Driving factors of agricultural carbon emission: From the perspective of interregional trade carbon emission transfer network
XIN Meng1, CHEN Jing-quan2, PENG Xue-peng3, SHI Lan4, QIAN Hui5
1. Department of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China; 2. School of Economics and Management, Huzhou University, Huzhou 313000, China; 3. College Office, Fushun Vocational Technology Institute(Fushun Teachers College), Fushun 113122, China; 4. Department of Humanities and Communication, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China; 5. Dual-carbon Research Center, Zhejiang University City College, Hangzhou 310015, China
Abstract：Using the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2007 to 2017, the inter-regional agricultural trade carbon emission transfer network was constructed with each province as the node, the carbon emission relationship between provinces as the edge and the carbon emission transfer amount as the weight, and the input-output theory and complex network theory were combined to investigate the influence of each province's role in the agricultural trade carbon emission transfer network on each province's agricultural direct carbon emission. The empirical results show that China's agricultural direct carbon emissions were large in general from 2007 to 2017, and most provinces' agricultural direct carbon emissions were in an increasing trend. According to the results of the inflow and outflow analysis of agricultural trade carbon emissions in the three functional areas, the main grain producing areas were more self-consuming, followed by the main grain marketing areas, and finally the balanced grain production and marketing areas. The main marketing areas consumed more of the main grain producing areas and supply less. The balanced grain production and marketing area consumed more of the main grain producing area and supplies the main grain selling area and the main producing area. The flow of carbon emissions in China was mainly concentrated in the central regions such as the main grain producing regions and the three northeastern provinces. The western provinces of Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia were mainly inflow from developed regions such as the east. The inflow intensity of agricultural trade carbon emissions, urbanization level, agricultural machinery input intensity and average grain production per agricultural labor force have a catalytic effect on agricultural direct carbon emissions; the per capita net income of rural residents and agricultural industry structure have a suppressive effect on agricultural direct carbon emissions; the outflow intensity, transmission medium capacity and influence of agricultural trade carbon emissions have no significant effect on agricultural direct carbon emissions.
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