Research status and prospect of long-term environmental safety and life prediction of solid waste landfill
XU Ya1, SUN Shu-na1,2, WANG Qi1, LIU Yu-qiang1, CHEN Hong-wei2, PENG Xiang-xun2, YANG Feng1
1. State Key Laboratory of Environmental Benchmarks and Risk Assessment, Research Institute of Solid Waste Management, Chinese Research Academy of Environment Sciences, Beijing 100012, China; 2. School of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, Changsha University of Science &Technology, Changsha 410114, China
Abstract:China had a large number of solid waste landfills, low operation level, fast aging of facilities, short life expectancy and serious aging after life expiration. In contrast, there were some problems in the research on the life of solid waste landfill, such as less attention, unclear research direction, unsystematic research content and so on. In this regard, according to the idea from general to special, this paper first summarized the basic concepts and development process of life prediction in general engineering field, and sorted out the main research objects and research methods of engineering life prediction; On this basis, combined with the engineering and practical characteristics of solid waste landfill, this paper systematically describe the main mechanism and prediction method of material performance degradation of solid waste landfill, the evaluation method of overall landfill performance, and put forward the shortcomings of current research and further work. The main conclusions were as follows: the research on general engineering life covers all fielded of national production and life. The research objects include mechanical equipment, construction engineering, and various general materials and parts. Three engineering life prediction methods based on Systematics and decision theory, simulation model and empirical method were formed; At present, in the field of solid waste landfill, the aging mechanism and aging prediction method of HDPE membrane impervious materials and guide and discharge medium materials were basically clarified, the overall performance prediction method of landfill was formed, and the long-term performance evolution prediction research of solid waste landfill was carried out by coupling the overall performance prediction model and material aging prediction model. Finally, the paper pointed out that the life prediction research of solid waste landfill engineering should be strengthened and improved, including improving the basic theory and framework system of life prediction theory system, deeply carrying out the research on the aging mechanism and prediction method of core materials under extreme service conditions, carrying out the research on the prediction technology of middle and late life (residual life), and strengthening the application research of life prediction.
徐亚, 孙淑娜, 王琪, 刘玉强, 谌宏伟, 彭向训, 杨枫. 固废填埋长期环境安全和寿命预测研究综述[J]. 中国环境科学, 2022, 42(4): 1954-1962.
XU Ya, SUN Shu-na, WANG Qi, LIU Yu-qiang, CHEN Hong-wei, PENG Xiang-xun, YANG Feng. Research status and prospect of long-term environmental safety and life prediction of solid waste landfill. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2022, 42(4): 1954-1962.
Kiser, Barbara. Circular economy:Getting the circulation going[J]. Nature, 2016,531(7595):443.
[2]
Agency E P. National primary drinking water regulations:Long term 1 enhanced surface water treatment rule. Final rule[J]. Federal Register, 2002,67(9):1811.
[3]
Parvez F, Wasserman G A, Factor-Litvak P, et al. Arsenic exposure and motor function among children in Bangladesh[J]. Environmental Health Perspectives, 2011,119(11):1665-1670.
[4]
Wasserman G A, Liu X, Parvez F, et al. Water arsenic exposure and children\"s intellectual function in Araihazar, Bangladesh[J]. Environmental Health Perspectives, 2004,112(13):1329-1333.
[5]
Rahman A, Persson L, Nermell B, et al. Arsenic exposure and risk of spontaneous abortion, stillbirth, and infant mortality[J]. Epidemiology, 2010,21(6):797-804.
[6]
Xu Y, Xue X, Dong L, et al. Long-term dynamics of leachate production,leakage from hazardous waste landfill sites and the impact on groundwater quality and human health[J]. Waste Management, 2018,82:156-166.
[7]
Fady B, Rowe R, Zahirul M. Effect of leachate composition on the long-term performance of a HDPE geomembrane[J]. Geotextiles and Geomembranes, 2014,42(4):348-362.
[8]
陈成,詹良通,徐文杰,等.复合衬垫土工膜褶皱网络水力连通性分析方法[J]. 岩土力学, 2018,39(10):187-196. Cheng C, Zhan L T, Xu W J, et al. Hydraulic connectivity analysis of wrinkle network for geomembrane as composite liner[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2018,39(10):187-196.
