海平面上升和土地利用驱动下红树林生境脆弱性研究

摘要
图/表
参考文献
相关文章 (15)

全文: PDF (1830 KB) HTML (1 KB)
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

摘要为了探索海平面上升(SLR)和土地利用导致的红树林生境潜在变化,本文以我国红树林分布最集中的雷州半岛为研究区域,基于SLAMM模型和景观生态模型建立了红树林生境脆弱性指数,设置4个SLR-土地利用组合情景(SLR4.5-土地开发利用、SLR4.5-土地自然转换、SLR8.5-土地开发利用、SLR8.5-土地自然转换),预测2050年雷州半岛红树林的生境变化和脆弱程度,并提出应对环境变化的管理策略.结果表明,①SLR和土地利用双重压力的叠加将造成红树林生境的显著退化,预测生境面积将减少16.59%~25.61%,减少地点集中在铁山港、安铺港、湛江港、雷州湾和流沙湾沿岸.②在土地自然转换情景下,尽管仍应对着海平面上升的压力,红树林潜在生境面积可增加44.66%~67.74%,增加的区域集中在岸线往内陆方向和沿水系向内陆延伸的两岸,但新增生境面临着破碎化程度高的问题.③在所有情景下均呈现红树林迁出现有保护区的趋势,保护区内红树林面积由5949.8hm²下降至4732.1~5192.9hm².④高脆弱区主要分布在雷州湾、湛江港近岸和流沙湾等地,土地自然转换情景下新增红树林的生境脆弱性普遍较高.未来应及时对土地利用模式及保护管理策略进行动态调整,关注高脆弱区域,增强红树林典型生境应对海平面上升等环境变化的韧性,促进区域可持续发展.

	服务

	把本文推荐给朋友
	加入我的书架
	加入引用管理器
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	作者相关文章
	梁姗姗
	刘捷
	苏尚柯
	陈光程
	陈顺洋
	陈彬
	刘文华
	胡文佳

关键词 ：红树林, 气候变化, SLAMM模型, 景观空间格局, 生境脆弱性评价

Abstract：In order to explore the potential changes of mangrove habitats due to sea level rise (SLR) and land use, Leizhou Peninsula, which has the most concentrated mangrove distribution in China, was taken as the study area. A vulnerability index for mangrove habitats was proposed based on the SLAMM model and landscape ecological model. Four SLR-land use combination scenarios (SLR4.5-Developed, SLR4.5-Natural, SLR8.5-Developed, and SLR8.5-Natural) were set up in this study to predict the habitats changes and vulnerability habitats of mangrove in Leizhou Peninsula by 2050, and several management strategies to cope with environmental changes were proposed. The results indicated that: ①The superposition of the double pressure of SLR and land use would cause significant degradation of mangrove habitats, and the predicted habitat area would be reduced by 16.59% to 25.61%, with the reduction locations concentrated along the coast of Tieshan Bay, Anpu Bay, Zhanjiang Bay, Leizhou Bay and Liusha Bay. ②Under the natural scenarios, although still coping with the pressure of SLR, the area of potential mangrove habitats could be increased by 44.66% to 67.74%. The increased mangrove areas were concentrated along the coastal nearshore and rivers banks, but the additional habitats faced a high degree of fragmentation. ③The trend of mangrove migration to present reserves was showed in all scenarios, and the area of mangrove habitats in reserves decreased from 5949.8 to 4732.1~5192.9hm².④The high vulnerability areas were mainly located on the nearshore of Leizhou Bay, Zhanjiang Bay, Liusha Bay, etc. Under the natural scenarios, the vulnerability of additional mangrove habitats was generally high. In the future, paying attention to high-vulnerability areas and making timely dynamic adjustments to land use policies and reserve management strategies, are conducive to enhancing the resilience of mangrove habitats to cope with environmental changes such as SLR and promoting sustainable development of the region.

