Abstract:Based on input-output data of 37 industrial sectors in China from 2011 to 2020, green total factor productivity for different industries were obtained with ML production index and non-radial SBM efficiency measurement model. The study found that only considering carbon emissions could cause overestimation of the productivity, and there was significant industry heterogeneity in green total factor productivity. Through the contribution of green total factor productivity to industrial economic growth, it is demonstrated that China's industrial development mode necessarily further transform from "extensive" growth into "intensive" green growth model. The panel Tobit model was used to test the impact of environmental regulation, foreign direct investment and technological innovation capabilities on green total factor productivity of the industries. Moreover, a panel threshold model was used to consider the nonlinear relationship between environmental regulations and green total factor productivity for the heavy chemical industry, light industry, and high-tech industries, and corresponding threshold values were obtained. The results show that scale of enterprises and R&D inputs had significant positive impacts on the growth of green total factor productivity. Strict environmental regulations increase the threshold for foreign direct investment, while trade barriers and transportation costs make foreign direct investment played a negative role in the growth of green total factor productivity. When the threshold values of the heavy industry were between 3.097 and 3.568, environmental regulations had the strongest promoting effect on the improvement of green total factor productivity. When the threshold values of the light industry and high-tech industries were between 3.035 and 4.269, environmental regulations have the smallest inhibitory effect on the improvement of green total factor productivity.
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