[9]
张春华.填埋场复合衬垫污染物热扩散运移规律及其优化设计方法[D]. 杭州:浙江大学, 2018. Zhang C H. Mechanisms for contaminant transport in landfill composite liners under thermal effect and its optimization design method[D]. Hangzhou:Zhejiang University, 2018.
[10]
蒋元生.渗漏、扩散和降解作用下复合衬垫有机污染物运移解析模型[D]. 杭州:浙江大学, 2009. Jiang Y S. Analytical models for organic contaminant transport in composite liners considering the combined effect of leakage, diffusion and degradation[D]. Hangzhou:Zhejiang University, 2009.
[11]
Li W, Xu Y, Huang Q, et al. Antioxidant depletion patterns of high-density polyethylene geomembranes in landfills under different exposure conditions[J]. Waste Management, 2021,121(4):365-372.
[12]
Forget B, L Rollin A, Jacquelin T. Lessons learned from 10years of leak detection surveys on geomembranes[M]. 2019.
[13]
张小丽,陈雪峰,李兵,等.机械重大装备寿命预测综述[J]. 机械工程学报, 2011,47(11):100-116. Zhang X L, Chen X F, Li B J, et al. Review of life prediction for mechanical major equipments[J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2011,47(11):100-116.
[14]
陈胜宏,何真.混凝土坝服役寿命仿真分析的研究现状与展望[J]. 武汉大学学报(工学版), 2011,44(3):273-280. Chen S H, He Z. Status quo and prospects for simulation analysis of service life for concrete dam[J]. Engineering Journal of Wuhan University, 2011,44(3):273-280.
[15]
Fleming I R, Rowe R K. Laboratory studies of clogging of landfill leachate collection and drainage systems[J]. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 2004,41(1):134-153.
[16]
Rowe R K, Sangam H P. Durability of HDPE geomembranes[J]. Geotextiles and Geomembranes, 2002,20(2):77-95.
[17]
Sun X, Xu Y, Liu Y, et al. Evolution of geomembrane degradation and defects in a landfill:Impacts on long-term leachate leakage and groundwater quality[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019,(224):335-345.
[18]
Hsuan Y G, Koerner R M. Lifetime prediction of polyolefin geosynthetics utilizing acceleration tests based on temperature[C]. Berkeley, California:Elsevier Science, 2001:145-157.
[19]
Ramke H. 8.1-Leachate Collection Systems[M]//COSSU R, STEGMANN R. Solid Waste Landfilling. Elsevier, 2018:345-371.
[20]
Junqueira F F, Silva A R L, Palmeira E M. Performance of drainage systems incorporating geosynthetics and their effect on leachate properties[J]. Geotextiles and Geomembranes, 2006,24(5):311-324.
[21]
张伟,王宪勇,崔秀艳,等.基于LSTM网络的卫星寿命预测研究[J]. 计算机仿真, 2021,38(9):80-83,128. Zhang W, Wang X Y, Cui X Y, et al. Prediction of satellite lifetime based on short and long time memory networks[J]. Computer Simulation, 2021,38(9):80-83,128.
[22]
江峰,洪显认,范家棉.延长客运车辆发动机大修间隔及使用寿命的研究[J]. 内燃机与配件, 2021(18):145-146. Jiang F, Hong X R, Fan J M. Research on extending the overhaul interval and service life of passenger vehicle engine[J]. Internal Combustion Engine & Parts, 2021,(18):145-146.
[23]
范家铭.基于PHM技术的高铁车载通信装备健康监测智能分析理论与方法的研究[D]. 北京交通大学, 2020.DOI:10.26944/d.cnki. gbfju.2020.000297. Fan J M. Research on intelligent analysis of high-speed railway vehicle communication equipment health condition monitoring based on PHM technology[D]. Beijing Jiaotong University, 2020. DOI:10.26944/d.cnki. gbfju.2020.000297.