Key words： mangrove climate change SLAMM model landscape spatial pattern habitat vulnerability assessment

收稿日期: 2022-06-02

PACS:

X826

基金资助:福建省自然科学基金资助项目(2020J05078);国家自然科学基金资助项目(41906127);自然资源部第三海洋研究所基本科研业务费资助项目(海三科2020017)

通讯作者: 胡文佳,副研究员,huwenjia@tio.org.cn E-mail: huwenjia@tio.org.cn

作者简介: 梁姗姗(1996-),女,广东湛江人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为保护生态学和海洋生态评价.发表论文4篇.

引用本文:

梁姗姗, 刘捷, 苏尚柯, 陈光程, 陈顺洋, 陈彬, 刘文华, 胡文佳. 海平面上升和土地利用驱动下红树林生境脆弱性研究[J]. 中国环境科学, 2023, 43(1): 266-275. LIANG Shan-shan, LIU Jie, SU Shang-ke, CHEN Guang-chen, CHEN Shun-yang, CHEN Bin, LIU Wen-hua, HU Wen-jia. Vulnerability of mangrove habitats driven by sea level rise and land use. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2023, 43(1): 266-275.

链接本文:

http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/Y2023/V43/I1/266

[1]	Wilkie M L, Fortuna S. Status and trends in mangrove area extent worldwide[R]. Rome:Forest Resources Assessment Programme (FAO), 2003.
[2]	Fatoyinbo T E, Simard M, Washington-Allen R A, et al. Landscape- scale extent, height, biomass, and carbon estimation of Mozambique's mangrove forests with Landsat ETM+ and shuttle radar topography mission elevation data[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research- Biogeosciences, 2008,113(G2):G02S06.
[3]	Nagelkerken I, Blaber S J M, Bouillon S, et al. The habitat function of mangroves for terrestrial and marine fauna:A review[J]. Aquatic Botany, 2008,89(2):155-185.
[4]	Hochard J P, Hamilton S, Barbier E B. Mangroves shelter coastal economic activity from cyclones[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2019,116(25):12232-12237.
[5]	Valiela I, Bowen J L, York J K. Mangrove forests:One of the world's threatened major tropical environments[J]. BioScience, 2001,51(10):807-815.
[6]	Duke N C, Meynecke J O, Dittmann S, et al. A world without mangroves?[J]. Science, 2007,317(5834):41-42.
[7]	Godoy M D P, De L L D. Mangroves response to climate Change:A review of recent findings on mangrove extension and distribution[J]. Anais Da Academia Brasileira De Ciencias, 2015,87(2):651-667.
[8]	王文卿,石建斌,陈鹭真,等.中国红树林保护与恢复战略研究[M]. 北京:中国环境出版社, 2021. Wang W Q, Shi J B, Chen L Z, et al. Research of conservation and restoration strategy of mangrove wetlands in China[M]. Beijing:China Environmental Science Press, 2021.
[9]	D'Acampora B H, Higueras E, Román E. Combining different metrics to measure the ecological connectivity of two mangrove landscapes in the Municipality of Florianópolis, Southern Brazil[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2018,384:103-110.
[10]	黄雪松,陈燕丽,莫伟华,等.近60年广西北部湾红树林生态区气候变化及其影响因素[J]. 生态学报, 2021,41(12):5026-33. Huang X S, Chen Y L, Mo W H, et al. Climate change and its influence in Beibu Gulf mangrove biome of Guangxi in past 60years[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2021,41(12):5026-33.
[11]	Kirwan M L, Megonigal J P. Tidal wetland stability in the face of human impacts and sea-level rise[J]. Nature, 2013,504(7478):53-60.
[12]	Ellison J C, Stoddart D R. Mangrove ecosystem collapse during predicted sea-level rise holocene analogues and implications[J]. Journal of Coastal Research, 1991,7:151-165.
[13]	Martínez M L, Mendoza-González G, Silva-Casarín R, et al. Land use changes and sea level rise may induce a "coastal squeeze" on the coasts of Veracruz, Mexico[J]. Global Environmental Change, 2014, 29:180-188.
[14]	Bryan-Brown D N, Connolly R M, Richards D R, et al. Global trends in mangrove forest fragmentation[J]. Scientific reports, 2020,10(1):7117.
