资源型城市可持续发展对碳排放的影响研究——基于资源依赖的视角

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摘要基于2003~2018年285个地级市的面板数据,首先使用双重差分模型考察《全国资源型城市可持续发展规划(2013~2020年)》(以下简称《规划》)对碳排放的影响;其次,探究该政策通过资源依赖这一路径对碳排放的影响效果;进一步地,基于城市区域和城市规模两个视角分析该政策通过资源依赖影响碳排放的异质性效果;最后,探究《规划》的空间溢出效应.结果表明《规划》显著地降低了资源型城市的碳排放;机制分析表明,《规划》能够通过降低资源依赖进而减少碳排放,且产业结构升级和技术进步对《规划》的碳减排效应起到了正向调节作用;异质性分析表明,《规划》通过降低资源依赖进而促降碳排放的效果在东､中部地区以及大城市更为明显;《规划》对本地及周边地区均具有显著的碳减排效应.本研究对于在双碳目标下实现中国资源型城市的可持续发展具有重要的政策启示.

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	郑贺允
	葛力铭

关键词 ：资源型城市, 资源依赖, 碳排放, 双重差分

Abstract：Based on the panel data of 285 cities from 2003 to 2018, the difference in difference models were used to investigate the impact of China's Sustainable Development Plan of National Resource-Based Cities (2013~2020) (here in after referred to as the Plan) on carbon emissions and the effect of the Plan on carbon emissions through the path of resource dependence. In addition, the heterogeneous effects of the Plan on carbon emissions through the path of resource dependence were analyzed based on the perspectives of city region and city scale. Finally, the Plan's spatial spillover effects were examined. The results suggested that the Plan significantly reduced carbon emissions of resource-based cities. The mechanism analysis indicated that the Plan can decrease carbon emissions by reducing the degree of resource dependence. Besides, industrial structure upgrade and technological progress had positive impacts on the Plan's carbon reduction effect. The heterogeneous analysis showed that the effect of the Plan decreased resource dependence to reduce carbon emissions is more obvious in eastern regions, central regions, and large cities. The Plan had a significant carbon reduction effect on local and neighboring areas. This paper had important policy implications for achieving sustainable development of resource-based cities in China under the dual carbon target.

Key words： resource-based cities resource dependence carbon emissions difference in difference

收稿日期: 2021-11-02

PACS:	F205
	X32

基金资助:新疆财经大学科研创新项目(XJUFE2021K053)

通讯作者: 葛力铭,博士,geliming@163.sufe.edu.cn E-mail: geliming@163.sufe.edu.cn

作者简介: 郑贺允(1996-),女,河南郑州人,新疆财经大学经济学院硕士研究生,主要从事低碳经济与可持续发展方向研究.发表论文5篇.

引用本文:

郑贺允, 葛力铭. 资源型城市可持续发展对碳排放的影响研究——基于资源依赖的视角[J]. 中国环境科学, 2022, 42(6): 2955-2964. ZHENG He-yun, GE Li-ming. Impact of sustainable development in resource-based cities on carbon emissions:From the perspective of resource dependence. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2022, 42(6): 2955-2964.

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http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/Y2022/V42/I6/2955

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