,(8):1-19.
[23]
潘彬,金雯雯.货币政策对民间借贷利率的作用机制与实施效果[J]. 经济研究, 2017,(8):78-91. Pan B, Jin W W. Transmission mechanism and effect of monetary policy on the interest rate of informal finance[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2017,(8):78-91.
[24]
徐盈之,吴海明.环境约束下区域协调发展水平综合效率的实证研究[J]. 中国工业经济, 2010,(8):34-43. Xu Y Z, Wu H M. Empirical study on the comprehensive efficiency of the level of regional coordinated development considering environmental factors[J]. China Industrial Economics, 2010,(8):34-43.
[25]
范庆泉,周县华,张同斌.动态环境税外部性、污染累积路径与长期经济增长——兼论环境税的开征时点选择问题[J]. 经济研究, 2016, (8):116-127. Fan Q Q, Zhou X H, Zhang T B. Externalities of dynamic environmental taxation, paths of accumulative pollution and long-term economic growth[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2016,(8):116-127.
[26]
Barbera A J, McConnell V D. The impact of environmental regulation on industry productivity:direct and indirect effects[J]. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1990,18(1):50-65.
[27]
Romer P. Endogenous technological change[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1990,98(5):71-102.
[28]
徐志伟,李蕊含.污染企业的生存之道:"污而不倒"现象的考察与反思[J]. 财经研究, 2019,45(7):84-94. Xu Z W, Li R H. Polluters' survival pathway:an investigation and rethink on "too polluted to fail"[J]. Journal of Finance and Economics, 2019,45(7):84-94.
[29]
毛其淋,盛斌.对外经济开放、区域市场整合与全要素生产率[J]. 经济学(季刊), 2011,11(1):181-207. Mao Q L, Sheng B. Economic opening, regional market integration and total factor productivity[J]. China Economic Quarterly, 2011, 11(1):181-207.
[30]
张建辉,靳涛.经济自由与可持续经济增长:中国的检验(1978~2008)[J]. 中国工业经济, 2011,(4):15-22. Zhang J H, Jin T. Economic freedom and sustainable economic growth:China's test (1978~2008)[J]. China Industrial Economics, 2011,(4):15-22.
[31]
张翠菊,张宗益.中国省域产业结构升级影响因素的空间计量分析[J]. 统计研究, 2015,32(10):33-37. Zhang C J, Zhang Z Y. Analysis on influence factors of China's provincial industrial structure upgrading from a spatial econometrics perspective[J]. Statistical Research, 2015,32(10):33-37.
[32]
周民良.经济重心、区域差距与协调发展[J]. 中国社会科学, 2000, (2):42-53. Zhou M L. The economic center, regional disparities and coordinated development[J]. Social Science in China, 2000,(2):42-53.
[33]
吴伟平,何乔."倒逼"抑或"倒退"?——环境规制减排效应的门槛特征与空间溢出[J]. 经济管理, 2017,39(2):20-32. Wu W P, He Q. "Forced pollution reduction" or "regressive"?-threshold characteristic and spatial spillover of pollution reduction effect from environmental regulation[J]. Business Management Journal, 2017,39(2):20-32.