[15]	Cole Ekberg M L, Raposa K B, Ferguson W S, et al. Development and application of a method to identify salt marsh vulnerability to sea level rise[J]. Estuaries and Coasts, 2017,40(3):694-710.
[16]	李莎莎.海平面上升影响下广西海岸带红树林生态系统脆弱性评估[D]. 上海:华东师范大学, 2015. Li S S. Vulnerability assessment of the coastal mangrove ecosystems in Guangxi, China to sea-level rise[D]. Shanghai:East China Normal University, 2015.
[17]	Doyle T W, Krauss K W, Conner W H, et al. Predicting the retreat and migration of tidal forests along the northern Gulf of Mexico under sea-level rise[J]. Forest Ecology and Management, 2010,259(4):770- 777.
[18]	Dang A T, Kumar L, Reid M, et al. Modelling the susceptibility of wetland plant species under climate change in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam[J]. Ecological Informatics, 2021,64:101358.
[19]	王宝强,杨飞,王振波.海平面上升对生态系统服务价值的影响及适应措施[J]. 生态学报, 2015,35(24):7998-8008. Wang B Q, Yang F, Wang Z B. Impact of sea level rise on ecosystem services values and adaptation measures. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2015,35(24):7998-8008.
[20]	Clough J, Park R A, Propato M, et al. SLAMM 6.7 technical documentation, Version 6.7 Beta[EB/OL]. Waitsfield, VT:Warren Pinnacle Consulting, Inc, 2016. http://warrenpinnacle.com/prof/SLAMM/.
[21]	Linhoss A C, Kiker G A, Aiello-Lammens M E, et al. Decision analysis for species preservation under sea-level rise[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2013,263:264-272.
[22]	潘嵩,王慧,李欢,等.基于SLAMM模型的海平面上升对广西沿海红树林影响研究[J]. 海洋通报, 2020,39(3):325-34. Pang S, Wang H, Li H, et al. Study on impact of sea level rise on mangrove in Guangxi of China based on SLAMM model[J]. Marine Science Bulletin, 2020,39(3):325-34.
[23]	范航清,王文卿.中国红树林保育的若干重要问题[J]. 厦门大学学报(自然科学版), 2017,56(3):323-330. Fan H Q, Wang W Q. Some thematic issues for mangrove conservation in China[J]. Journal of Xiamen University (Natural Science), 2017,56(3):323-330.
[24]	自然资源部海洋预警监测司.2021年中国海平面公报[EB/OL]. 2022. http://gi.mnr.gov.cn/202205/t20220507_2735509.html.[2022- 05-20]. Department of Marine Early Warning and Monitoring, Ministry of Natural Resources. China sea level bulletin 2021[EB/OL]. 2022. http://gi.mnr.gov.cn/202205/t20220507_2735509.html.
[25]	杨娟, Gao J,刘宝林,等.雷州半岛红树林边缘效应及其对海岸有机碳库的影响[J]. 海洋学报(中文版), 2012,34(5):161-168. Yang J, Gao J, Liu B L, et al. Edge effects of mangrove boundaries and their impact on organic carbon pool along the coast of Leizhou Peninsula[J]. Marine Science Bulletin, 2012,34(5):161-168.
[26]	Ren H, Jian S, Lu H, et al. Restoration of mangrove plantations and colonisation by native species in Leizhou bay, South China[J]. Ecological Research, 2008,23(2):401-407.
[27]	林子腾.雷州半岛红树林湿地生态保护与恢复技术研究[D]. 南京:南京林业大学, 2005. Lin Z T. Research on the conservation and vegetation rehabilition techniques of mangrove wetlands ecosystem in Leizhou Peninsula, China[D]. Nanjing:Nanjing Forestry University, 2005.
[28]	Yang J, Gao J, Liu B, et al. Sediment deposits and organic carbon sequestration along mangrove coasts of the Leizhou Peninsula, southern China[J]. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 2014,136:3-10.
[29]	Durango-Cordero J S, Satyanarayana B, Zhang J, et al. Vegetation structure at Zhangiang Mangrove National Nature Reserve (ZMMNR), PR China:a comparison between original and non-original trees using ground-truthing, remote sensing and GIS techniques[J]. 2013. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/309240024_Vegetation_structure_at_Zhanjiang_Mangrove_National_Nature_Reserve_ZMNNR_PR_China_comparison_between_original_and_non-original_trees_using_ground-truth_remote_sensing_and_GIS_techniques.