[24]
吕皓天,杨亮,陈浩,等.轴承钢的长寿命化设计[J]. 中国冶金, 2020,30(11):16-22. Lv H T, Yang L, Chen H, et al. Long-life design of bearing steel[J]. China Metallurgy, 2020,30(11):16-22.
[25]
梁园华,杨清峡,闫小顺,等.老龄半潜式钻井平台节点疲劳裂纹扩展寿命预报[J]. 海洋工程, 2015,33(6):20-25,69. Liang Y H, Yang Q X, Yan X S, et al. Fatigue crack growth life prediction for a welded detail on an ageing semi-submersible platform[J]. The Ocean Engineering, 2015,33(6):20-25,69.
[26]
王延荣,杨顺,李宏新,等.总应变寿命方程中疲劳参数的确定和寿命预测[J]. 航空动力学报, 2018,33(1):1-14. Wang Y R, Yang S, Li H X, et al. Determination of fatigue parameters in total strain life eguation and life prediction[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2018,33(1):1-14.
[27]
杨俊,谢寿生,祁圣英,等.基于等效应变的轮盘低循环疲劳寿命预测[J]. 空军工程大学学报(自然科学版), 2010,11(6):12-16. Yang J, Xie S S, Qi S Y, et al. Disk low cycle fatigue life prediction based on equivalent strain[J]. Journal of Air Force Engineering University(Natural Science Edition), 2010,11(6):12-16.
[28]
高靖云,张成成,侯乃先,等.考虑应力松弛的单晶涡轮叶片蠕变疲劳寿命预测[J]. 航空动力学报, 2016,31(3):539-547. Gao J Y, Zhang C C, Hou N X, et al. Creep-fatigue life prediction of single crystal turbine blade with the influence of stress relaxation[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2016,31(3):539-547.
[29]
魏大盛,王延荣,王相平,等.基于应力循环特征的裂纹萌生寿命预测方法[J]. 航空动力学报, 2012,27(10):2342-2347. Wei D S, Wang Y R, Wang X P, et al. Life prediction method based on characteristic of cyclic stress[J]. Journal of Aerospace Power, 2012, 27(10):2342-2347.
[30]
邓军林,杨平,徐自旭,等.基于累积塑性破坏的船体缺口板低周疲劳裂纹萌生寿命研究[J]. 船舶工程, 2015,37(9):76-80,85. Deng J L, Yang P, Xu Z X, et al. Research on low-cycle fatigue crack-initiation life of ship notched plate based on accumulative plastic damage[J]. Ship Engineering, 2015,37(9):76-80,85.
[31]
王祥秋,谢文玺,JIANG Ruinian.高速铁路隧道线路底部结构累积疲劳损伤特性分析[J]. 城市轨道交通研究, 2016,19(12):21-26. Wang X Q, Xie W X, JIANG Ruinian. Analysis on cumulative fatigue damage characteristics for the bottom structure of high-speed railway tunnel line[J]. Urban Mass Transit, 2016,19(12):21-26.
[32]
范小宁,徐格宁,杨瑞刚.基于损伤-断裂力学理论的起重机疲劳寿命估算方法[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2011,21(9):58-63. Fan X N, Xu G N, Yang R G. Fatigue life prediction of crane based on damage-fracture mechanics[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2011, 21(9):58-63.
[33]
张浩,胡昌华,杜党波,等.多状态影响下基于Bi-LSTM网络的锂电池剩余寿命预测方法[J/OL]. 电子学报:1-7[2021-11-29]. Zhang H, Hu C H, Du D B, et al. Remaining useful life prediction method of lithium-ion battery based on Bi-LSTM network under multi-state influence[J/OL]. Acta Electronica Sinica:1-7[2021-11-29].
[34]
沈保明,陈保家,赵春华,等.深度学习在机械设备故障预测与健康管理中的研究综述[J]. 机床与液压, 2021,49(19):162-171. Shen B M, Chen B J, Zhao C H, et al. Review on the research of deep learning in mechanical equipment fault prognostics and health management[J]. Machine Tool & Hydraulics, 2021,49(19):162-171.
[35]
高欣.在役钢管混凝土拱桥吊杆损伤与系统可靠性分析方法[D]. 哈尔滨:哈尔滨工业大学, 2011. Gao X. Analysis methods for suspender damage and system reliability of existing concrete filled steel tubular arch bridge[D]. Harbin:Harbin Institute of Technology, 2011.
