基于社会网络分析的京津冀地区碳排放空间关联与碳平衡分区

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摘要基于2005、2010、2015和2017年的碳排放/碳汇数据,利用社会网络分析和探索性空间数据分析对京津冀县级尺度的碳排/碳汇的空间关联作用进行实证分析并进行碳平衡分区划分,提供了在县级空间尺度上划分碳平衡区的路径.研究结果表明:(1)京津冀地区碳排放年均增长率由2005-2010年间的10.05%放缓至2010-2017年间的1.25%,碳汇总量先降后增,2010-2017年间增长15%,但2017年净碳排放量达到了6亿t,反映了当前碳中和压力仍然巨大,京津冀北部和西部是主要的碳补偿率高值区,京津唐、石家庄和邯郸-邢台及其周边地区是主要的碳补偿率低值区;(2)京津冀碳排放空间网络格局逐渐清晰,形成了京津碳排放区、石家庄碳排放区、邯郸碳排放区三个主要的碳排放空间联动区,分别占整个区域面积的36.65%、9.64%、6.76%;(3)根据实证结果,京津冀区域被划分为集中碳汇区、局部调节区、核心-联动碳排区、分散-联动碳排区、分散-孤岛碳排区、一般-联动碳排区、一般-孤岛碳排区7个碳平衡功能区,分别占整个区域面积的22.07%、32.62%、12.81%、0.45%、1.14%、22.55%、8.36%,且有19个关键县域被识别并定义为核心县域、行动县域或桥梁县域.

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	张正峰
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关键词 ：碳排放, 空间关联, 碳平衡分区, 社会网络分析

Abstract：Based on the carbon emission / carbon sink data in 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2017, an empirical study on the spatial connection of carbon emission / carbon sink at the county level of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (BTH) was made by using social network analysis and exploratory spatial data analysis, and divides the carbon balance zoning, providing the path to divide the carbon balance zoning on the county spatial scale. The results showed that (1) the average annual growth rate of carbon emissions in the BTH region slowed down from 10.05% in 2005~2010 to 1.25% in 2010~2017. The total amount of carbon sinks decreased first and then increased, with an increase of 15% in 2010~2017. However, the net carbon emissions reached 600 million tons in 2017, reflecting that the current carbon neutralization pressure is still huge. The north and west of Beijing Tianjin Hebei were the main high-value areas of carbon compensation rate, and Beijing Tianjin Tangshan, Shijiazhuang, Handan-Xingtai and their surrounding areas were the low-value areas of carbon compensation rate; (2) The pattern of Beijing Tianjin Hebei carbon emission spatial network gradually became clear, forming three main carbon emission spatial linkage areas: Beijing Tianjin carbon emission area, Shijiazhuang carbon emission area and Handan carbon emission area, accounting for 36.65%, 9.64% and 6.76% of the whole respectively;(3) According to the results, BTH region was divided into 7 carbon balance functional areas: centralized carbon sink area, local regulation area, core linkage carbon emission area, dispersion linkage carbon emission area, dispersion Island carbon emission area, general linkage carbon emission area and general Island carbon emission area. 19 key counties inside were defined as core county, action county or bridge county, accounting for 22.07%, 32.62%, 12.81%, 0.45%, 1.14%, 22.55% and 8.36% of the whole respectively.

Key words： CO₂ emission spatial connection carbon balance zoning social network analysis

收稿日期: 2022-08-01

PACS:

X32

基金资助:国家自然科学基金资助项目(42077433,71874196,71974220);国家社会科学基金项目(21AZD041);中国人民大学“中央高校建设世界一流大学(学科)和特色发展引导专项资金”

通讯作者: 张正峰,教授,zhangzhengfeng@ruc.edu.cn E-mail: zhangzhengfeng@ruc.edu.cn

作者简介: 张正峰(1975-),男,山东泰安人,教授,博士,主要研究方向为土地利用.发表论文100余篇.zhangzhengfeng@ruc.edu.cn.

引用本文:

张正峰, 张栋. 基于社会网络分析的京津冀地区碳排放空间关联与碳平衡分区[J]. 中国环境科学, 2023, 43(4): 2057-2068. ZHANG Zheng-feng, ZHANG Dong. Spatial relatedness of CO₂ emission and carbon balance zoning in Beijing Tianjin Hebei counties. CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCECE, 2023, 43(4): 2057-2068.

链接本文:

http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/ 或 http://www.zghjkx.com.cn/CN/Y2023/V43/I4/2057

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