[30]	Leempoel K, Bourgeois C, Zhang J, et al. Spatial heterogeneity in mangroves assessed by GeoEye-1satellite data:a case-study in Zhanjiang Mangrove National Nature Reserve (ZMNNR), China[J]. Biogeosciences Discussions, 2013,10(2):2591-2615.
[31]	IPCC, 2014:Climate Change 2014:Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A:Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2014.
[32]	Payo A, Mukhopadhyay A, Hazra S, et al. Projected changes in area of the Sundarban mangrove forest in Bangladesh due to SLR by 2100[J]. Climatic Change, 2016,139(2):279-291.
[33]	McGarigal K. FRAGSTATS 4Tutorial[EB/OL]. 2015. https://www.umass.edu/landeco/research/fragstats/fragstats.html.
[34]	庞立华,孔范龙,郗敏,等.胶州湾海岸带生态脆弱性时空变化分析[J]. 华东师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2018,(3):222-233. Pang L H, Kong F L, Xi M, et al. Spatio-temporal changes of ecological vulnerability in the Jiaozhou Bay coastal zone[J]. Journal of East China Normal University (Natural Science), 2018,(3):222-33.
[35]	Vousdoukas M, Mentaschi L, Voukouvalas E, et al. Global extreme sea level projections[DS/OL]. 2018. http://data.europa.eu/89h/jrc-liscoast-10012.
[36]	Xiao H, Su F Z, Fu D J, et al. 10-M global mangrove classification products of 2018~2020 based on big data[DS/OL]. Science Data Bank, 2021.http://www.doi.org/10.11922/sciencedb.01019.
[37]	Zhang M, Huang H, Li Z, et al. Automatic high-resolution land cover production in Madagascar using sentinel-2 time series, tile-based image classification and google earth engine[J]. Remote Sensing, 2020,12(21):3663.
[38]	Belgiu M, Drăguţ L. Random forest in remote sensing:A review of applications and future directions[J]. ISPRS journal of photogrammetry and remote sensing, 2016,114:24-31.
[39]	Amani M, Mahdavi S, Afshar M, et al. Canadian wetland inventory using Google Earth Engine:The first map and preliminary results[J]. Remote Sensing, 2019,11(7):842.
[40]	JUN C, BAN Y, LI S. Open access to Earth land-cover map[J]. Nature, 2014,514(7523):434.
[41]	Zhang Z, Xu N, Li Y, et al. Sub-continental-scale mapping of tidal wetland composition for East Asia:A novel algorithm integrating satellite tide-level and phenological features[J]. Remote Sensing of Environment, 2022,269:112799.
[42]	European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC). Global shoreline change projections. European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC)[DS/OL]. 2019. http://data.europa.eu/89h/18eb5f19-b916-454f-b2f5-88881931587e.
[43]	Sayre R, Butler K, Vangraafeiland K, et al. Earth's coastlines[M]. Redlands:Esri Press, 2021.
[44]	Sayre R, Noble S, Hamann S, et al. A new 30 meter resolution global shoreline vector and associated global islands database for the development of standardized global ecological coastal units[J]. Journal of Operational Oceanography-A Special Blue Planet Edition, 2018,12(2):S47-S56.
[45]	胡文佳,周秋麟,陈彬,等.海洋生境制图研究进展:概念、方法与应用[J]. 生物多样性, 2021,29(4):531-544. Hu W J, Zhou Q L, Chen B, et al. Progress in marine habitat mapping:Concept, methods, and applications[J]. Biodiversity Science, 2021, 29(4):531-544.
[46]	Dang A T, Reid M, Kumar L. Assessing potential impacts of sea level rise on mangrove ecosystems in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam[J]. Regional Environmental Change, 2022,22(2):1-18.
[47]	Krauss K W, From A S, Doyle T W, et al. Sea-level rise and landscape change influence mangrove encroachment onto marsh in the ten thousand islands region of Florida, USA[J]. Journal of Coastal Conservation, 2011,15(4):629-638.