[36]
侯晓东,杨江平,王晗中,等.基于GUI的大型相控阵雷达单元失效对性能指标影响仿真[J]. 海军工程大学学报, 2021,33(2):84-90. Hou X D, Yang J P, Wang H Z, et al. Simulation of impact on performance indices of large-scale phased array radar unit failure based on GU1[J]. Journal of Naval University of Engineering, 2021, 33(2):84-90.
[37]
徐亚,能昌信,刘玉强,等.垃圾填埋场HDPE膜漏洞密度及其影响因素的统计分析[J]. 环境工程学报, 2015,9(9):4558-4564. Xu Y, Nai C X, Liu Y Q, et al. Statistical analysis on density of accidental-hole in landfill liner system[J]. Chinese Journal of Environmental Engineering, 2015,9(9):4558-4564.
[38]
Sun X, Xu Y, Liu Y, et al. Evolution of geomembrane degradation and defects in a landfill:Impacts on long-term leachate leakage and groundwater quality[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019,224:335- 345.
[39]
Gulec S B, Edil T B, Benson C H. Effect of acidic mine drainage on the polymer properties of an HDPE geomembrane[J]. Geosynthetics International, 2004,11(2):60-72.
[40]
Requirements for hazardous waste landfill design, construction, and closure[R]. Cincinnati, OH:Center for Environmental Research Information, Office of Research and development, U.S.Environmental Protectin Agency, 1989.
[41]
徐亚.危险废物填埋场阻隔性能长期演化与寿命预测[D]. 北京:北京师范大学, 2019. Xu Y. Long-term dynamics of barrier performance of hazardous waste landfill and its life prediction[D]. Beijing:Beijing Normal University, 2019.
[42]
Rowe R K. Aging of HDPE geomembrane in three composite landfill liner configurations[J]. Journal of Geotechnical & Geoenvironmental Engineering, 2008,134(7):906-916.
[43]
Rowe R K, Rimal S, Sangam H. Ageing of HDPE geomembrane exposed to air, water and leachate at different temperatures[J]. Geotextiles and Geomembranes, 2009,27(2):137-151.
[44]
Rowe R K, Ewais A M R. Antioxidant depletion from five geomembranes of same resin but of different thicknesses immersed in leachate[J]. Geotextiles & Geomembranes, 2014,42(5):540-554.
[45]
徐亚,董路,能昌信,等.危废填埋场导排层淤堵的时空分布特征[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016,36(3):849-855. Xu Y, Dong L, Nai C X, et al. Spatial and temporal characterization of drainage clogging in hazardous waste landfill[J]. China Environmental Science, 2016,36(3):849-855.
[46]
Yesiller N, Hanson J L, Liu W L. Heat generation in municipal solid waste landfills[J]. Journal of Geotechnical & Geoenvironmental Engineering, 2005,131(11):1330-1344.
[47]
Vangulck J F, Rowe R K. Evolution of clog formation with time in columns permeated with synthetic landfill leachate[J]. Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, 2004,75(1):115-139.
[48]
Cooke A J, Rowe R K. Modelling landfill leachate-induced clogging of field-scale test cells (mesocosms)[J]. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 2008,45(45):1497-1513.
[49]
Berger K U. On the current state of the hydrologic evaluation of landfill performance (HELP) model[J]. Waste Management, 2015, 38:201-209.
[50]
Souza W R. Documentation of a graphical display program for the saturated-unsaturated transport (SUTRA) finite-element simulation model[J]. 1987.
[51]
Korfiatis G P, Demetracopoulos A C, Bourodimos E L, et al. Moisture transport in a solid waste column[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering, 1983,110(4):780-796.
[52]
王洪涛,殷勇.渗滤液回灌条件下生化反应器填埋场水分运移数值模拟[J]. 环境科学, 2003,24(2):66-72. Wang H T, Yin Y. Numerical Simulation of moisture movement in landfill Bioreactors under the condition of leachate recirculation[J]. Environmental Science, 2003,24(2):66-72.