[48]	Stokes D J, Healy T R, Cooke P J. Expansion dynamics of monospecific, temperate mangroves and sedimentation in two embayments of a barrier-enclosed lagoon, Tauranga Harbour, New Zealand[J]. Journal of Coastal Research, 2010,26(1):113-122.
[49]	Eslami-Andargoli L, Dale P, Sipe N, et al. Mangrove expansion and rainfall patterns in Moreton Bay, Southeast Queensland, Australia[J]. Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science, 2009,85(2):292-298.
[50]	Lopez-Medellin X, Ezcurra E, Gonzalez-Abraham C, et al. Oceanographic anomalies and sea-level rise drive mangroves inland in the Pacific coast of Mexico[J]. Journal of Vegetation Science, 2011, 22(1):143-151.
[51]	曹林,韩维栋,李凤凤,等.雷州湾红树湿地景观格局演变及驱动力分析[J]. 林业科技开发, 2010,24(4):18-23. Cao L, Han W D, Li F F et al. Change of mangrove wetland lanscape pattern and its driving forces in Leizhou Bay[J]. Journal of Forestry Engineering, 2010,24(4):18-23.
[52]	Quisthoudt K, Adams J, Rajkaran A, et al. Disentangling the effects of global climate and regional land-use change on the current and future distribution of mangroves in South Africa[J]. Biodiversity and conservation, 2013,22(6):1369-1390.
[53]	韩维栋.雷州半岛红树林及其保护策略研究[D]. 厦门:厦门大学, 2002. Han W D. Study on mangrove and its conservational strategy of Leizhou Peninsula, China[D]. Xiamen:Xiamen University, 2002.
[54]	Phong N T, Luom T T, Parnell K E. Mangrove allocation for coastal protection and livelihood improvement in Kien Giang Province, Vietnam:Constraints and recommendations[J]. Land Use Policy, 2017,63:401-407.
[55]	Zomer R J, Xu J C, Wang M C, et al. Projected impact of climate change on the effectiveness of the existing protected area network for biodiversity conservation within Yunnan Province, China[J]. Biological Conservation, 2015,184:335-345.
[56]	Duck N, Nagelkerken I, Agardy T, et al. The importance of mangroves to people:a call to action[M]. Cambridge:United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre (UNEP-WCMC), 2014.
[57]	dan Perikanan K K K K. Analisis kesenjangan keterwakilan ekologis kawasan konservasi Di Indonesia[M]. Jakarta, Indonesia, 2010.
[58]	Zhang L, Luo Z H, Mallon D, et al. Biodiversity conservation status in China's growing protected areas[J]. Biological Conservation, 2017, 210:89-100.
[59]	Meijer K J, El-Hacen E-H M, Govers L L, et al. Mangrove-mudflat connectivity shapes benthic communities in a tropical intertidal system[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2021,130:108030.
[60]	Alongi D M. Mangrove forests:Resilience, protection from tsunamis, and responses to global climate change[J]. Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science, 2008,76(1):1-13.
[61]	Saintilan N, Khan N S, Ashe E, et al. Thresholds of mangrove survival under rapid sea level rise[J]. Science, 2020,368(6495):1118.
[62]	Wodehouse D C J, Rayment M B. Mangrove area and propagule number planting targets produce sub-optimal rehabilitation and afforestation outcomes[J]. Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science, 2019, 222:91-102.
[63]	Ferreira A C, Bezerra L E A, Matthews-Cascon H. Aboveground carbon stock in a restored neotropical mangrove:influence of management and brachyuran crab assemblage[J]. Wetlands Ecology and Management, 2019,27(2):223-242.
[64]	Zhang Y M, Zhang L, Kang Y Y, et al. Biotic homogenization increases with human intervention:implications for mangrove wetland restoration[J]. Ecography, 2022,(4):e05835.